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General Philatelic/Gen. Discussion : What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

 

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BermudaSailor
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08 Nov 2016
02:30:11pm
Well here’s an interesting problem that I’d like to share and have some feedback on.
Last spring I purchased a Bermuda King George VI Key Plate, known as the Lemon Yellow variety. (SG120d ) from MurrayPayne, a well-known seller of KGVI material. At £525, this was not an inexpensive stamp. Given its value, I decided to have it “expertized”.

I live in New York City, so my inclination was to take to the Philatelic Foundation. After the usual three month wait, they returned the stamp along with the verdict that it was not a SG120d Lemon Yellow, but rather a rather pedestrian SG120a – worth about $50.

I contacted the seller, who to their credit told me to return it them and they would either refund the purchase price or would have it reappraised by the Royal Philatelic Society of London, at their expense. Not being in any particular hurry and liking the appearance of the stamp quite a bit, I opted to have it reexpertized.

After another three months, I received the good news that the RPS has found the stamp to be a genuine Bermuda King George VI Key Plate, known as the Lemon Yellow variety(SG120d ).

So here’s the thing I now have a stamp with two different certificates stating two different opinions. Does one trump the other, or is a third certificate needed to break the tie?

David




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Ningpo
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08 Nov 2016
03:01:10pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

As it is a Commonwealth & British Empire issue, I personally would rely on the RPSL certificate.

On the other hand, if I had a stamp from, say, the US that needed expertising, I would not send it to the RPSL: I would instead direct it to a society which should have the most expertise on US material: the Philatelic Foundation, for example.

Horses for courses!



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Brechinite
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Neddie Seagoon from The Telegoons

08 Nov 2016
03:03:41pm

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re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

David

Unfortunately Expert Opinions are just that "opinions".
In other fields of operation other than philately, I have looked into the backgrounds and qualifications of the "experts" in question, who funds them and are they more expert in other fields. ie Don't ask an expert in British Commonwealth to comment on say a South American stamp or vice versa.

As a British subject the RPS would be the first and only place I would go to. In all my years of Stamp Collecting I have never come across the Philatelic Foundation. It may be the equivalent to RPS I do not know.

In my Gibbons Catalogue 120a is classified as Grey and brownish orange (shades) and 120d as Grey and yellow (the Lemon shade).
Looking at an old Gibbons colour chart the differences are distinctive.
However even Gibbons have admitted in the past "Our catalogue lists have been compiled from time to time by different expert philatelists, who have not always been in agreement
in the matter of colour description."

Which is it that you think it is? Do you have a copy of 120a to compare it against?
The answer may be to get Gibbons colour charts from 1938 and 1947 to compare it against.

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Ningpo
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08 Nov 2016
03:25:55pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Is this the stamp in question?


Image Not Found

Seller added this description:

Colours on screen may not accurately depict colours as seen in good daylight.

1982 BPA certificate shows the old SG number (i.e.SG120B)

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Philatarium
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APS #187980

08 Nov 2016
04:20:42pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

I would definitely go with the RPSL opinion over the PF one on this stamp.

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08 Nov 2016
09:10:54pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Unfortunately one must also keep in mind that the opinion rendered may depend to some degree upon the reputation of the person or firm submitting the item. It happens.

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BermudaSailor
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12 Nov 2016
03:44:26pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

I 'm going to rely on the RPSL certificate, but keep the PF certificate on file.

Thanks for you feedback

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cdj1122
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Silence in the face of adversity is the father of complicity and collusion, the first cousins of conspiracy..

13 Nov 2016
03:35:15am
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

" .... Unfortunately Expert Opinions are just that "opinions".
...."


I submitted what looked like a great Danzig issue to three German "experts" these stamps had been in a lot I won a few years earlier. One expert responded that it looked right, but he was not absolutely sure, The other stated flatly that it was bogus..The third sent it back with "no opinion".
If there was any simple telltale marker he first two should have rendered an opinion citing the reason.
So I sent a letter and asked what made it bogus. That answer annoys me to this day, it was "because I have no such example in my reference collection."
In logic we have a rubric "Absence of proof is not proof of absence." which can be structured Absence of proof, one way or the other, does not prove it is false.
I just gave up and eided to just keep it in my album for mu pleasure.
I have ben underwhelmed by so-called experts ever since.















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larsdog
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APS #220693 ATA#57179

14 Nov 2016
10:31:22pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

What I did is create an exhibit to document the variability:

Image Not Found

Image Not Found

Image Not Found

I will probably send it off to APEX at some point to see what they say, but I already have a 351 with normal margins and a cert in my collection so I'm in no hurry.

Lars

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youpiao
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15 Nov 2016
05:05:22pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Is the PSE cert the opinion of just one expert, or does the stamp get seen by one or more other pair of eyes, for corroboration of the 1st opinion?

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larsdog
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APS #220693 ATA#57179

15 Nov 2016
07:54:50pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

I don't know.

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ikeyPikey
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16 Nov 2016
12:54:56pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Q/ What is the cause of the 'flair'?

{2c}

In a genuine stamp, it would be from stretching of the paper during perf separation.

This should be easy to duplicate with cheap coil stamps, and strikes me as unlikely, as there would be tell-tale stretching at the last perf, too.

In a forgery, it would be from a shearing effect, either at the start of the cut or at the very end of the cut.

This would be more likely with scissors than with a straight edge, and should be easy to replicate with cheap coil stamps (or any other piece of paper).

I'll vote forgery, for what my vote is worth.

{/2c}

Aye, Bill, we miss you.

/s/ ikeyPikey

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ikeyPikey
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16 Nov 2016
01:29:38pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

"... flairs -> flares ..."



Homophoned, again!

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HungaryForStamps
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16 Nov 2016
01:31:13pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Bill was contending the perforations were cut off of the sides to create a coil and not that the top/bottom perfs were faked.

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ikeyPikey
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16 Nov 2016
02:08:19pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Note the 'also':

"... The perforations also don't look correct to me ..."



"... Bill didn't comment on the perfs, but he may have thought the other issues were enough ..."



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larsdog
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APS #220693 ATA#57179

16 Nov 2016
09:29:21pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

"The perforations also don't look correct to me. An interesting additional graphical analysis would be to draw perfectly straight lines through the center of the top perf holes and see if they line up with the bottom; they look slightly off with me but I believe in the flat plate process they should be precisely aligned."



I don't think that is correct. The perfs on the 350 below aren't lined up and it would really be hard to fake a plate line single that gets a clean cert. It's easy to see that more than one of the perf 8.5 stamps don't have perfs that line up, and I doubt they were faked.

Image Not Found

"Gauging on the Kisulas gauge also is important. As PF has written, expertizing flat plate coils "... requires examination of the perforation holes using a perforation gauge and looking closely for holes that run off the spacing shown on the gauge. One must look very carefully because many fraudulent coil stamps closely approximate the correct gauge. It also requires comparison against known genuine examples to assess the size of the holes, as well as the examination of both sides of the stamp to see if the holes have been tampered with by scrapping. The holes for a genuine coil should have “pressure ridges” made by the original government perforating machine.""



That would be true if you are looking for an imperforate stamp with perforations added (or a coil stamp with altered perforation holes, but that's not possible in this case). It's possible someone could take an imperf 347 and add perfs to fake a 351. 347 MH is $27.50 and 351 MH is $140. The sheet version (335) is $50 MH, so it would be tempting to assume fakers would use the imperf, but the equipment necessary to add convincing fake perfs would be cost prohibitive. Most fakes of this issue are used, because a 335 catalogs for $2.50 used and a 351 catalogs for $300 used. Most mint fakes are cut down sheet stamps because of the simplicity (and removing a cancel / re-gumming is also possible).

If a faker went to the trouble to add perforations to an imperf issue, they would certainly cut the side margins wide enough to not be on the narrow end of the range.

Sorry, I don't buy the possibility that this is a reperfed imperf.

"I strongly disagree with the statement that PSE is "perhaps the most prestigious expertizing agency today". That would be PF, for this issue."



Maybe so, that's why I used "perhaps". My point wasn't to pass judgment but to indicate that neither Bill Weiss nor PSE were opinions that should be taken lightly. I will re-word it when I get around to submitting the stamp to PF.

Thanks for the feedback!

Lars

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malcolm197

30 Nov 2016
07:07:04am
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

With the KG6 stamp the clincher for me is that Murray Payne is THE acknowledged expert dealer in King George VI material, with an excellent reputation ( and probably knows more than the RPSL anyway !)

While I would never say "never" about anything, it is most unlikely that he would knowingly misdescribe any item within his speciality.

If you read his articles in the philatelic press on KG6 they often go beyond the standard Gibbons shades and includes ( and illustrates) intermediate shades identified to the relevant printing date.

Malcolm

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BermudaSailor
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30 Nov 2016
12:09:31pm
re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Malcolm,

Murray Payne's reputation is exactly why I went to them in the first place. I have to say, once again, that they have acted professionally and courteously every since I brought this discrepancy to their attention.

In fact, the very first thing they asked me when I brought this to their attention was "Would you like a refund?".

David

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BermudaSailor

08 Nov 2016
02:30:11pm

Well here’s an interesting problem that I’d like to share and have some feedback on.
Last spring I purchased a Bermuda King George VI Key Plate, known as the Lemon Yellow variety. (SG120d ) from MurrayPayne, a well-known seller of KGVI material. At £525, this was not an inexpensive stamp. Given its value, I decided to have it “expertized”.

I live in New York City, so my inclination was to take to the Philatelic Foundation. After the usual three month wait, they returned the stamp along with the verdict that it was not a SG120d Lemon Yellow, but rather a rather pedestrian SG120a – worth about $50.

I contacted the seller, who to their credit told me to return it them and they would either refund the purchase price or would have it reappraised by the Royal Philatelic Society of London, at their expense. Not being in any particular hurry and liking the appearance of the stamp quite a bit, I opted to have it reexpertized.

After another three months, I received the good news that the RPS has found the stamp to be a genuine Bermuda King George VI Key Plate, known as the Lemon Yellow variety(SG120d ).

So here’s the thing I now have a stamp with two different certificates stating two different opinions. Does one trump the other, or is a third certificate needed to break the tie?

David




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Ningpo

08 Nov 2016
03:01:10pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

As it is a Commonwealth & British Empire issue, I personally would rely on the RPSL certificate.

On the other hand, if I had a stamp from, say, the US that needed expertising, I would not send it to the RPSL: I would instead direct it to a society which should have the most expertise on US material: the Philatelic Foundation, for example.

Horses for courses!



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Brechinite

Neddie Seagoon from The Telegoons
08 Nov 2016
03:03:41pm

Auctions - Approvals

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

David

Unfortunately Expert Opinions are just that "opinions".
In other fields of operation other than philately, I have looked into the backgrounds and qualifications of the "experts" in question, who funds them and are they more expert in other fields. ie Don't ask an expert in British Commonwealth to comment on say a South American stamp or vice versa.

As a British subject the RPS would be the first and only place I would go to. In all my years of Stamp Collecting I have never come across the Philatelic Foundation. It may be the equivalent to RPS I do not know.

In my Gibbons Catalogue 120a is classified as Grey and brownish orange (shades) and 120d as Grey and yellow (the Lemon shade).
Looking at an old Gibbons colour chart the differences are distinctive.
However even Gibbons have admitted in the past "Our catalogue lists have been compiled from time to time by different expert philatelists, who have not always been in agreement
in the matter of colour description."

Which is it that you think it is? Do you have a copy of 120a to compare it against?
The answer may be to get Gibbons colour charts from 1938 and 1947 to compare it against.

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Ningpo

08 Nov 2016
03:25:55pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Is this the stamp in question?


Image Not Found

Seller added this description:

Colours on screen may not accurately depict colours as seen in good daylight.

1982 BPA certificate shows the old SG number (i.e.SG120B)

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Philatarium

APS #187980
08 Nov 2016
04:20:42pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

I would definitely go with the RPSL opinion over the PF one on this stamp.

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Webpaper

08 Nov 2016
09:10:54pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Unfortunately one must also keep in mind that the opinion rendered may depend to some degree upon the reputation of the person or firm submitting the item. It happens.

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BermudaSailor

12 Nov 2016
03:44:26pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

I 'm going to rely on the RPSL certificate, but keep the PF certificate on file.

Thanks for you feedback

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Silence in the face of adversity is the father of complicity and collusion, the first cousins of conspiracy..
13 Nov 2016
03:35:15am

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

" .... Unfortunately Expert Opinions are just that "opinions".
...."


I submitted what looked like a great Danzig issue to three German "experts" these stamps had been in a lot I won a few years earlier. One expert responded that it looked right, but he was not absolutely sure, The other stated flatly that it was bogus..The third sent it back with "no opinion".
If there was any simple telltale marker he first two should have rendered an opinion citing the reason.
So I sent a letter and asked what made it bogus. That answer annoys me to this day, it was "because I have no such example in my reference collection."
In logic we have a rubric "Absence of proof is not proof of absence." which can be structured Absence of proof, one way or the other, does not prove it is false.
I just gave up and eided to just keep it in my album for mu pleasure.
I have ben underwhelmed by so-called experts ever since.















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larsdog

APS #220693 ATA#57179
14 Nov 2016
10:31:22pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

What I did is create an exhibit to document the variability:

Image Not Found

Image Not Found

Image Not Found

I will probably send it off to APEX at some point to see what they say, but I already have a 351 with normal margins and a cert in my collection so I'm in no hurry.

Lars

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youpiao

15 Nov 2016
05:05:22pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Is the PSE cert the opinion of just one expert, or does the stamp get seen by one or more other pair of eyes, for corroboration of the 1st opinion?

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larsdog

APS #220693 ATA#57179
15 Nov 2016
07:54:50pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

I don't know.

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ikeyPikey

16 Nov 2016
12:54:56pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Q/ What is the cause of the 'flair'?

{2c}

In a genuine stamp, it would be from stretching of the paper during perf separation.

This should be easy to duplicate with cheap coil stamps, and strikes me as unlikely, as there would be tell-tale stretching at the last perf, too.

In a forgery, it would be from a shearing effect, either at the start of the cut or at the very end of the cut.

This would be more likely with scissors than with a straight edge, and should be easy to replicate with cheap coil stamps (or any other piece of paper).

I'll vote forgery, for what my vote is worth.

{/2c}

Aye, Bill, we miss you.

/s/ ikeyPikey

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ikeyPikey

16 Nov 2016
01:29:38pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

"... flairs -> flares ..."



Homophoned, again!

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HungaryForStamps

16 Nov 2016
01:31:13pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Bill was contending the perforations were cut off of the sides to create a coil and not that the top/bottom perfs were faked.

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ikeyPikey

16 Nov 2016
02:08:19pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Note the 'also':

"... The perforations also don't look correct to me ..."



"... Bill didn't comment on the perfs, but he may have thought the other issues were enough ..."



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larsdog

APS #220693 ATA#57179
16 Nov 2016
09:29:21pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

"The perforations also don't look correct to me. An interesting additional graphical analysis would be to draw perfectly straight lines through the center of the top perf holes and see if they line up with the bottom; they look slightly off with me but I believe in the flat plate process they should be precisely aligned."



I don't think that is correct. The perfs on the 350 below aren't lined up and it would really be hard to fake a plate line single that gets a clean cert. It's easy to see that more than one of the perf 8.5 stamps don't have perfs that line up, and I doubt they were faked.

Image Not Found

"Gauging on the Kisulas gauge also is important. As PF has written, expertizing flat plate coils "... requires examination of the perforation holes using a perforation gauge and looking closely for holes that run off the spacing shown on the gauge. One must look very carefully because many fraudulent coil stamps closely approximate the correct gauge. It also requires comparison against known genuine examples to assess the size of the holes, as well as the examination of both sides of the stamp to see if the holes have been tampered with by scrapping. The holes for a genuine coil should have “pressure ridges” made by the original government perforating machine.""



That would be true if you are looking for an imperforate stamp with perforations added (or a coil stamp with altered perforation holes, but that's not possible in this case). It's possible someone could take an imperf 347 and add perfs to fake a 351. 347 MH is $27.50 and 351 MH is $140. The sheet version (335) is $50 MH, so it would be tempting to assume fakers would use the imperf, but the equipment necessary to add convincing fake perfs would be cost prohibitive. Most fakes of this issue are used, because a 335 catalogs for $2.50 used and a 351 catalogs for $300 used. Most mint fakes are cut down sheet stamps because of the simplicity (and removing a cancel / re-gumming is also possible).

If a faker went to the trouble to add perforations to an imperf issue, they would certainly cut the side margins wide enough to not be on the narrow end of the range.

Sorry, I don't buy the possibility that this is a reperfed imperf.

"I strongly disagree with the statement that PSE is "perhaps the most prestigious expertizing agency today". That would be PF, for this issue."



Maybe so, that's why I used "perhaps". My point wasn't to pass judgment but to indicate that neither Bill Weiss nor PSE were opinions that should be taken lightly. I will re-word it when I get around to submitting the stamp to PF.

Thanks for the feedback!

Lars

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malcolm197

30 Nov 2016
07:07:04am

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

With the KG6 stamp the clincher for me is that Murray Payne is THE acknowledged expert dealer in King George VI material, with an excellent reputation ( and probably knows more than the RPSL anyway !)

While I would never say "never" about anything, it is most unlikely that he would knowingly misdescribe any item within his speciality.

If you read his articles in the philatelic press on KG6 they often go beyond the standard Gibbons shades and includes ( and illustrates) intermediate shades identified to the relevant printing date.

Malcolm

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BermudaSailor

30 Nov 2016
12:09:31pm

re: What does One do with Differing "Expert" Opinions?

Malcolm,

Murray Payne's reputation is exactly why I went to them in the first place. I have to say, once again, that they have acted professionally and courteously every since I brought this discrepancy to their attention.

In fact, the very first thing they asked me when I brought this to their attention was "Would you like a refund?".

David

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