Just don't lick the stamps from Wuhan. Seriously, the cold that mail is subject to in the hold of an aeroplane and the time delay is probably enough to destroy the virus.
Looks like in South Korea the problem was a church congregation. More concerning are the cases that are showing up on the West Coast of USA where no known link has been found (also one in UK).
I hesitate to get on the bandwagon, but I wonder about mail leaving certain areas of China. Can someone out there with knowledge of the area tell us whether we should be concerned? Does a virus survive the postal system?
This from BBC website.
"If someone infected with the virus coughs on to their hand and then touches something, that surface may become contaminated. Door handles are a good example of a surface that might pose a risk.
It's not yet known how long the new coronavirus might be able to live on such surfaces. Experts suspect it is hours rather than days but it is best to wash your hands regularly to help reduce the risk of infection and spread of the virus. "
Touch of irony; we are going out this afternoon for my wife's birthday- to a Chinese place we like. NOT a buffet, so it's probably safe. I wonder if there are any eateries with 'Wuhan' in their name out there. That'd be tough.
I just mailed a stamp to South Korea. I hope it isn't returned.
This specific strain of virus, according to the Chinese authorities and other health officials, can linger on inanimate surfaces for more than other viral strains. A specific time frame varies.
You may check the official USA CDC website to get a definitive answer.
There are several websites that deal with this information, but going to the source--the official CDC notifications website--is a sure bet.
(This reminds me of the post-9-11 postal scare.)
Due diligence is best.
Skip the rumors and stick to the basics, wash your hands. Time to get into the stock market, buy low. Looking forward to the rally after the masses figure out they were lied to again by the fake news.
There will probably be some postal history to collect in the future after postal administrations start taking measures to disinfect the mail.
Vince
The first Australian death has been reported today. SARS was bad, but this is spreading five times as fast.
I've just come back from a trip to Thailand. Probably 90% of people on the plane and at every airport wore a mask. At one regional airport, we were greeted by soldiers and nurses, who took our temperature and disinfected our hands.
The virus has also just hit New Zealand. Considering how remote we are from the rest of the world, don't think this won't get a lot worse before it gets better.
I'm kind of concerned about this one. I heard that there were 5 deaths from that one quarantined cruise ship alone. Sounds like this one is actually killing people.
Of course we treat the flu lightly, many not even getting their flu shots
"So far, 14,000 people have died and 250,000 people have been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, according to preliminary estimates from the CDC."
'
The 1918 influenza epidemic did not put Coney Island or Cunard Line out of business.
DIS (Disney) stock has taken a hit. Even if more of the theme parks go offline, they'll be back.
CCL (Carnival) stock has taken a hit. Short of liquidation, it is a safe bet that the customers who prefer cruises to air travel will be back.
My unsolicited, unqualified advice is to buy some now and, if they go down, buy some more.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (who also suggests a peek at Costco & Shopify)
Well
Vinnie says it is just a hoax with made up stories about dead people.so why worry.?
Sorry Charlie,
You made my point about fake news. If you don't agree with someone just tell lies and keep telling them until you and others believe your own BS.
Vinnie says it is just a hoax with made up stories about dead people.so why worry.?
Never said it, never implied it. please don't make up lies about what I said. It's OK to disagree with me but stop lying.
Vince
Lots of misinformation out there. Some of it laughable and some of it dangerous/counterproductive.
The US got a good start on this back in January. Travel ban from China began January 31. On February 4, Congress was still up to their eyeballs in the impeachment trial process, but my wife and I were surprised when her pulmonologist's office screened us with prepared questions relating to coronavirus. I don't know if the screening protocol originated with CDC, NIH or the hospital system, but it's an encouraging sign of some level of awareness and early coordination. We hadn't been out of the state, much less the country in the past year, and were impressed the healthcare system (or at least part of it) was already taking such precautions.
Tom
All - The discussion can stay civil if people avoid divisive political lingo. It does not help to the discussion.
All one can do is protect themselves and their loved ones and hope for the best.
"... after the masses figure out they were lied to again by the fake news ..."
"...Lots of misinformation out there..."
"...When were the masses lied to..."
I just read this :-
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT - CORONAVIRUS
Last evening dining out with friends, one of their uncles, who's graduated with a master's degree and who worked in Shenzhen Hospital (Guangdong Province, China) sent him the following notes on Coronavirus for guidance:
1. If you have a runny nose and sputum, you have a common cold
2. Coronavirus pneumonia is a dry cough with no runny nose.
3. This new virus is not heat-resistant and will be killed by a temperature of just 26/27 degrees. It hates the Sun.
4. If someone sneezes with it, it takes about 10 feet before it drops to the ground and is no longer airborne.
5. If it drops on a metal surface it will live for at least 12 hours - so if you come into contact with any metal surface - wash your hands as soon as you can with a bacterial soap.
6. On fabric it can survive for 6-12 hours. normal laundry detergent will kill it.
7. Drinking warm water is effective for all viruses. Try not to drink liquids with ice.
8. Wash your hands frequently as the virus can only live on your hands for 5-10 minutes, but - a lot can happen during that time - you can rub your eyes, pick your nose unwittingly and so on.
9. You should also gargle as a prevention. A simple solution of salt in warm water will suffice.
10. Can't emphasise enough - drink plenty of water!
THE SYMPTOMS
1. It will first infect the throat, so you'll have a sore throat lasting 3/4 days
2. The virus then blends into a nasal fluid that enters the trachea and then the lungs, causing pneumonia. This takes about 5/6 days further.
3. With the pneumonia comes high fever and difficulty in breathing.
4. The nasal congestion is not like the normal kind. You feel like you're drowning. It's imperative you then seek immediate attention.
Is it OK to pick your nose wittingly?
d1stamper,
That is good information if true. I am not saying it is false but where did this information come from. I ask because you stated
I just read this :-
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT - CORONAVIRUS
This is all common sense procedures (what you should do normaly) that is not on Main Stream Media where many folks trust for correct information but can't find it there. Way too much false information out there and a lot of scare tactics. I stand by my original post"wash your hands."
Vince
"Last evening dining out with friends, one of their uncles, who's graduated with a master's degree and who worked in Shenzhen Hospital (Guangdong Province, China) sent him the following notes on Coronavirus for guidance:"
"4. If someone sneezes with it, it takes about 10 feet before it drops to the ground and is no longer airborne.
5. If it drops on a metal surface it will live for at least 12 hours - so if you come into contact with any metal surface - wash your hands as soon as you can with a bacterial soap.
6. On fabric it can survive for 6-12 hours. normal laundry detergent will kill it"
Here in Bangkok there isn't any real panic yet. About half of travelers on the mass transit lines are wearing facemasks, but I'm not sure that's up much more than when we have our yearly peak flu epidemic. A lot of malls and shops are putting hand cleaning gel dispensers at the doors. At the Makro cash and carry today as well as the hand gel a staff member was offering to take customer's temperature with an airport type digital thermometer. I'm OK for that anyway. If it does become a full on pandemic then we should be careful calling it a hoax as the mortality rates look fairly bad.
I do not see a lot of misinformation and note there is a lot of official sources for information in the world. I would expect differences in medical conclusions based upon best information.
What I see more of is the usual politicization by various sides and the usual hyping (extensive coverage) by media for ratings in the absence of other news. Talking heads have to make a living.
"I do not see a lot of misinformation..."
Not linking to it but ran across a site today of some 'Psychic' claiming the virus was engineered by the 'deep state' and the Illuminati. They plan to wipe out 60 million of us so the remainder is easy to control. I'm strong on free speech but stuff like this is dangerous.
Washington state has declared an emergency. Shows like PIPEX might be in danger of cancellation.
It's because it is unknown that creates the problem - the flu is known.
"It's fear of the unknown. The unknown is what it is. And to be frightened of it is what sends everybody scurrying around in circles chasing dreams, illusions, wars, peace, love, hate, all that - it's all illusion. Unknown is what it is. "
John Lennon
Think we might be scaring the normal people just a bit. Cough, sneeze, ache wheeze. Keep boiling the hankies Ma.
I stopped watching TV news years ago, as well as paying attention to most print and online Main-Stream-Media (MSM). Just too many agendas and misinformation on all sorts of topics. Came to this conclusion many years ago when I was in my teens, now I am in my 60s. Guess I might have been more analytical than most and ended up putting that trait to good use in my career as a chemist in the energy service industry.
I have found several good sites on YouTube about this topic. The videos that I have been watching have been authored by medical doctors or people with a good medical background. They have been referencing the information put out by the CDC, the WHO and the many papers that are being published in the medical journals with the most up-to-date information and have been posting links to that online information.
The links to these sites are as follows, the first being from the US and the second from Great Britain:
https://www.youtube.com/user/ChrisMartensondotcom/videos
https://www.youtube.com/user/Campbellteaching/videos
Both have been giving good tips on how to handle the situation and what to watch out for. Both have been very critical of how their national governments have been handling the situation, with their belief that most governments appear to be more worried about their economies than the health of their citizens. Two countries that they have praised for their responses are Singapore and South Korea.
I personally have ignored past plague scares, with those scares generally fizzling out (SARS, MERS, Swine Flu, etc.) although affecting some areas of the world rather severely. But when the information on this virus started coming out it looked much more similar to the Spanish Flu from 100 years ago (much more virulent). That was bad; my grandmother had a younger brother that perished from that flu.
Now that I am over 60 years of age I am starting to take the flu and similar viral infections much more seriously. I have had my yearly flu shot and have taken both available pneumonia vaccinations in the past several years. I got a case of bacterial pneumonia after getting the flu about 15 years ago, which then resulted in a case of shingles. I don't want to go through that again.
I have stocked up on the essentials that will tide me over for a couple of months if necessary. Just look at how this is being handled in China at the moment and ask yourself if the Chinese government would be taking such drastic measures if this isn't a big deal.
Speaking of viruses, Kelleher has an article in this quarter's edition of "Kelleher's
Stamp Collectors Quarterly" by Thomas Lera titled "Mosquitoes Impact on Florida Mail in the 19th Century." It shows how misinformation and lack of information can cause people the make irrational decisions. The post office made a paddle with spikes to use on mail to puncture the envelopes so sulfur fumes could penetrate the envelope and keep Malaria from spreading.
I don't have any examples in my collection yet, but I do have some covers from the post 9/11 hysteria.
Here is a link to the magazine, if the link don't work you can see this issue and all back issues on their site.
https://www.kelleherauctions.com/magazine/kcc_021/index.htm
Vince
???*****!!!!!!
I have to be careful going out. Just because I cough a bit & sneeze doesn't mean I have Covid-19!
"Keep boiling the hankies Ma."
"... your hometown newspaper (NY Times), which suggested calling the virus the 'Trumpvirus' ..."
"So, our Coronavirus Czar is going to be … Mike Pence. Feeling more secure?"
I am laid up with the flu right now, but that's all it is. I'm almost afraid to go out in case someone sees me coughing!
Joe
@Brechinite, Ian thought we all still did that, saves filling up the landfill with all the tissues that we made from the trees we cut down to make them. I always found that using tissues made my nose itch, probably the fibres that come off the paper.
I also hate when I find that she who commands has left a tissue in her cardi pocket when I empty the washtub.
Now where is my Sunlight laundry soap and washboard.
Some have said to buy low, since the market is in a panic.
I do not know if there is the availability to buy options on any DOW 100 funds?
Just think about it this way.
If you had an option for 5 blocks of the Dow 100, that would be worth 500 shares to trade up or down.
The market dropped 3,000 points in 3 days, that would be a gain of 3,000 times 500 or $1,500.000 in just 3 days!
Ikey,
So in your opinion editorials do not influence people? Or that saying things like "So, our Coronavirus Czar is going to be … Mike Pence. Feeling more secure?" is not fear mongering?
Sorry, I do not buy into your 'its just an editorial' defense. This kind of crap has no place in any media publication right now, we do not need divisive stuff like this. We need to be pulling together and leave politics out of it.
If after all of this is over, people are not dying, and the public is more at ease she can play her political card. But this is exactly the kind of thing that has US public opinion on the media at such a low level. Ms. Collins should be ashamed of herself.
Don
"... So in your opinion editorials do not influence people? ..."
ikey,
I certainly did not say that op-ed should be suspended for the duration of the crisis. But having the right to speech does not mean it is always right to say something. What value is there is being divisive right now? (For the public, I assume the value for her the NY Times was more money in their pockets.)
And speaking of divisive you said in your post, “And you object to misinformation !”. You could have simply said ‘I do not agree with you’ without this kind of acrimonious personal attack.
Don
the funny - and also beautiful - thing about opinions is that everyone seems to have one nowadays. In an ideal world it is normal that one does not have to agree with another person's opinion, but tolerates it because it is, or should be reciprocal.
Sometimes different opinions may even lead to new insights, but it seems that instead of bringing people together, it fuels polarization.
What is wrong with saying "that's an interesting thought, I haven't looked at it in that way" instead of feeling attacked or offended.
Jan-Simon
"... We need to be pulling together and leave politics out of it ... What value is there is being divisive right now? ..."
Meanwhile, in the rest of the world outside the US......
- New Zealand has blocked any travellers from mainland China, even if they were transiting
- Australia has initiated a pandemic plan
- 56 countries have now reported cases, every continent except Antarctica is affected
- People are panic buying across the world and "prepping"
- France has banned indoor events of more than 5,000 people
How serious does it need to be before people stop bickering about the politics??
I just heard from my brother that a complete department in the office building next to where he works was shut down because a woman who works there may have the virus. First test was positive, now waiting for the second one to confirm it.
With that in mind, it is no longer something that happens far, far away.
I work for a multi-national company and have operations in China so work with Chinese suppliers. We have seem impacts to supply chain (delays in materials and operations) and the company has banned business travel to multiple countries. One co-worker just took a long planned vacation to Egypt and Jordan! One vendor employee has parents in the original province but told they live out in the country so less risk. They had visited them during CNY. But, I engage with them daily so work continues and do what you can.
Unfortunately, some infected & shedding virus carriers can be asymptomatic. So get used to elbow bumps and washing with soap for 1 round of “Happy Birthday”. This is going to be a difficult period ahead of us, what with the fear of death and losing everything.
And then there’s the Covid-19 virus…
The following link from Johns Hopkins shows where infections from the virus have been reported around the world.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
It is a very interactive map that allows one to blow up or reduce the map image to get a better picture of where infections have been reported. Click on one of the red dots to get more detailed information for that location.
I have been watching updates of this map over several weeks. It has been amazing how quickly it has spread across the globe. Just today Argentina, Chile, Tunisia, and even Liechtenstein reported cases (Andorra, Monaco and San Marino have previously reported cases, with San Marino even reporting a death).
Where individual countries have been very good at testing for the virus and openly reporting cases, the numbers for that country have been exploding. South Korea is a good example. Almost everywhere where a case has been reported, several days later another case or two is reported, with the numbers then just starting to explode. From what I can see with the spread of cases across the United States and with number of cases starting to grow fast in a few locations in the United States, we are just starting to begin a very fast increase in total infection numbers.
For most (over 80%) an infection with this virus appears to be no worse than a cold or flu. But for about 15% of cases hospitalization may be required with up to 5% requiring intensive care. It does not appear to be a problem at all for the very young, but for those of us 60 years old and above it can be much more severe (death tolls of at least 3% increasing to over 15% for those above 80 years of age. The overall death rate appears to be in the 1-2% range, which is still 10 to 20 times that of the flu. And this is with the assumption that good medical care is available.
The big problem will be a potential shortage of available hospital care for those needing it. There is no immunity to this virus as it is a new virus. So everyone can potentially get it. There is no vaccine and none will be available for months, it at all. This virus is extremely contagious, able to survive for days on hard surfaces under the right conditions and being passed by both droplets (sneezing or coughing) and aerosol (much smaller droplets that stay suspended for long periods of time). It is much more infectious than the flu.
The high hospitalization rate and especially the very high intensive care rate will be the big problem. There will not be a sufficient number of hospital or intensive care beds to go around for all that will need them. This is where governments then clamp down with the quarantines in an effort to stop the spread. This is what happened in China with most of that country going into a complete stoppage.
And one does not get over this illness quickly. It can linger for weeks. For those more severely affected, it results in pneumonia, with one having the feeling of continuously drowning going on for many days in a row.
As I mentioned in my previous post, I have seen similar potential epidemics come and go over the decades, being hyped up by the press and then fizzling out without causing too much of a fuss. My gut feeling is that this one is going to be different, it is going to be similar to the Spanish Flu in its effects on the world. Some countries (China, Iran, South Korea, Italy, potentially Japan) have already been hit very hard. China's economy is being hit extremely hard, and with over 25% of all manufactured goods in the world being produced in China, the whole world is going to feel the effects. We no longer produce any vaccines and hardly any prescription medications in country, they are all produced in China. No medical masks are produced in the United States, they are all produced in China. When China decides that they need to retain these products in their own country because of their now great need for these products themselves, what are we going to do?
I am taking this very seriously. The daily pictures out of China with their great cities completely shut down with absolutely no traffic reminds me of some of the scenes from disaster movies. Would China being doing this if it was no big deal? I have seen video clips where a person is walking or standing and they then just collapse. In one case a person was standing on a sidewalk and then they just fell forward; they made no effort to cushion the fall with their arms, they just fell face-first into the pavement. Such images are common out of China, Korea and Iran.
The Spanish Flu circled the globe several times over a period of couple of years 100 years ago. In the process, it killed anywhere from 50 million to 100 million people. Many have been warning for the potential for a new illness to crop up and cause just as much damage. Is this it?
"... I imagine or rather hope the flights will get a lot cheaper this year with people not willing to fly ..."
"on a per-passenger, per-kilometer basis"
Well, that depends an awful lot on the plane....LOL. So many regionals flying around, all over the world, short hopping to the hubs where the big intercontinentals fly from....and these are the economical aircraft that are usually quoted in these kind of statements. And then there are the exec jets. Gee, I wonder if Al Gore is still flitting about in that mobile smoke-bomb Gulfstream G2?
"... the virus helps reduce the greenhouse emissions ..."
The Nova Scotia government just cancelled all school trips outside Canada for a few months. I must admit, if I were still a teacher, a trip to Italy (for example) with a group of kids would be a bit scary now. NS doesn't have a case yet (knock on wood), but it's only a matter of time. There seems to be a lot of needless (I hope) panic, but that's better than ignoring the problem. Strange things happening though - it's amazing that North Korea doesn't have "the virus" where South Korea has a problem. There is way too much POLITICS in this!!!
On reflection, inflammatory comment deleted.
Charlie
" ....Just look at how this is being handled in China at the moment and ask yourself if the Chinese government would be taking such drastic measures if this isn't a big deal. ...."
An excellent indicator, watch how governments act, and be suspicious of what they say, especially those that have a history of excessive secrecy or frequent mendacity.
" .... But when the information on this virus started coming out it looked much more similar to the Spanish Flu from 100 years ago (much more virulent). ..."
Just in case some have not checked this themselves.
"The 1918 Spanish flu — the worst pandemic of the 20th century — is estimated to have killed at least 50 million people worldwide over the course of three years. That includes 675,000 in the U.S. Among those who were infected, the death rate was estimated to be greater than 2.5% "
AND
" ....Estimates suggest that the world population in 1918 was 1.8 billion ...."
Today, nearly 7.8 billion so a similar death rate of 2.5% ought to dispatch about 215 million to an early grave.
Let's hope that the "fizzle out" theory is valid and not wishful thinking.
" .... One co-worker just took a long planned vacation to Egypt and Jordan! ...."
Have you ever read "An Appointment in Samara" by W. Somerset Maugham ?
This fellow becomes fearful when he sees the hooded figure of Death roaming around in the local marketplace so he leaves Damascus to flee to a relative's home in Samara. That night when death visits the fellows employer, death comments about the missing servant and says that his absence is curious as It (death)has an appointment with him tomorrow in ....Samara.
It would be a classic good read, except I gave away the finish.
I wonder what would make someone consider Egypt or Jordan safer ?
Here in Australia, people are panic-buying toilet paper. The shelves are empty.
If the virus is given a pandemic warning, are they all expecting serious bowel issues? If it's the end of the world as we know it, wouldn't it be more intelligent, if you want to be a prepper, to stockpile food?? Without food, toilet paper becomes somewhat redundant!!
Nowt as queer as folk!
"... Here in Australia, people are panic-buying toilet paper. The shelves are empty ..."
Our company send an email to all employees worldwide outlining measures taken "out of an abundance of caution in an effort to keep our team members safe and healthy." There are restrictions for business and personal travel. We were told to take work laptop home every day. If sick for any reason, stay at home.
Al,
Count your blessings that you work for a good company.
Right now I am sitting in dialysis among 30 other patients all of whom are elderly, in frail health, majority are in wheelchairs and are living at extended care homes or hospices. Two of the healthcare providers who are currently on the floor are sick. One nurse is so sick she mostly has been sitting at a desk with her head down for the last 2 hours. It is standard procedure for dialysis healthcare worked to show up to work when they are ill.
To their credit, they are wearing masks and washing their hands often but it unnerving to have sick healthcare providers coming in physical contact with us when we represent one most vulnerable population of people.
And while there is a grievance procedure, no one dares to use it because the dialysis provider will punish you (i.e. move you to a facility 45 minutes away). And there are no alternative dialysis providers in the vast majority of locations across the USA.
In the US, ESRD (End-Stage Renal Disease) is socialized medicine, Medicare covers it no matter what your age. The two dialysis providers in the US, Fresenius Medical Care and DaVita, have incredibly strong political action groups and lobbyists. They have successfully paid off the politicians and gotten them to changes the laws and regulations for dialysis centers. So instead of the standard medical industry nurse to patient ratio of 1:2 through 1:4 at dialysis facilities they are allowed a 1:12 ratio. Additionally, they are allowed to have a dialysis tech, who has zero formal medical education and are paid minimum wage, to administer IV drugs to patients.
Mark my words, dialysis centers, extended care homes, and hospices will be decimated by this virus.
Don
The other element in this calculus is that those dialysis patients who feel ill cannot easily choose to stay home for, well, any length of time.
Surely, we'll see an explosion of interest in peritoneal dialysis which, for the innocent, can be done at home after a minor surgical procedure (to implant a spigot).
Not every dialysis patient qualifies.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
Spigots...bad memories come flooding back. When my wife was in her final few months of cancer "treatment" she had three different hoses coming out of various parts of the body. I changed, and drained, everything every day. The joys of getting old, I just hope I never end up in that state!!!
This feels like watching a Tsunami come at you in slow motion and you can’t do a damn thing about it other than pray. Time to turn off the news and stay home away from crowds of people and healthily, safely, happily, putter on stamps.
"Time to turn off the news and stay home away from crowds of people and healthily, safely, happily, putter on stamps."
True, Cougar. The luxury of retirement somewhat offsets all the creaky joints and memory lapses, eh? But, Folks may be forced to stay home whether they want to or not.
Oh dear! They even canceled ComicCom in Seattle and the Boy Scouts of America local council has suspended winter camp and group meetings through the end of March. Not to mention a local church where my wife works is cancelling Sunday services after a vote by the elders! Plus Amazon, Microsoft, and Google are recommending employees work from home rather than come to the office and the University of Washington is going to attempt to do all classes online rather than in classroom settings through the end of March. Whitworth University in Spokane, WA is recommending that students from Western Washington not go home over spring break.
This is being taken VERY seriously locally.
In 2009, the H1N1 (Swine flu) pandemic swept across the world. Within a year and here in the US, the H1N1 virus had affected 60 million people, hospitalized over 250,000 people, and killed over 12,000 people. Worldwide the number of deaths from H1N1 (in the years 2009-2010) was estimated at over 200,000.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html
I do not recall the US media fear-mongering with the H1N1 like they are doing now with the current COVID-19 virus. I do not recall stock markets being wildly volatile. I do not recall people freaking out stock piling supplies. I do not recall the level of politicization that we are seeing today with the COVID-19.
What has changed in 10 years?
Don
I do not think it is all political. There are a lot of media outlets (political and non-political) that have to fill 24 hrs a day with something. The political ones retreat to their base audience corners and feed that itch. This happens no matter what - spin, counter spin. We see a lot of political hypocrisy these days.
When we have a snow event now unlike in years back, the local stations suspend network programming and just spend hours talking about traffic and road conditions, closings, local stories related to snow, how to drive in the snow, reminding people to not drive, etc. The technology allows remote reporting.
What supports this are stations secondary digital stations so the move network coverage to the sub channel to interrupt the main station. You have to manufacture something to keep those audience ratings which is more important than ever in this consolidated media company age. How many public service like stories on how to protect yourself from getting the flu do you need?
Understood Al, but the H1N1 pandemic was only 10 years ago. In 2010 the internet was in full swing and streaming TV was also underway, so the demand for digital content was pretty high (although I would agree that the demand for content has probably increase since then).
I cannot find a single H1N1 Swine flu reference in any of the philatelic forums in that era yet they all have threads about the COVID-19 now.
Don
If someone has already stated this, I apologize but I'm just wondering why it takes something like this to get folks to wash their hands!
Jings!...Crivvens!...Help Ma Boab!
Whatever happened to the education system? It was hammered into us things like "Coughs and Sneezes Spreads Diseases!"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W728NGYhmmQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sR2X-6p_Y8U
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GWyzS9TJg9g
At the risk of opening a can of worms here,
I think it is suffice to say
'common sense' is our new "contradiction in terms" phrase;
It isn't common any more.
"
What has changed in 10 years?"
"Apparently, not that many people keep, say, three weeks' worth of toilet paper at home."
We are in the age of vox pops, where people who really know little about a subject espouse their views on worldly matters from the information they gleaned from social media outlets or down the pub. Usually after someone has had to read it to them.
Very few actually take the time to research the subject before passing along the usually false information.
"... What has changed in 10 years? ..."
This worth a read. A journal from a Brit in Wuhan who was an early victim.
First hand journal:
First-British-victim-25-describes-coronavirus
Roy
I live in Omaha; the nearby city of Fremont Ne will close all schools starting Monday for at least a week. a 35 year old woman who later tested positive attended an event at the High School there last weekend. I am seeing reports of possible cases in the Omaha schools. We think we will need to hunker down starting any day now.
I guess the media always needs a story, but we shouldn't play down the danger of this coronavirus until we are sure of our facts. So far the mainstream media and most governments have been pretty good at supplying facts. It seems the two things we should be looking at is how contagious it is and what is the morality rate. In the worse case it would be highly contagious with a high mortality rate. I will hold off making any decisions until I know these.
"... how contagious it is and what is the mor(t)ality rate. In the worse case it would be highly contagious with a high mortality rate. I will hold off making any decisions until I know these ..."
I was going to post " .... What has changed in 10 years?, ...." ,
but others have covered most of the obvious things. It just seems
fortuitous that Congress never got around to cutting the CDC funding
that was proposed. Score a goal for putting things off till later
or something.
It seems that they need every trained scientist they can keep standing.
Oh, and here is a cheery note, just for the record, in 1918 the
"Spanish Flu" started in the springtime and then did taper off in
the sunshine and heat of the summer, but as one source states;
"It came back with a vengeance in the Fall."
Just what I needed to know to cheer me up.
While I am not in as bad a shape as those on Dialysis, at my age
and with my existing complications, I have just gone over my Will,
my Living Will, and the Health Care Surrogate document just in case.
Others ought to consider doing the same.
I suppose I should be contrite about the gallows humor, but if this
sickness does spread as predicted, it is just being realistic.
Charlie
This may apply to other people: now is not a good time to order anything that is to be shipped from outside the US. I've been tracking a shipment through DHL from Germany, it has been sitting in Germany since 2-28. I assume it'd be worse for Italy.
It's from Schaubek in Leipzig, Germany so far has not been highly affected but I suspect flights have been reduced so cargo space is more scarce.
'
Please allow me to suggest that you will not be able to read this interview and claim that you did not learn three new things that are relevant to your own situation.
What the WHO learned about Covid-19 in China
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
ikey,
Great article,
I learned quite a bit of new information. I'm sticking with the basics,
Panic and hysteria are not appropriate.
Wash your hands.
If you are sick with cold or flu symptoms call your doctor and get tested if he/she advises.
Vince
Vinman, fine to say get tested but what about all those who do not have the finance or health cover to be able to afford the testing.
This is where the government should step in and cover the cost without question. I'm sure that the brains in the health departments can calculate an overall cost per test, which would be paid to the testing centres on production of a patient listing with relevant security numbers. This would enable random checking to ensure honesty of the testing facilities ( would they tell untruths, not us guv).
ps Edit to add I find it strange that they still seem unable to tell us how long the virus can survive outside of the body.
OK this from a site called Stackexchange,
I've checked the FactCheck.org article on the incident:
All COVID-19 tests in the US are conducted by two agencies: The New York State Department of Public Health, and the Center for Disease Control and Prevention.
Neither organization charges for the test.
You (and/or your insurance) will have to pay for emergency room services if you go to the ER, but you (or your insurance) won't be billed for the COVID-19 test itself.
EDIT, even this seems to be contradicted, here is a further response on the same site.
"All COVID-19 tests in the US are conducted by two agencies: The New York State Department of Public Health, and the Center for Disease Control and Prevention." — This is no longer the case. A number of state health department labs perform tests now (see, for instance Nebraska, which reports the number of tests they have performed) and commercial labs Quest and LabCorp are beginning testing as well. – Zach Lipton yesterday
Does anyone know if US Customs is holding packages from Europe? An envelope of stamps arrived at Customs on February 21 and is just sitting at Customs. This envelope is from Estonia.
The article covered a lot of aspects besides washing hands. It was a quick proactive response and not reactive approach. Like any event, some play it safe and others do not and often risk others.
"Does anyone know if US Customs is holding packages from Europe? An envelope of stamps arrived at Customs on February 21 and is just sitting at Customs. This envelope is from Estonia."
I do not know how the situation is today, but a few days ago, the US government announced that 1.5 million tests were available. That may sound a lot, but that means only 750,000 people can be tested, which is less than 1% of the population. Apart from that, most states do not have the capacity to do mass tests. They must scale up considerably in order to be able to deal with the challenges ahead.
Most countries have similar problems. Noone is really prepared.
The situation is different today (in The U.S.). More kits are available. More are being manufactured as we post about the virus. Not every American needs to be tested. The test in intended for those who may have been exposed or those who are experiencing symptoms of cold or flu.
Vince
'
This what transparency and an emphasis on public health looks like:
- the Israel Ministry of Health builds a timeline for each person who tests positive for exposure to the coronavirus, and
- the Israel Ministry of Health publishes that patient's timeline on their website, so that
- any person can quickly determine if they crossed paths with that infected person (oy!) or did not (phew!).
the Israel Ministry of Health timeline for Patient #29
Q/ Did you notice the granularity of that data ?
Yes, government is more 'distributed' in the USA - Texas has 254 counties, for example - but a motivated federal agency (or suitable NGO) could put together a template for this data so that agencies doing contract tracing could upload their data, enabling people to self-report their exposure to an infectee ... or self-relax.
{...}
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (who has removed an absolutely apolitical comparison of the relative efforts of the American v Israeli governments (available by PM) which - unlike some people - did not use words like "fake", "lies", or "hoax")
Mods should remove the political posts.
Don
51Studebaker...I agree wholehearterly... Any political posts should be deleted immediately. Regarding the virus, the two opposing political parties will attack each other regardless of the other sides actions or inactions. We signed off on over 8 billion to combat the virus and have been moving heaven and earth to do what ever can be done.
As I type this, I am in ground zero of the hot zone. I am in the subway tube headed out of downtown San Francisco jam packed against other people.
Your government is doing everything it possibly can. Follow the directions of the apolitical, nonpartisan scientific experts. Wash your hands and dont touch your face.
“Your Government is doing everything it possibly can.”
Ummmm not to pick nits, but isn’t that a political opinion?
No. I'm listening to Fauci not Trump.
It is already too late.
The virus has spread too widely in the United States to now stop it. We had our chance about a month ago, but it would have required a complete shut-down of anyone entering the United States from outside the country, very rigorous testing and a complete tracking of any person testing positive to see who they may have contacted.
The choice was instead made to keep the economy running along without disruption. This is the same decision most countries made and are still making.
This virus spreads much more easily than the flu. A person with the flu spreads that virus on average to about 1.25 other people. Over 20 transmissions about 20 thousand or so people will be infected. One person with the Covid-19 virus on average will spread the virus to somewhere around 5 other people (the figures given vary but all are much higher than the flu). With 20 transmissions of the Covid-19 virus, about 330 billion people will be infected. Since there are only about 7 billion people on earth, good luck in evading this bugger.
The Covid-19 virus can remain infectious on hard surfaces for up to 9 days under the right conditions (the right temperature and humidity and lack of sunlight). It can spread by both droplet and by aerosol. And a person who is not showing symptoms can spread the virus without knowing they are. This is much different than most virus-caused diseases that only are infectious once symptoms being to present. It also has a fatality rate of about 3.4% (WHO figures) which compares to a fatality rate from the flu of about 0.1%. A very nasty little bugger that makes me wonder if this was cooked up in a lab somewhere.
With about 7 billion people on the planet and assuming about 60% infection of the population and a 3.4% death rate, you are looking at 140 million deaths worldwide. But this assumes that everyone will have access to good medical care.
Unlike other natural disasters (hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, etc.) that strike at the infrastructure and cause problems with water, electricity and food supplies, this one will strike at the medical infrastructure. The number of people infected is doubling about every four to five days where no quarantine has been imposed. Where some communities in the United States are presently starting to see a quick rise in cases, within about two weeks or less there will be more people presenting with severe pneumonia than what the hospitals can handle. Then hard decisions will need to be made who will be treated and who will be left untreated and to handle their illness on their own.
If you happened to see some of the videos that were coming out of Wuhan before China completely clamped down on any information coming out of that area, it was horrifying. The hospitals were completely overwhelmed. Crematoria workers said that two-thirds of the dead were being picked up at their homes rather than from hospitals; the hospitals sent them home because they couldn't handle them or people were afraid to go to the hospital because of fear of becoming infected with the Covid-19 virus. If you had a heart attack or other serious condition that would need immediate attention, forget about it as there was no one to help you. This is the condition that northern Italy is now facing. And a similar condition could be facing parts of the United States in about ten days.
The only way to stop this from happening is a complete and thorough quarantine. It has to happen now or else the conditions in Wuhan and northern Italy will be here before you know it. I don't think that a quarantine will occur until it is too late because all politicians don't want to make that choice; it interferes with the economy too much and disrupts everyone's lives too much. Don't want the voters made at me, don't you know. Only when the situation becomes dire will the quarantine occur and by then it will be too late for many people who will be needing medical care. It doesn't make any difference which political party is running the show, the results would have been the same.
I see most people in complete denial. What happened in Wuhan can and will happen here. It is the same virus and we are the same species. Wuhan apparently had a pretty good medical infrastructure and northern Italy certainly does. Wuhan broke under the strain and the medical infrastructure in northern Italy appears to be in very dire condition. But people in this country are more worried about not stopping the NCAA basketball tournament, other sporting events, and just making things inconvenient in their life.
So I do not see good things coming our way in the next few months. I am not worried about water, electricity or sewer service. I am stocked up on food (the first time I have ever done this). And toilet paper. Tomorrow I am going to check with my pharmacy to see if they can refill my prescriptions ahead of time; I presently have about two months left on my three-month prescriptions, but if I can get them refilled, I am going to do so.
There is a lot of good information (meaning correct) and useful information coming out on this. Unfortunately, our media and politicians are not the ones providing this information. Check out my previous post on this thread to links to a couple of YouTube posters, both medically trained professionals, that have been presenting very good information on this topic.
Boy, do I hope I am wrong about this. But my eyes don't lie and my scientific training tells me to accept what I see and to not ignore it. I wouldn't mind being sarcastically called a prepper a couple of months from now, but that is not what I see coming.
People assessing a government's response is an opinion (political or otherwise) as they are not expert to judge the response and even "experts" disagree.
Time to assign this thread to the Steam Room. It's depressing enough to read the click bait on news services. I don't like the way this issue is invading a good stamp forum.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nR0lOtdvqyg
Once upon a time - like, say, three days ago - I had the same dire outlook as okstamps.
But the WHO interview reminds me that
- epidemics are not uniform,
- government reactions to local outbreaks matter,
- the behavior of individuals matter, and
- anything that slows the spread of the disease allows time for vaccines & treatments to come online, while it reduces the deadly overflow at hospitals, etc.
What the WHO learned about Covid-19 in China
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (who certifies, under penalty of perjury, that he has not forced anyone to click into this thread)
Now we need one with Frazer as well
I just got back from the doctor's office for a planned checkup at a fairly large practice.
What was different?
1. Asked questions related to flu like symptoms and travels overseas first
2. Purell everywhere, masks on requests
3. Admins logging in patients wore gloves. People who had to fill out forms were given gloves
4. A few people had masks, saw none on staff
5. Asked if I could get a corona virus test - answer: No, I would have to contact state health office. NC state has test kits on back order per State due to issue with the kits. LabCorp supposedly has kits.
6. Did not see/hear anyone coughing, etc.
What a waste of time this thread has become. Long diatribes that highlight the most negative and questionable information that can be found and others presenting "information" regarding the U.S. test kits without understanding the distinctions between the public and private aspects of the situation. Elsewhere, others talk about the phase three (human) testing of new vaccine candidates as though they understand the process and why it can take 12-18 months. Spoiler alert: the drug companies are repeatedly sued when their approved products are blamed for causing alleged unexpected side effects, etc. The litigious nature of Americans has as much to do with the time it takes to approve new drugs as anything.
I'm probably as concerned as anyone here regarding the Wuhan virus. My wife has won the lottery when it comes to having ALL of the major pre-existing conditions that are likely to cause a severe reaction to the virus. Ironically, she has been involved in patient management in drug studies and has been responsible for setting up phase three studies for new cancer compounds. So we're aware of the importance of the studies and the extraordinary costs incurred in developing those compounds. Then there is the time it takes to get multiple sites set up with patient enrollment to do the studies and then navigate the FDA requirements and coordinate with the physicians and their administrators and legal staff as well as all the groups (including legal) within the pharmaceutical companies themselves that play a role in getting new drug compounds approved. No one in that process wants to take shortcuts or make mistakes. Lives depend on everyone doing their jobs to the best of their ability. Too many politicians and too many posters to this thread (and elsewhere online) don't understand the situation well enough to be commenting on it! As Fauci and Azar have pointed out, we're dealing with the equivalent of the "fog of war." Everyone needs to step back, take a deep breath and take personal responsibility by following the general precautions for avoiding infections. We've learned to live with the various strains of the flu that infect millions and kill thousands each and every year. We'll learn to live with this new virus if it too becomes yet another in the long list of health issues we all must deal with. Be responsible and be safe!
as requested:-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sxqvwkmTNy8
"negative aspects ?"
That sort of implies that there are countervailing reasonably positive aspects. About the only one I can imagine is the possibility the growing world population may pause a bit. Otherwise perhaps we should close our eyes, put a paper bag over our heads and hope for the best. Now that I think about it, noting that rubbing one's eyes appears to be a common entry point for the virus, using a paper bag might just help. preferably one with the name of some upscale store emblazoned in fashionably bright colors, of course.
Maybe having this house alone out on the Texas Tundra might not be such a bad idea either. If I do not run out of hinges, I have enough stamps to stay secluded and busy for a year or more.
I think the main question here is if the corona virus is affecting our stamp collecting in any perceivable way. Are we buying less stamps in fear we might need money for hand sanitizer which went from $3/bottle to $184? Are we having less time for stamps for whatever virus-related reason?
I am not affected as of yet. Happy stamp collecting as usual.
As the OP on this... Please don't pull this thread. It may be a tall order but we're all adults and ought to be able to discuss this without political jabs. I think there have been an equal number of them on here from both sides of the divide.
As Cougar said, the intent was to have a forum to discuss how this impacts collecting.
This week’s edition of the Economist just arrived and they have, as per their usual high journalistic standards, a good article comparing how different countries are dealing with Covid19. They cited Singapore as being particularly well prepared. After the SARS scare, Singapore created a thorough plan for dealing with any future epidemics and it is paying off for them.
There is also a graph showing how the flow of tourism into certain areas does not align with the numbers of cases that you would expect to see. Raises many interesting questions about the accuracy of the reported numbers of cases.
Another point they mention is that most medical masks are manufactured in China. It might behoove the USA to encourage making some of these critical supplies domestically in the future.
I live near Halifax in Nova Scotia and in the Summer and Fall our area depends on getting tourist money from the many cruise ships that stop here. They are discussing now about cancelling that for the Summer, or whether people will actually even take cruises. I imagine most coastal cities around the world are discussing the same things. It should make for a very interesting tourist season everywhere. They've already cancelled all international school trips. How about large sporting events around the world?
" How about large sporting events around the world?"
"... I just got back from the doctor's office for a planned checkup at a fairly large practice ..."
"... Spoiler alert: the drug companies are repeatedly sued when their approved products are blamed for causing alleged unexpected side effects, etc ..."
"... I think the main question here is if the corona virus is affecting our stamp collecting in any perceivable way ..."
"... I live near Halifax in Nova Scotia and in the Summer and Fall our area depends on getting tourist money from the many cruise ships that stop here ..."
"... most medical masks are manufactured in China ..."
Due to the Coronavirus The Philatelic Gathering is cancelled this month. We meet in West Chester, Pa. Our average age is above 60.
So far this is not affecting me or my family. If necessary my wife can work from home.
I'm spending a few days at the new home, lots of cleaning to get to before the movers bring our furniture. I'll probably take a walk over to the APS tomorrow and check out their sales department and library.
I'll let you know what precautions they are planning.
My husband and I spent a few hours in the emergency room at a large, well respected hospital here. A few observations
Maybe 5 to 10 percent of the nurses wore masks.I did not see even 1 doctor with a mask on. Our doctor introduced himself, shook hands and discussed what they were going to look for and the procedurec used.
Almost all doctors and nurses used scrub sinks rather than the wall mounted hand sanitizers. I asked why and was told that soap and water is MUCH better at getting rid of germs than hand sanitizer.
In other words, no real changes yet.
Good News for stamp auction addicts.
Since DOCTOR WHO and CDC have indicated
that the virus does not survive on
inanimate objects for more than three
days, and one somewhat unsubstantiated
rumor suggest that nine days is safe
enough, our USPS, in an abundance of
caution had announced that no mail
delivery will be sped up faster than
one fortnight from the cancellation
date for any regular mail item. Since
Priority and Express customers already
pay a special fee such mail will be
held to the standard three week schedule.
This will surely kill any chance of
passing the infection between the often
apparently inanimate postal workers.
Also highway repair crews engaged in
moving small potholes from side lanes
to center lanes will not be able to
remain at home due to infection exposure
unless they can demonstrate a body
temperature of at least ninety-six
degrees. They will be issued new IDs
stamped "CIW" (Certified Inanimate Workers.)
Well I guess anyone in the States waiting on letters/packages from Europe will, with the latest news, have another month before they arrive.
Yes, see, a built in safety factor, unless the mail deliverer
wipes his, or her, nose just before putting the mail in the
mail slot. I suppose a short ride around in a circle in the
microwave on the reheat cycle would clean the still sealed
envelope and its contents.
I sure hope the Queen does not mind.
"The 1918 Spanish Flu did not sink Cunard Lines."
I feel sorry for middle income families who saved up to take the kids to Disney and Universal. They have purchased their tickets - do they cancel or risk it? The drop in attendance at the parks will probably taper off as many of these folks who committed will still go. I wonder at what point the parks will choose to close.
We are also entering Spring Break week - peak tourist time for the entire year. I wonder if the college students opt to stay away.
Tourism is Florida’s primary industry and a huge income source for taxes. We don’t have a state income tax, but we do have high taxes on hotels and restaurants to compensate.
The biggest threat to everyone today is the mobility of the human race. 90+% of the world's population could hop on a plane tomorrow and go anywhere. Keeping track of who they meet and what they touch is impossible.
I watched Liverpool lose to Atletico Madrid today. No handshakes, but elbow bumps between players and officials.
Self-isolation (ie: becoming a hermit) is the most logical response at this time
I'm a big NBA fan and turned on the computer a few minutes ago only to learn that the season was suspended - a player tested positive for corona virus. With all the players and fans in the arenas that could be really serious. I wonder what the MLB and NHL are going to do. If I remember right there was a Stanley Cup final between Seattle and Montreal cut short in 1919 due to the Spanish Flu. All us sports fans are going to have a tough year! By the way, I think the NBA is doing what they have to do and I would bet the next step is cancelling the Stanley cup and then the MLB season. I hope this ends soon!!!
Harvey, you can remember 1919?!?
Wow, philately really is a hobby for old-timers!
Over here in the Netherlands new mitigation measures have been announced. Work from home if you can, stay at home if you do not feel 100%, all meetings of more than 100 people are cancelled, which includes museums.
I suppose that means more time for the stamps...
While lying low at home, I should start trading my extra rolls of toilet paper for the stamps of Basel, Geneva, and Zürich.
Following all the developments in the past several hours we've decided the time has come to hunker down. I'm past 60, no underlying issues my wife is several years younger but we're just not going too chance this. We have a 24 year old son living with us he works at a Federal job and plans to tele commute starting next week. We ought to be able to buy groceries on line, I can still get out and go walking so long as I don't stop and talk to anyone. Our son came home last night with four packages of TP, so we are truly hunkered now.
I can get caught up now on stamp projects.
I got an email from my Doctor's office that informed anyone with a cold or flu to call first. Do not go to the office.
The widespread impacts are unprecedented in recent history.
"The 1918 Spanish Flu did not sink Cunard Lines."
"...While that is 100% true, the size of the tourism industry ..."
A little idea of mine - replace your bathroom hand towel with a pile of washcloths. Everyone who washes their hands gets a clean mini towel. White is best as you can bleach the dirty towels.
Also - I am spraying and wiping down doorknobs and other frequently touched surfaces with diluted bleach water. Anything touched by multiple hands should be disinfected.
Anyone else have little tips to share?
I know someone who just puts a roll of paper towels in the bathrooms for people to use.
We took our own plastic gloves to the shops today only to find that every place had both gloves and hand sanitizer and wipes on a table at the entrance !! I thought that was pretty organized !
The Grandson was due to come over and stay tonight but developed a cough so didn't come. Now we may cancel the Shabat dinner for tomorrow.
On a more grand scale, I have had to cancel my visit to 'London 2020' International Stamp Exhibition (If it still goes ahead, nor certain) because of current restrictions here in Israel. Massive disappointment which may be tempered if they plan not to go ahead with it at this time.
The world is in an odd place is it not !!
Londonbus1
"... I am spraying and wiping down doorknobs and other frequently touched surfaces ..."
Just saw on CNN: The NCAA is cancelling March Madness this year. I will not be surprised to hear that the NHL cancels the rest of their season. I'd bet MLB will at the least postpone the season opening, with possibly playing a shortened season starting later.
Earlier there was a rumor making the rounds that a dealer at a major Midwest Stamp show had come own with it but that proved not to be. I fully expect to start seeing shows cancelled as local communities clamp down on this stuff.
Good Advice from a video on the BBC ...
Behave like you already have the virus'
An infectious disease expert says people shouldn't just try to avoid getting coronavirus - instead, they should act as though they already have the virus and want to avoid passing it on.
Professor Graham Medley, from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), said this during an interview with BBC Newsnight last night when asked if there was a "simple message" he could give the public.
His response was: "Most people have a fear of acquiring the virus, but I think a good way of doing it is to imagine that you do have the virus, and change your behaviour so that you're not transmitting it.
"Don't think about changing your behaviour so you won't get it. Think about changing your behaviour so you don't give it to somebody else."
In the interview, Prof Medley also discussed how herd immunity can help protect the population, and how vulnerable people can be protected.
Just watching the European Union President giving a speech on what member states should do. The EU will set up a committee of experts to advise them. They promise that that they will do everything required.
However every country must remain unified and stick to the European Rules that are current or what the EU decides during this crises.
The question remains "Are you telling me that the billions of Euro's that they have had over the years that NOTHING was done to prepare for any type of pandemic?"
Leaders? I wouldn't trust them to run a bath.
Keep Safe.
Ian, hopefully they will video conference to help stop the spread of the virus.
".... The world is in an odd place is it not !!...."
Just for you Mike.
Curious Planet
Hurricanes, Tornadoes, Earthquakes,
Floods, Fires and Drought,
Pestilence, Pogroms and Wars,
What a curious planet we dwell upon,
Providing the wonders of birth,
The cornucopia of health and wealth,
Yet, apparently hell bent,
On destroying it all,
In a constant series of disasters,
That never cease, their Conga line,
Endlessly arriving, suddenly,
And wreaking their horrors,
Departing in an unfathomable way,
Renewing the very life,
They set out to eliminate.
What a curious planet, indeed.
©Charlie Jensen 2018
I am a bit astounded that it is news that we should have good hygiene and wash our hands. The fact that we are now seeing news stories about airlines actually cleaning the planes, which should be standard procedure on every day of the week, is a sad commentary.
As a person who has been immunocompromised for the last 6 years, I have had to take extraordinary precautions over this time. I have 5 sets of ‘medical clothes’ that I wear exclusively at all medical appointments. When I come home the 4 times a week that I have medical procedures, I strip off my clothes and shoes in the garage before entering the house. I carry a backpack full of masks, gloves, and sanitizer wipes everywhere I go.
Studies show that we touch our face an average of 23 times per hour. No matter how hard I tried I could not seem to change this behavior for myself. So instead I decided to approach this issue by keeping my hands as clean as I could. Over the last 6 year, my hands have been perpetually dried out due to the 30-40 times a day that I use hand sanitizers. (By the way if you ever need to start your fireplace or a bush pile, hand sanitizer makes a great fire starter. There is that much alcohol in it!) These behaviors might sound a bit extreme, but I managed to stay alive and not get any secondary infections that those around me succumbed to.
Don
I think we should move this thread over to
"Off-Topic"
" ....These behaviors might sound a bit extreme, but I managed to stay alive and not get any secondary infections that those around me succumbed to....."
No Don, in your situation the behavior is far from extreme. Keep it up as long as you can.
Normally, I believe that people wash their hands when they have done something that obviously involves them possibly having been soiled, and our bodies develop healthy defense mechanisms for the normal bacteria they live with.
I read a study years ago that seemed to indicate that those who are overly worried about such things (germs) and try to totally avoid contact, become more susceptible to harm from otherwise symbiotic bacteria that actually protects somewhat from strains foreign (to them) bacterial infestation. At least that was the theory.
An example was given of parents who are obsessive about protecting their children from every and any germ imaginable. As a child grows and fights off biological infections it often naturally develops immunities from further infections. The child who does not get the opportunity to do so naturally can be subject to further biological attacks as they never were allowed to develop those immunities.
Such immunities are exactly what is meant when someone with Don's health problems is said to have compromised immunity systems.
So right now when the nation is being attacked by a new and vicious viral bacteria, wash frequently and regularly. Yesterday when I went to the Amarillo VAMC to see the regular PCP for the annual check-up, I wore "rubber" gloves and interestingly was asked by more than one person why, or, if I had a cold or something. "No, (silly, I thought.) hospitals are full of sick people !" and for the duration I would do the same thing. No need to bring home any new strange exotic pets.
Sorry, but I just had to return and edit some of the typos and defeat the "Spellcheck app" which apparently insisted replacing "immunities" with "immensities."
"Anyone else have little tips to share? "
Moved to Off Topic since devoid of any philatelic content.
It took a few days here, but yesterday the local grocery stores were cleaned out of toilet paper! There was even a fight at No Frills for some! I'd be more concerned getting a small stockpile of dry & canned goods.
I went to Ottawa on Thursday by train. Business class car only had ½ a dozen or so people in it. Everything seemed normal in the capital. Only a couple people wearing paper masks, and one guy with a monster blue, orange and green plastic thing covering cheek to cheek, nose to mouth. But his eyes were still unprotected.
Hopefully, like Trump says, it will go away once the weather warms up
Local stamp show scheduled for today cancelled, as was another upcoming one
for the 28th and 29th of this month.
Very bummed to also report the cancellation of the Reba concert that was coming
to Grand Rapids in May! My awesome wife gifted me with tickets for the show
at Christmas. I just told her last night to apply for a refund today.
May seems quite a ways away from now....seems odd to me to cancel that far out,
but I'm no expert....I don't think ANYone is, really, in situations like this.
My daughter works for Meijer Corporate;
They have been sent home for the next 3 weeks to work from home.
Local schools have closed for 3 weeks and are discussing the possibility of remaining closed for the remaining school year!
Panic sure makes people do unusual things.......
"... Amazon pulled his items and thousands of other listings for sanitizer, wipes and face masks. The company suspended some of the sellers behind the listings and warned many others that if they kept running up prices, they’d lose their accounts. EBay soon followed with even stricter measures, prohibiting any U.S. sales of masks or sanitizer ..."
This may have been referenced earlier but the APS has a cancellation page for shows cancelled or postponed due to this:
https://stamps.org/news/c/news/cat/news/post/cancelled-shows-march-2020-update
I went to my local supermarket yesterday and it was bedlam. All the toilet tissue was sold out and it looks like there is a run on some canned goods as well. I wore gloves and no one else I saw was doing so and in fact I got a few odd looks from store staff.
(Modified by Moderator on 2020-03-14 16:10:13)
Some smaller shows are not listed with the APS...just an FYI.
About an hour ago our doorbell rang. It was a lady down our street asking us we are all OK and if anybody needed anything. Apparently our neighborhood association is going to be doing this on an ongoing basis awhile. she left a number with us to call if we needed anything. I'm sometimes a bit of a cynic -I'm sure no one on here disagrees but I was a bit moved by the effort. She had a clipboard and we're now in a chain of residents to be looked out for.
Maybe there's hope for society after all.
Well, I just had a double Sonic Burger brought in
and thus have placed my future in the hands of some
anonymous high school kid who may not have any real
idea about the new stricter hand sanitation rules.
But the burger was really good.
Lets see how this works out.
All schools, college, libraries, city facilities and activities, churches that I know of, amusement facilities are shut here. The markets are all devoid of meat, dairy, canned goods, rice, pasta, freezer meals, dry goods, flour, sugar, of course toilet paper, sanitizer, and water, household cleaning products, soap, rubbing alcohol, Tylenol / Advil / etc., water filters.
There are no active cases in our city yet. The nearest is 25 miles away.
I live in Southern California, “earthquake country”, so we are in the habit of keeping emergency stores of water, non-perishable foods, and first aid on hand. But now I’m concerned that we’re going to have to go into our emergency supplies just because we can’t get day-to-day groceries. I guess that situation in itself will constitute our emergency.
I think it’s good that all non-essential facilities are shut, because I think a tremendous amount of spread could have been prevented if other countries would have shut everything down sooner. If our situation is the worst we have to deal with, I’ll be thankful.
I wish we could quarantine the media and slow down all this insane mass hysteria and panic. We need to replace it all with ONE message: KEEP CALM AND WASH YOUR HANDS!
DITTO!!!
I assume “MSM” means “main stream media” and not something out of “50 shades of Gray”? If yes, why would referring to main stream media’s over hyping of this issue be banned here? There are a few reactionary groups that use that term in a derogatory way to mean only some sources but technically it means all large audience media.
In any case, my statement applies to ALL forms of media no matter where they tend to fall on the political spectrum.
If I mention the fake news "hyping" the Wuhan Virus my post are deleted. You either believe MSM or you don't. They are the problem. It is like the tabloids at the super market check out. They are causing panic and that is what they are trying to do. It is all President Donald Trump's fault. They were losing their minds yesterday because he touched the microphone at a press conference. Do you really think that is news?
I said it before and I'll say it again.
Panic and hysteria are not appropriate.
Wash your hands.
Vince
Oh my - read my edited post above. I DID NOT mention specific media sources, my statement referred to ALL sources no matter their political leanings. But by using the terms “fake news” and so on, you are making a statement that is fiercely political and those are banned from Stamporama.
Innocent statements being vilified as political and heated politically charged responses are why that Stamporama rule was created. These don’t bring anything positive to the site so please stop assuming that my apolitical statements are supporting any political position.
Now I remember WHY I left Stamporama during the last election. This type of attacking attitude STINKS. Knock it off!
Please explain why "Fake News" is political? I didn't mention any news outlet. Please point out in my post where I did. Maybe you don't like my opinion and call it political when it is not. Trying to get my posts censored.
Vince
It is tough to discuss this when you edit posts after I respond. You are now trying to change what I am responding to. That is not being truthful. Trying to change the narrative and make my response not make sense. Shame on you. I remember when you left in a huff because I called you on changing your posts and deleting them after I responded to them.
I never mentioned any specific news outlet.
Vince
We are not having a discussion in real time - this is not a chatroom
I deleted my posts in the past to get the trolls to quit beating up on me. The conversations had shifted from discussions to personal attacks as this one has done. Whatever happened to polite discourse? You frame your responses in terms of “You think this ... “ and then attack me for thinking that way. Simply phrase your opinion and eliminate the YOU aspect. Argue the IDEA not the person expressing it.
Possibly some of you may have already seen this. Brought a smile to my face.
Now for something Philatelic.
List of stamp shows that are cancelled.
https://stamps.org/news/c/news/cat/news/post/cancelled-shows-march-2020-update
Vince
"Tiresome to Bloody Nuisance."
Sheepshanks - enjoyed that bit very much. You planning your garden yet?
Hi Sally, appreciate your comment. Not planned anything on paper yet for the garden, it is still under a foot or so of snow, and more in the forecast.
Guess will have to look out and throw away some of the old seed and work on the new but nothing will be planted until mid May at the earliest. Usually buy in things like tomatoes and brassicas as they need a longer growing period which the commercial garden centres can do best.
I predict that approximately nine months from now there will be
a large influx of new babies born into this world;
I also predict that by 2041 or so they will be referred to as the
"Pandemic Generation".
Let's just hope that we don't start seeing names like "Corona' for girls
and 'Covid' for boys.....
Glen Stephen's chat board has a 40 post thread concerning show cancellations:
https://www.stampboards.com/viewtopic.php?f=13&t=89825
That board is not known for genteel discussion, comments have been made about the usual unsanitary state of many shows. Personally I've seen table dealers eating carry out foo with their fingers then without even a wipe, going through their stock. Many shows are breeding grounds for this stuff.
Look for London 2020 to be cancelled or postponed.
Hi Vince,
In my opinion the media, all the media, is nothing like it was 30-40 years ago. As someone who has been negatively affected by the mask/sanitizer/wipes panic that the media has caused with their agendas, I really wish folks would reject the media's behavior.
Last summer Matt Taibbi wrote an introspective article named "The Media’s 10 Rules of Hate" which outlined how the media primarily now sells division. In it he said, "To make money, we’ve had to train audiences to consume news in a certain way. We need you anxious, pre-pissed, addicted to conflict...We’ve discovered we can sell hate, and the more vituperative the rhetoric, the better. This also serves larger political purposes." He goes on to list the '10 Rules of Hate' that his industry uses to make money.
Full article is here if you are interested https://washingtonspectator.org/taibbi-10rulesofhate/
In my opinion the Hatred he outlines has already been assimilated by much of the public; people now consume news to be affirmed, not to be informed.
Don
Hi Don. I think you put that quite well. I didn't know about that article by Matt Taibbi, but I have generally liked his articles in the past.
The radio station I volunteer at is a community radio station. We list events going on in the community in between music. We had to pull most of them due to all the closures in the area. The music will go on.
WRDV.org
Tomorrow night I will continue with my Blues program 10-1.
Vince
"So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is...fear itself" Franklin D. Roosevelt
It is times like this that I understand this quote more than ever.. We are seeing
people acting without reason and in what I think is an irrational manner. They are going
to the stores where there are crowds of people touching shopping carts with there
hands buying toilet paper?
Me and my wife are retired and therefore can just wait this insanity out at home.
The fact is that the trucks carrying these product are on the highway right now, and
the shelves will be full again.
Over the last two months I purchased a large stock of canned and dried food online from Amazon and also Nuts.com. I did that because I assumed there would be a quarantine of some sort eventually but mainly to get items that my local WalMart just does not carry. I also found that some items were cheaper through Amazon or Nuts.com than what WalMart has them priced at, especially when purchased in bulk.
Also, since I don't own a motor vehicle and perform all my errands on bicycle, having groceries delivered to my door is very convenient. I never liked the 9.5 mile round-trip grocery runs.
A couple of days ago when I placed an order on Amazon pickings were getting slim with many items out of stock or with a long delay before being available again. I did get coffee, coffee creamer, garbage bags and dishwashing detergent. Some small food items that had a selling price of $1 or less had a limit of two where before one could order as many as you wanted.
I just checked on Amazon again a few minutes ago. Now everything is gone. Everything is either out of stock for weeks or more or just has a notice that it is no longer in stock and it is not known if it will ever be in stock again. Other items that I had previously purchased have now been marked up in price by 100-200%.
I am planning on making one last run to WalMart to pick up a few items and then sit back and watch things progress over the next month or two. I just need some butter, margarine, chorizo sausage (it goes in with the beans in the slow cooker to give them some flavor), some cans of chopped tomatoes (again with the beans) and perhaps some bagged salads. I will probably take this trip tomorrow and see what I can find. I have a shopping bag that I purchased when living in The Netherlands; it is a very large two-handled very tough plastic bag about 2-3 times larger than an ordinary grocery bag. I figured if I used this I wouldn't need to touch any grocery carts. The doors open automatically, so no doors to open manually. I can check myself out, so no clerks handling my groceries at check-out. So other than for the stockers touching the items, limited touching of any sort involved.
It is a whole new world out there that came out the blue very unexpectedly.
Saw a video on YouTube yesterday posted by a YouTube regular that I follow. I believe it was of a store opening in Australia with the camera trained down the aisle where the toilet paper was stocked. As the front door opened, the crowd poured down the aisle containing the toilet paper, with everyone grabbing as much as they could.
The person that posted the video rightly commented that this was one of the most stupid things he as ever seen. Here we have a highly contagious virus that everyone is supposedly afraid of and what do they do, they rush elbow-to-elbow together in a packed crowd down an aisle to fight over something that they can't eat. He commented that if that was him, he would be looking for the canned beans.
"he would be looking for the canned beans."
"... “You think this ... “ and then attack me for thinking that way ..."
"... List of stamp shows that are cancelled ..."
I went out to pick up a few groceries today - the stores really are out of toilet paper! Can anyone out there explain why there is a run (s?) on toilet paper. It really doesn't make sense to me!
"... Can anyone out there explain why there is a run (s?) on toilet paper ..."
"...- the stores really are out of toilet paper!"
Hey Theresa.. I see you talking about trolls and why you left SoR... I hated to see you go.. as we head into November, just one question. Wanna go double or nothing?
Trolls is another popular word that is tossed around that covers a broad area depending on one's views.
Q/ So how come there are no reports of panic-buying at Michael's, as parents stock-up on arts'n'crafts kits to keep their kids busy during the shutdown?
Meanwhile, up-bubbles a memory of Larry (Room 201) and I (Room 204) quickly tiring of dorm life and, together with Ken (I forget) renting that premier status symbol, an Off-Campus Apartment.
It being the Spring of 1971 - everyone was busy groping their way back to the land - about one day into this adventure I find that Larry and Meg (his girlfriend) have bought a pillow-sized (?ten ?twenty pound) sack of flour and a commensurately enormous sack of sugar so that they can "save money" by baking their own bread.
I (thoughtfully, as always) explained that bread was the last & dumbest place to try & save money, as the stuff cost next to nothing at the grocery store, and nobody eats much of it, anyway.
They put their hurt noses in the air and said, basically: "Well, then, no bread for you."
I don't remember how long it took but, one weekend, Larry gifted the baking supplies on his mother (he lived less than fifty miles away) and that was that.
I am only sorry that her reaction has been lost to history.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
ikeyPikey wrote:
"Larry (Room 201) and I (Room 204)"
Moreland Hall at SUNY Oswego. It's the dorm closest to town...and the bars. That would be the fall of 1991.
"I predict that approximately nine months from now there will be
a large influx of new babies born into this world;
"
I just got a message from Norfrim that some may find of interest:
'
Dear customer,
We are monitoring the development of the Corona virus closely here at Nordfrim.
Our greatest priority in this situation is the health of our customers and co-workers and we are following the guidelines provided by Government and taking all necessary precautions.
We are doing our best to keep our business running as usual in this extraordinary situation and you can still visit and purchase from our web-site and contact us by phone, email and post.
As the situation is right now we are still able to deliver to customers worldwide with the exception of Italy and potentially with smaller delays in some countries.
We hope that by joint effort we will get through this challenging situation in a good way and we look forward to hearing from you again.
Best regards,'
This is the first admission I've seen from a philatelic dealer that things are messed up. FWIW, I did get the shipment from Schaubek I referred to, came today. DHL tracking was not working.
Please remember that Millennials - indeed, all of the Sesame Street Generations - need encouraging.
Q/ Will there be a Participation Trophy ?
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
My sincere feelings about what is going on worldwide:
Thoughts about what's happening, from people I talk to: Not much, except for; whats going on?????
What I see in the news: Don't panic, just wash your hands and be sensible....BUT LOOK WHAT'S HAPPENING HERE!!!...AND HERE!!!!...AND HERE!!!!
What I see with my own eyes: Grandiose absurdities.
What I see in financial merkets: QUICK, PANIC NOW!!!! HE WHO PANICS FIRST, PANICS BEST!!! !!SELL,SELL,SELL!!!!!
And what will come of all the BS? Opportunity for those who instil and provoke panic. (Large banks are very, very good at this game...IMO)
Most of us here are old enough to remember all the panics of the past. How did our investments do during those panics? Were we worried about them when our very lives, our existence was at risk? Well, no, after all, what's a few bucks (our retirements!!!), when people are gonna die all around us???
My advice: Be sensible, and keep your powder dry. Opportunities will soon abound, if not there already.
Someone exclaimed to me, yesterday, that there is NO MORE EATING OFF OF THE FLOOR. No five-second rule, no three-second rule, no eating anything that touches the floor, period.
The reason, they went on to explain, was that (they heard that) "this virus is especially heavy, much heavier than other viruses, so it ends-up on the floor".
I gasped (for air) and grasped (for my handy handle on reality), and the best I could come up with (hey, it was real-time) was that it was like dropping a goldfish bowl; what made the mess was not the size of the goldfish, but the size of the bowl.
Actually, that's not too bad. The nanoscopic virus is in a microscopic water droplet. Larger water droplets fall more quickly, and smaller water droplets fall more slowly ("aerosol") because air is, like, you know, made of stuff.
I have this non-memory of sucking on a joint and exhaling: "Whoa, man, heavy virus."
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
A few ramblings from me...
We need to make sure the hundreds of medical school students graduate on time. They have spent almost 8 years in college, and they are almost finished. Give them their white coats and assign them across the country without delay. Us older folk, and the country, are going to need these young people on the front lines of this virus.
Keep eating your bacon and eggs for breakfast. There will be no shortage. Iowa has millions of chickens and millions of pigs. Farmers are producing more food every single day across North America. The workers who collect the eggs dress like ER nurses, and you cannot enter turkey or hog production facilites without protective gear. It has been this way for years. No days off for the farmer, as spring planting is coming up soon.
Got my worm bedding ready, the rains will come.
The worms will come out and "the early bird catches the worm." That's me.
The fish will start biting, and I know where to catch the walleyes, crappies, blue gills, and catfish. My fillet knife is sharp.
The asparagus and rhubarb will come up, and I know where the morel mushrooms can be found in the woods. The potatoes and onions will be planted, the raspberries will come on.
And so it goes...a country boy can survive.
Linus
Linus, i agree, i think folks will find out they can get along on the basic stuff oatmeal,tea, the weekly coupon sales. I grew up on a farm..i had to do my share..but we ate very well.
Phil, I challenged my wife to see how long we could go before we had to go to the grocery store. She said "when the milk runs out." She drinks milk, I do not. I told her I would get her a gallon at the gas station when I fill up the gas containers for the lawn mower, as the grass is just starting to green up here.
We have the greatest food production and distribution system in the world. Fuel shortage is not a problem. Stores will have temporary shortages, but they will be restocked, just have a little patience.
And if you truly have a need, I quote Mr. Fred Rogers:
“When I was a boy and I would see scary things in the news, my mother would say to me, "Look for the helpers. You will always find people who are helping.”
You might have to ask for the help, but Mr. Rogers spoke the truth.
Linus
When i was a kid i would never ask for help...it took a lifetime but i am better at it now. Our cars did not move today...but i better pick up a tonic water for my wifes happy hour tomorrow.
Insurance...Man's Insurmountable Burden.
Just learned that ALL insurance companies will not pay out on their Business Interuption Disease clause. Why? Covid-19 is a new disease and not on their list!! So much for their "All Risks" policies.
I heap a plague of locusts upon them!!
" .... I went out to pick up a few groceries today - the stores really are out of toilet paper! Can anyone out there explain why there is a run (s?) on toilet paper. It really doesn't make sense to me! ''''"
I think that some folks noticed that one of the potential side effects of Covid-19 is or can be, diarrhea, and perhaps those who are usually referred to as "Big Bottoms" just got the ball rolling and the news then spread to some who are actually just "small bottoms."
I heard that if 1 person sneezes, 100 people will crap themselves.
I went shopping yesterday, to stock up on essentials, and saw piles of T-Paper on sale, with the regular shelves fully stocked, as usual. Actually, I didn't notice anything different in the supermarket, or on the streets. Traffic only slightly down from normal. Only 1 person wearing a mask.
I'm in Mexico, by the way. People don't seem to panic here, over every little thing. Let's see how it all develops, as time goes by.
Since Iowa has now closed all restaurants and banned meetings of more than 10 people, we have had to cancel our stamp club meeting for next week. Half of our members don't have computers or cell phones so we can't even do a meeting in virtual space.
The economic fallout is already hitting our family - my niece (an accountant) lost her job yesterday as the restaurant chain she worked for closed all 33 locations. My oldest daughter is interviewing for architect positions and was told yesterday that one firm likely won't be able to hire anyone this year. She is still in the running for several other positions so she still has hope.
Very thankful to have a job in a hospital. All employees are being screened before entering the facility. My husband works in a different hospital in the emergency room - he said two different families were caught trying to steal boxes of face masks so now the masks are in a secure location under lock and key. Very strange times we are living in...
"Can anyone out there explain why there is a run (s?) on toilet paper. "
It’s getting wild out there.
Last evening some guy walked into the Supermarket near us with a .45 automatic and started shooting. Not at people, at windows and stuff on the shelves. Guess he was annoyed they’re still out of TP. He got tackled by security but the store closed until today.
Today, same store- I was checking out and the checker, an older guy I knew from when we worked together at my former job, commented ‘They don’t know where this virus came from’. I said they do, from Wuhan he said ‘well that’s what THEY want you to believe.’ He then went into detail about what should happen to the store owner in Wuhan where it started, something about taking him behind a building and putting a bullet in his head. I told him i think that already happened. Then I remembered why I avoided him when we worked together.
I'm stuck at home along with my wife and 23 year old son who is telecommuting. I figure I can still get out for walks so long as I don't stop to talk to anybody.
Around here the toilet paper and paper towel shelves are empty but also the egg shelves. I don't have a clue what people are doing with all of the eggs. My brother works at Walmart. He said when the truck comes in they have to block the aisle so they can restock because people are trying to open the cases to get the toilet paper.
I guess some people dance to a different drummer.
I went for a few (yes, just a few) groceries yesterday. Bread, Eggs & milk were pretty much cleaned out. Still a few, but not much. Of course TP disappeared last week!
They'll be re-stocked soon enough for people to go crazy again!
I go to the supermarket in Forfar every Thursday at the same time of day. I normally buy the same things. Yes I am a creature of habit.
I spend around £35 every week there.
Today I spent £3.60!!
ie 1 loaf of bread and 2 Bottles of diluting juice.
No milk, no beans, no butter, no eggs, no Coke, etc etc etc.
I came back to Brechin, went to the supermarket there and couldn't get the car parked as the car park was full. Drove home then walked to the supermarket and only able to buy 1 pint of milk and a bottle of coke.
The "locusts" had cleaned out the store of everything I wanted.
Thought you might appreciate this Ian.
A Wee Bit of Scottish Patter ???????????????????????????? ???????????? to keep us smiling ????
Tae a virus
Twa months ago, we didna ken,
yer name or ocht aboot ye
But lots of things have changed since then,
I really must salute ye
Yer spreading rate is quite intense,
yer feeding like a gannet
Disruption caused, is so immense,
ye’ve shaken oor wee planet.
Corona used tae be a beer,
they garnished it wae limes
But noo it’s filled us awe wae fear
These days, are scary times.
Nae shakin hawns, or peckin lips,
it’s whit they awe advise
But scrub them weel, richt tae the tips,
that’s how we’ll awe survive
Just stay inside , the hoose, ye bide
Nae sneakin oot for strolls
Just check the lavvy every hoor
And stock-take, your, loo rolls
Our holidays have been pit aff
Noo that’s the Jet2 patter
Pit oan yer thermals, have a laugh
And paddle ‘ doon the waater ‘
Canary isles, no for a while
Nae need for suntan cream
And awe because o this wee bug
We ken tae be..19
The boredom surely will set in,
But have a read, or doodle
Or plan yer menu for the month
Wi 95 pot noodles.
When these run oot, just look aboot
A change, it would be nice
We’ve beans and pasta By the ton
and twenty stane o rice.
So dinny think yell wipe us oot
Aye true, a few have died
Bubonic, bird flu, and Tb
They came, they left, they tried
Ye might be gallus noo ma freen
As ye jump fae cup tae cup
But when we get oor vaccine made
Yer number will be up.
Willie Sinclair.... March2020
Coronavirus Poem ... Coronaverse ?
Sheepshanks:-
Pure dead brilliant, by the way!
My local WalMart had just opened a drive-up in February. When I had ordered some canned diced tomatoes through Amazon last week, the order was canceled the next day because they were out of stock (or so they said). So I figured I would try my local WalMart - by using drive-up, I wouldn't need to walk through the virus soup inside. So I ordered my canned diced tomatoes (limited to two cans) and a few other things on Tuesday for pick-up on Wednesday. When Wednesday came around, I got an email from WalMart informing me that some of the items on my list were no longer available, with one item being canned diced tomatoes.
What is it with the canned diced tomatoes!
So I tried Amazon again, but now what had been selling for less than $1 a can is priced for at least $2 a can if not more (some were offering one can for as much as $30!).
So I went back to the online WalMart option. They had about a dozen different options available, with different brands, different sizes, some with peppers included, etc. So I ordered one or two of each, whatever I was allowed to do. I will see tomorrow if I end up with a year's supply of canned diced tomatoes or nothing at all.
Guess the convenience of having whatever we want at our fingertips at a moments notice is no longer an option, at least for a short while.
By the way, I noticed that I am now at a greater risk from this virus for another reason on top of my four previous risk factors. (1) I am over 60 years of age, (2) I am overweight, (3) I have high blood pressure (controlled with medication), (4) I have Type II diabetes (again controlled with medication), and now (5) I have Type B blood. Apparently people with Type B blood have a higher risk of developing a severe illness from the virus and also to die from this illness. I figured the WalMart drive-up would give me the best chance to maintain social distancing.
I also ordered some eggs and a five pound bag of potatoes. It will be interesting to see what will still be available tomorrow.
Being naturally suspicious of anything tied to blood types - that goofy match-your-diet-to-your-blood-type fad comes to mind - I googled and, relax okstamps, the elevated risk (in one study, not yet peer-reviewed) was for Type A, not (your )Type B.
The primary reason to be suspicious of any claim tied to blood types is that, had there been a strong survival advantage to one type over another, we probably would not have different types. Duh.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
The reason people are stockpiling canned tomatoes is to make sauces for the pasta they stockpiled earlier
I suspect some will have enough hoarded items to last a very long time.
Bad news. I'm furloughed for a minimum of 30 days. Couldnt have come at a worse time.
'
Went to my local Stop'n'Shop for the 0600-0730 Senior Shopping Window.
At 0559, the parking lot was full.
I had expected that Take Your Child to Work Day would become Take Your Parent to the Grocery Day, but not one attendee appeared to be under 60.
The store had some TP, and some bleach, and a zillion flavors of bottled water.
The canned beans were gone, as were most of the canned veggies and all of the distilled water (saving an idiot friend, who drinks the stuff).
The "self serve" (eg self-grab & self-scoop) stuff will not be re-stocked for the duration, so no loose bagels (plenty in bags of 6) and no olives (etc).
All in all, a good time was had by all.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
I'm on lockdown so I work with my stamps and visit StampoRama to see what's happening and ...
Wait a minute, nothing has changed.
Some days it's GOOD to be an introvert!
We're holed up here in south Bucks with the dog. In the past two days, two of our little grandchildren (they live about 12 miles away) have gone down with temperature and coughing, so it's likely their mum and dad will get it too. We were last with them last Thursday - so we're keeping fingers crossed till next Tuesday.
No eggs in the house now. But we have lots of food in the freezer, quite a lot of wine and some whisky and gin. And we've booked a grocery delivery for a week tomorrow, so we should be OK. No newspapers though. We take a brisk walk each day over fields and woods, keeping at least 2 metres away from anyone we meet.
But I have a heap of Latin American stamps to sort and get into the album, courtesy of SOR (thanks Bob!).
If you're sheltering in place and want to do some stamping, don't plan on placing orders from Mystic; they've shut down, per this email:
'Due to the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, Mystic is unable to ship orders until further notice. You can still add items to your shopping cart and you can place orders. Mystic will charge your credit card when you place an order, and ship it as soon as possible. Thank you for your understanding in these difficult times. Stay safe and enjoy your collections.'
Apparently it's proven to be a real crisis and not hysteria by the media..
We're also on lock down. Local media keeps telling people to 'have essential goods delivered'. How?? The big food chains here no longer will do this. I tried shopping this week, I felt I risked my life to do so. The public seems not to be getting the message about social distancing.
Same with the APS Stamp Store. Shut down. No orders taken for later.
It's getting worse day by day. Hopefully people will stay in place for a while while this thing blows over. Unfortunately, people where I am are going about it as any other day prior to this blowing up. All it takes is one person to mess things up!
I was out this morning for a walk at 6AM. Only saw one other person outside, and a few cars. I'll be out after dinner as well, as not many are out then either. Just need to get some steps in to help my back.
Hope i am not complaining,we are two senior citizens with no pre existing conditions...we still have the stamps and the internet..but all of a sudden to not have my gym,my favorite Chinese buffet..what happens to 30 or so Chinese waiters and food staff in the Hudson Valley when the owner shuts the door ? We will not hoard.. a couple of trips to the grocery store a week will do for us...we not the ones with the huge rolls of paper towels and toliet paper. The kids are reluctant to come around and possibly infect us. Sorry to hear about Ernie being laid off.
I'm an auto mechanic and we are still working, albeit slowing down with a few cancellations here and there.
But people still want their cars fixed - I assume as maybe their last bastion of freedom.
With gas prices down, people are taking to scenic drives just to get out.
It has been troublesome, though;
VERY difficult to avoid all germs when having to get in and out of other peoples' vehicles all day long. Impossible to sterilize an entire interior/exterior of a car. One sneeze and its everywhere. Weighs on all our minds here constantly.
What do you wipe down???
Steering wheels and columns
Inside and outside door handles
door frames
shift levers
wiper levers
arm rests
center consoles
glove box
keys
seat levers
hood release
fuel door release
And anything else we have to touch to work on....
Good grief.....
I think this was discussed on here but I'm worried about incoming mail having this stuff. I read the virus can live on paper or cardboard for anywhere from 1-3 days, and that doesn't count infection from a sick mail carrier. I went on a buying spree last week to have stuff to work on now I have a pile of unopened orders sitting on my bookcase.
"... I'm an auto mechanic and we are still working ..."
Just in case anyone has not had their fill of statistics this site has plenty.
https://virusncov.com/
I'm essential personnel so I am working as usual. I am work in social services with individuals with disabilities. It's been interesting to keep all of my houses stocked with paper products since we are used to shopping weekly for items. Most of the population is high risk so everyone is home. Thankful for great staff who continue to show up and thankful I have a job.
jackie
Yesterday being the last day that 'non-essential' travel was permitted, I hit the MickeyD drive-thru for a large decaf, and headed on down to a little strip of beach to drink it ... parking my car one space away from the other cars, of course.
The drinking done, I went for a walk on the beach, and came across a long line of clothing, washed-up with last night's high(er) tide.
I was later able to work-out that some he-donkey(s) had entertained themselves by heaving large bags of clothing off of the nearby causeway into Jamaica Bay. Don't know why the clothes were bagged ... moving? donating? ... but it was clear that, left where they were, they'd be ruined.
Anyway, after consulting my Family's Counter-Vandalism Anti-Litter Policy - which states clearly that, if you pick it up and properly dispose of it, you won't have to see it again on your next visit - I gathered-up & bagged about a cubic meter of wet cloth (ouch), drove home, stood over a laundry sink and washed the sand out of each piece (lotsa wet denim, lotsa wet sand), downed an ibuprofen, ran it all thru my building's washers on the hot cycle (twice each for four loads), ran it all thru a hot dryer, folded it nicely, downed another ibuprofen, and only then learned that the NYC Dept of Sanitation textile/clothing recycling program is considered a non-essential service (ouch), so I've not only got this large pile of ready-to-donate clothing with nowhere to go, I've also got this week's compostable food scraps sitting in my freezer with nowhere to go (op cit NYC Dept of Sanitation non-essential services).
Rescuing clothing is a nice hobby, but I wish I could find a hobby focused on things that are smaller & lighter.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
Thanks for doing it anyway! I appreciate your efforts very much.
"Rescuing clothing is a nice hobby, but I wish I could find a hobby focused on things that are smaller & lighter.
"
He got ya there, Ikey....
IkeyPikey - your story brought back memories - several years ago someone dumped a large laundry basket of clothing on our rural road. Rather than look at it forever, i loaded it into my car, washed it, and donated it. Nice to know others do that too! Thanks for cleaning up your beach
Jings!...Crivvens!...Help Ma Boab!
The Scottish Government has shut down all shops other than food and medical.
The result is "she who must be obeyed" will now be at home.
There goes the wild parties, the drinking sessions and my stamp time will be reduced. No doubt she will find more chores for me to do.
I dread it when she says "I have been thinking" 'cos it means work for me.
Woe! Woe! and thrice Woe!
Sally, someone could’ve lost their laundry out the back of a pickup or from where they had it sitting on their roof or trunk lid! When I travel the interstates im amused at the stuff people lose off vehicles. Lotsa clothing and I’m most intrigued by the occasional single couch cushion.
Ian,
You're gonna get the full brunt of what's up. Take it like a man. I recieved word that I'll be working from home. I hit the trunk release, they toss a computer and soft phone in my car. Problem solved.
What saddens me more than anything else is that Florida State graduation had been cancelled. Not postponed, but cancelled. As in not gonna happen. That's sad. My daughter Grace kicked ass there in science and math. Oh well.
Ernie, as an Englishman I could never understand this graduation thing, last thing I wanted to do was hang around school, left on Friday started work on Monday. Seems like an excuse for clothing shops and liquor stores to make money.
I had taken my GCE's (exams)and passed, no course work was counted, you either knew the subject and answered the written questions (no calculators, but trig tables supplied)or you were not able.
Guess life changes but not always for the better.
In the meantime in the USA…
40,000 people die each year in auto accidents
88,000 people die each year in alcohol-related deaths
260,000 people die each year due to medical mistakes
480,000 people die each year due to cigarette smoking (includes 41,000+ deaths resulting from secondhand smoke exposure)
Not too many headlines or folks freaking out over these people dying around us every day.
I guess I am just used to living with the grim reaper looking over my shoulder. After living through 5 long years of doctor after doctor tell me that I had a 5% chance of living longer than 6 months I learned how to cope. I still live day-to-day and have many more gray sky days than blue sky days.
But…so what? Everything eventually falls apart. The computer you are using to read this right now will fall apart. The chair you are sitting in will fall apart. The house you are in will fall apart. The earth itself will eventually fall apart. And most certainly we will all fall apart. I see little value in focusing on falling apart. Turn off the news, they are sowing division and hatred. Live each day to the fullest; try to laugh, cry, and learn something new every day.
Don
Regarding the auto accidents, more people have died on Canadian roads since 1950 than Canadian service folk who died in both world wars together.
Sad but true.
"... Sally, someone could’ve lost their laundry out the back of a pickup or from where they had it sitting on their roof or trunk lid! ..."
Ernie:- I can have sympathy for you and your daughter. To be able to have the hard work recognised by their peers and family is a once in a lifetime experience.
However at my sons graduation he did admit that he hadn't worked too hard. Why? Because he had a whale of a time!!
As for taking it like a man. I know my position in life:- Bottom rung of the ladder, beneath the cat and the dog!
Ian,
I can commiserate with you on the Scotland closures as Washington state's governor, Jay Inslee, just announced a mandatory stay at home for non-essential workers as well starting in 46.5 hours from now. I can already see the wheels turning in my wife's head about all the cleaning and garage emptying that should be going on during this home based stay. Unfortunately for me, my company will probably decide that I can do all of my work remotely which is more difficult to do in many respects and MUCH more stressful to do.
For most clients my highest priority tasks for the last two and a half weeks has involved setting up remote access or expanding its capacity so their employees can work remotely or resolving issues with their remote connectivity. I have also been upgrading client home computers from Windows 7 to Windows 10 due to security concerns as well.
Jerrel
"In the meantime in the USA…
40,000 people die each year in auto accidents
88,000 people die each year in alcohol-related deaths
260,000 people die each year due to medical mistakes
480,000 people die each year due to cigarette smoking (includes 41,000+ deaths resulting from secondhand smoke exposure)
Not too many headlines or folks freaking out over these people dying around us every day."
Hi Lars,
Your post only appears to be considering the possible negative scenarios. Your trajectory outlines a worst case scenario, do you really feel that there is no possibility of anything good happening? That business will not figure out ways to address the shortages? That science and the healthcare system will not find ways to treat people? That longer term there will be no cures? I am pretty sure that the strategy of ‘social distancing’ and shutting down the economy is designed to buy a bit of time to allow solutions to be put into place.
I lived the last 6 years with a 95% chance of dying hanging over my head. One of the few things that was in my power was how I would think about the future and spend my time. If I only considered worst case scenarios, I would have just crawled into my bed and died. I have faith in several forms beyond spiritual; I have faith in science, I have faith in technology, I have faith in people, I have faith in myself. These faiths are bigger than my fears.
The current situation can be viewed as a glass half full, half empty, or a balance between the two. I know that the unknown can be fearful but when the outcome is unknown why not take a balanced perspective? Good things can and do happen.
Don
Israeli Inventions That Lessen The Healthcare System’s Burden
https://tinyurl.com/v2vez19
Happy reading, and an example that, like the virus, we are also a moving target.
/s/ ikeyPikey (who apologizes for the re-direct, but the original URL contains multiple commas, which give our system fits)
"do you really feel that there is no possibility of anything good happening? "
"That business will not figure out ways to address the shortages? "
"That science and the healthcare system will not find ways to treat people?"
"That longer term there will be no cures?"
"I am pretty sure that the strategy of ‘social distancing’ and shutting down the economy is designed to buy a bit of time to allow solutions to be put into place."
"I know that the unknown can be fearful but when the outcome is unknown why not take a balanced perspective?"
I live in a rural area fairly close to Halifax, N.S. and our area is now covered by emergency measures which closes all parks, most trails and all beaches. The reason they had to do this is the severe lack of common sense. A few days ago we had a warm(ish) sunny day and I drove past a local beach - it was packed and most of the provincial parks were packed as well - so much for social distancing. I saw pictures of the Florida beaches last weekend, spring break, and the beaches were full of kids! We have younger people in the local area referring to this pandemic as "The Boomer Killer", running around the stores coughing and spitting at people screaming that they are "spreading the Covid". Things are getting very weird and strange! To all parents - Do you know where your kids are and what they are doing? If everyone would do their bit maybe this would dissipate quickly, but people really have to realize that this is a serious thing! This has nothing to do with stamps, just sayin'...
Just wanted to say,well said Lars, I think as you do.
I have a great deal of faith in Humanity ability to adapt and overcome.
""The Boomer Killer""
"I have a great deal of faith in Humanity ability to adapt and overcome."
A comment from Emily Landon, the chief infectious disease epidemiologist at University of Chicago Medicine
“It’s really hard to feel like you’re saving the world when you’re watching Netflix from your couch. But if we do this right, nothing happens,” Landon said. “A successful shelter-in-place means you’re going to feel like it was all for nothing, and you’d be right: Because nothing means that nothing happened to your family. And that’s what we’re going for here.”
I am sure there will be it was all about nothing when it is over and not learn anything for the future. Like other initiatives, there may be a flurry of activity but over time people will fall back and get to relearn again.
Maybe in places like USA, Canada, UK and parts of Europe, but here in Mexico I already see people beginning to disregard the self-quarantine, etc, and acting as if it is already over.
Frankly, I expect a big increase of cases here soon, as those already exposed begin to feel symptoms. Most of these will already have passed on their contagion before feeling ill.
We've all got to be careful until we KNOW that the risk is down near zero.
On a lighter note:
rrr...
Also on a lighter note, Jimmy Fallon invited people to describe their quarantine in 6 words with #MyQuarantineInSixWords. Some of the gems:
Have I had a shower today?
We can work in pajamas now?
We can drink at work now?
Day two: All snacks are gone!
This ends in divorce or murder!
SPEAKING OF FAKE NEWS...THERE WAS NO TRAVEL BAN
A travel ban was NOT instituted in January. A travel restriction was put in place. A travel restriction allowed what can only be termed numerous loopholes so that people could travel FROM and TO China--and they did. They also traveled to and from South Korea, and other places in Asia that had virus problems--they were not restricted.
Additionally, 300,000 people had traveled from China to the US one month before the travel restrictions imposed on January 31 by the way NOT by one person but by a consensus in the government.
Regardless, the virus is here. And, as the old folks would have said: We've been caught with our pants down.
Bruce
The best way to not get caught with your pants down is to not wear pants.
We were told at work yesterday that we have to get rid of our overtime hours so that the company can apply for short time work. I only work 3 days a week for 4 hours until after Easter plus a 6 day long weekend. Also everyone at work received a travel-pass today just incase.
Stores are only letting in one person per shopping wagon to keep customers apart at the cashiers. They have also limited the number of people to 1 per 10 square meters in a store, security guards enforce this. Only 2 people are allowed to be together outside and must keep a distance of 1.5 meters. This law doesn´t apply to people who life together. If your caught with more than 3 people the police can fine each person 200 Euros. If you get caught a second time 25 000 Euros are possible. We are not yet restricted to stay inside (yet), but we have to keep our distance from others.
Here in Germany as of today, 181 dead. Most were over the age of 81.
I almost forgot, some stores are restricting their toilet paper to 1 pack a person. This is good because I´m running low.
So all I can say is be very careful and stay away from others.
Senior Shopping Hours ... quite the list !
https://www.snopes.com/news/2020/03/20/grocery-stores-special-hours/
Q/ How long will MVS (Most Vulnerable Shopper) Hours persist once Covid-19 is past ?
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (whose local Trader Joe & Costco both instituted social distance protocols during regular business hours by limiting the number of people in the store at any one time)
We went to the store after 10am on Monday. It wasn’t crowded and we were able to get everything we needed. Cashier said it was very crowded early during the senior time.
"We went to the store after 10am on Monday. It wasn’t crowded and we were able to get everything we needed. Cashier said it was very crowded early during the senior tim"
With 3M and Medtronic being based in Minnesota, we produce both masks and ventilators. 3M ramped up it's mask production to around 35 million per month. The state also has a Ventilator Reserve Program for emergencies.
Having spent just over a week in the hospital this year already (viral meningitis) I don't have any desire to go back there.
"Having spent just over a week in the hospital this year already (viral meningitis) I don't have any desire to go back there."
"Having spent just over a week in the hospital this year already (viral meningitis) I don't have any desire to go back there.
"
I know people can have honest differences of opinion on the severity of this situation but for heaven's sake isn't it best to assume a distancing approach?
It will get worse until people are forced to comply with social distancing. This weekend two houses in my suburban neighborhood hosted what appeared to be large family gatherings. Cars parked up and down the street just like nothing had changed. Great way to kill Grandma.
Sequel, last night I went out for a walk and ran into a block party. No kidding people sitting in their chairs in the street, standing around drinking and visiting like noting was amiss. I tried passing by quickly and one of them called out 'we're having a social distancing party!' My wife wanted me to call the cops on them. I doubted they'd do anything. It's going to need to get very bad before people take this seriously.
A number of towns in Mississippi enacted local orders; the usual stuff, closing non-essential businesses, limiting gatherings, etc.
The Governor of Mississippi then exercised his authority, and nullified all of those orders.
Pretty interesting choice for a state next to Louisiana, the home of New Orleans.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (who appreciates Federalism no matter whether it cuts his way, or not)
I was going to wait until 3-31 to post an update, but the U.S. just jumped to the top spot for total confirmed cases, leaping past China and Italy. We have already gone past 1,000 dead and will certainly surpass 100,000 confirmed cases tomorrow. That means my projections for March 31 were on the conservative side.
I said by April 15 we would have 500,000 to 1 million infected and around 10,000 dead. I don't know if we will be able to ramp up testing enough at this point to identify that many cases, but today's numbers say that is being conservative. For the past 10 days our death toll has more than doubled EVERY three days. If we stay on that trajectory, that's 119,827 dead by April 15. Doubling every 4 days is 37,691, every 5 days is 18,849. I'm afraid we are looking at 20,000 to 25,000 dead by April 15, and that is assuming we are able to bend this curve.
This isn't a "worse case scenario". (Worst case is over 100,000 dead by April 15 and 3.8 million dead and 268 million infected by April 30 - and if we have over 250 million infected that fast we are looking at a mortality rate of at least 5%, not 1.4%, and that's 12.5 million dead). Assuming we are able to make intelligent decisions based on ever increasing test data, we may keep the death toll under 100,000 by April 30, but if we start opening up remote areas to business as usual, all bets are off because that will create an inevitable draw from infected areas to less infected areas and actually SPEED UP the spread of the virus as people in large cities flee to stay with relatives in remote areas, thinking they are getting away from the threat, but inevitably bringing the virus with them.
You may not LIKE the math (I sure don't), but this is the reality we are facing. Like I said, "April is when the disaster really strikes!"
I hope I'm wrong, but right now it looks like I was too conservative in my prior estimates. I track all of the numbers daily and REALLY hope to be able to post good news next time, but the numbers don't lie.
You can't B.S. your way through a viral pandemic!
Lars
P.S. I wish we had an icon in the bottom right that said "I don't LIKE it, but I respect the data analysis", because I certainly don't LIKE these numbers!
That's awful, Lars!
I heard on the news tonight that the military will be massing along the US-Canada border to prevent us Canadians from racing in to your country. I just hope that this guard will stop Americans trying to get into ours. I can't really see any of us wanting to go to your country with all those cases now!
Stay safe, hope this eventually passes. (I think a praying emoji is needed.)
"I can't really see any of us wanting to go to your country with all those cases now!"
The USA has the most reported cases IF you want to believe China. Additionally, while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases but ranks 6th in deaths. This speaks incredibly well for the US healthcare system and brave folks who work in it. Dr. Deborah Birx said today that the extreme predictions about the pandemic don't line up with the incoming data and also said that 19 of all 50 states with confirmed cases have low levels of the outbreak. And the rate of new cases has showed a slower rate in the last 3 days. So I guess it depends which data you are doing math upon. No doubt that the number of cases is going up as it was expected. But what is the asymptomatic math? No one knows in any country how many people are walking around with it and have no symptom or have had it and do not know it. When all countries final get antibody testing in place we will get the data needed to understand what is going on and be able to calculate accurate mortality rates. Until then the math is incomplete. NYC clearly has a significant issue as do a number of other hot spots in the country. But while the media is concentrated in certain hard hit areas of the country there is a massive amount of the country which is not seeing the same scope.
Of course any deaths are horrible, but the economic virus is also horrible and will also cause many deaths. Here is more math, 3.3 million new unemployment claims last week (three times greater than any other week in the history of the US). That is scary, I particularly fear the number of opioid deaths in the coming weeks as people who are out of work sit at home with nothing better to do than eat a handful of pills to make themselves feel better. They say it is easy to be a prophet, simply predict bad things will happen. So I guess I will be a prophet when opioid deaths start climbing in the coming weeks. ‘Doom and gloom’ is trending but I am not sure it serves a useful purpose; everyone already knows to stay home. I know reading the negativity in the philatelic forums certainly serves to depress folks.
Don
"I particularly fear the number of opioid deaths in the coming weeks as people who are out of work sit at home with nothing better to do than eat a handful of pills to make themselves feel better."
"But what is the asymptomatic math? No one knows in any country how many people are walking around with it and have no symptom or have had it and do not know it."
"while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases (it) ranks 6th in deaths."
"Dr. Deborah Birx said today that the extreme predictions about the pandemic don't line up with the incoming data and also said that 19 of all 50 states with confirmed cases have low levels of the outbreak. And the rate of new cases has showed a slower rate in the last 3 days."
There is no value in you and I regurgitating metrics, for every negative metric you post I can post a positive one. No one cares if you or I am ‘right’.
There are two reasons I care about folks posting endless streams of negative COVID information in a hobby forum; one is public and one is personal. My public concern is that the media (including social media like this forum) already have more than enough negativity. And frankly no one should be coming into a hobby community to get their COVID information, they should be listening to their own doctors, their own local authorities, and national disease control folks. Different locations should have different levels of concern, different populations have different risks.
In terms of a personal reason, our hobby is a welcome distraction for me. And as I sit here at 3AM I am getting ready to head off to dialysis in a medical facility with 30 other ultra-high risk old people like myself. Most of these folks are on oxygen, most have diabetes, most are not ambulatory, most come from rest homes where their care is questionable. Since I am able, I help out the overwhelmed healthcare providers each day including bringing back the patients who are not ambulatory, getting them weighed, getting masks on everyone, getting their hands sanitized. You cannot help but become a ‘family’ in these kinds of healthcare facilities, our common ground is we all go through the same medical torture each day.
But the common ground here is philately so having my ‘welcome distraction’ turn into a stream of negative information sucks. All of us in the Stamporama community are already living this, each of us has our own challenges and unique situations to overcome. In my case this also includes overcoming critical lifesaving infection control supply shortages which only exists due to the fear mongering and resulting panic buying.
So I understand SCF folks posting about cancelled stamp shows or how they are dealing with shipping and mailing challenges during this trying time. But I do not see value in posting running body counts.
Don
If only we paid this attention to other causes of needless deaths and not let this just become another new norm.
"for every negative metric you post I can post a positive one"
"Additionally, while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases but ranks 6th in deaths. This speaks incredibly well for the US healthcare system and brave folks who work in it."
Just saw a bit of encouraging news (finally)!
NY Gov Cuomo showed a chart with hospitalizations rising, but they were doubling every 2.5 days at first, every 3 days in the middle, and every 4 days toward the end (current). That really is a huge change, and if they can continue to push that down to 5 or 6 days, it will be the difference between flattening the curve and an overwhelmed hospital system. I sure hope that trend continues. If you run the numbers, doubling every 3 days is 32 times the amount of doubling every 6 days over a period of 30 days.
The confirmed cases trend is less concerning right now because when you massively increase testing you are going to catch more people, but that's a good thing. We're getting a clearer picture of reality. After testing is completely rolled out then we can hopefully see a similar positive trend at the national level. It looks like numbers out of Western Europe are also trending in the right direction, for the most part.
If China can prevent a second wave, and India and Indonesia can head this off, we may start seeing the global numbers start trending better. That would be welcome news!
Keep up the social distancing and hand washing. It's worth it!
'
Doubling - whether it is every 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 days - is DOUBLING.
"... NYC clearly has a significant issue as do a number of other hot spots ..."
"... having my ‘welcome distraction’ turn into a stream of negative information sucks ..."
Minnesota has had four deaths so far and a mortality rate of 1% of confirmed cases. 54 are currently receiving hospital treatment. We recently converted one of our hospitals in the capital to a Covid19-only hospital with space for 50 (and 50 ventilators).
IkeyPikey:
Just curious, why do you feel the need to insert the Palin quote about "...good parts of the country."? Does that advance the thread? We know that people on both sides of the political spectrum often view their political opponents and their constituents with disdain. Remember the "deplorables" comment?
Did you somehow not get the memo that we as a group have decided to leave politics off the site or are you just somehow special?
I hope a wise moderator deletes this gentleman's post.
Ernie
"Doubling - whether it is every 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 days - is DOUBLING."
I know I don't have to read this post, but I see it all the time. No reason to argue who is right or wrong. It is horrible and it is what it is. I hate seeing this in this group. It should be for fun and stamp stuff only. Sorry. Going stir crazy. Now I am on to the fun stuff and stamps.
Hope everyone is safe and staying home.
Hugs to all.
Suzanne
"... Just curious, why do you feel the need to insert the Palin quote about "...good parts of the country."? Does that advance the thread? ..."
"We believe that the best of America is in these small towns that we get to visit, and in these wonderful little pockets of what I call the real America. Being here with all of you hard-working very patriotic, um, very, um, pro-America areas of this great nation. This is where we find the kindness and the goodness and the courage of everyday Americans."
Our company extended the work from home directive until 4/30. When I had to go to office to pick up something, it felt like isolation there. Essential operations do require some to work onsite. It is end of quarter (and fiscal year) so important business time.
I doubt anything in this thread has changed any dynamic related to fear or response to the virus.
The UPS guy delivered some household supplies, rang the door, and took off.
It being a railroad apartment, by the time I'd walked ten/+ meters to the front door, he'd walked ten/+ meters to the elevator.
But, NYC being a tipping culture, I called after him with my usual offer:
Q/ Would you like a bottle of water?
A/ No, thanks, I'm good.
Q/ How about a roll of toilet paper?
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
It's the same at our office. I think we're 85% remote now. We did a conversion last week that was 100% remote and we're doing a merge today that is 100% remote. (I'm waiting on a file to come in or I'd be working on it now). We had never tried that before. I'm pleased with how smoothly we've been able to pull it off! It's amazing what motivated people can accomplish.
ikeyPikey, so is it really the norm to tip UPS workers?
I haven't attempted to read this entire thread because of its length but I saw an interesting message on a sign outside a local church--- "6 feet apart today is better than 6 feet under tomorrow." Although we are still to have our first case of any residents in this county it is good advice and drives the point home effectively.
We ventured out to the grocery store just after opening. It was not crowded and everyone was generally keeping their distance. The checkout had a shield between the checkout person and the shopper at the pin pad (payment device). As for stock, very little meat but there is a normal reason. The meat dept has never stocked the meat st store opening. As we shopped one person was slowly putting the meat out. There was bread and milk but no eggs and limited cheese products. Fresh veggies (green stuff) were gone too. Several of the store staff appeared to be filling pick up orders. No one seemed to be hoarding.
"... ikeyPikey, so is it really the norm to tip UPS workers? ..."
I went to the post office this this morning because of a registered letter I had to send to my heath care insurance and thought a good time to send some stamps that some SOR members had purchased. The lady at the counter finished the registered letter and then took the other letters. 5 went to the US and 1 to Australia. She looked at me and said I don´t think we are allowed to send anymore letters to the US. She then looked in her computer and told me letters are still going out but any packages to the US are no longer allowed, Australia is OK. So if you live in the US and are awaiting a package from Germany, I don´t know if this applies if they come from another county, there may be a long delay.
'
A situation so stupid that only a smart person could work their way into it.
Astrophysicist gets magnets stuck up nose while inventing coronavirus device
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/mar/30/astrophysicist-gets-magnets-stuck-up-nose-while-inventing-coronavirus-device
A regular correspondent remarks:
"As an astrophysicist he should have been able to work remotely from home. All astrophysicists, by definition, work very remotely from the things they are studying."
A short rant about 'distancing'; there are sill a lot of people who don't seem to be getting the message. My only outlet these days for exercise is walking. We live in an area near a large park with wooded trails. We have decided not to try to walk there, others are just not respecting distances. People walk sometimes in groups of three or even more, side by side. I find myself having to jump off the trial to avoid colliding with them. Clueless. I still try to walk in my neighborhood and that's better but just last night two women came right up in back of me speed walking. One brushed right against me, mumbling 'excuse me'. I said something like 'Thanks for the virus'. Also clueless.
With Easter coming, I fully expect to see big family events with cars parked up and down our streets. Where we live people are currently just being asked not to do this. I'm afraid it's going to take more than nice to accomplish compliance.
I have decided that I might as well profit from the pandemic. Why should Amazon get all the bucks? So, I am now offering a made-in-Canada toilet paper kit for only US$20. Why not CAN$20? Because Canadian dollars are damn near worthless, compared to U.S. dollars. Anyway, here's the kit:
boB
You do realise that money particularly "paper" money will carry the virus for a vast number of days.
To help and protect you from this possible source of the virus all you have to do is place your cash in a brown envelope.
Leave it out side your front door tonight,
and I shall endeavour to remove it from your premises as soon as possible thus protecting you and your family.
"So, I am now offering a made-in-Canada toilet paper kit for only US$20."
From the BBC website today. Expensive shopping trip!
"A man has pleaded guilty to breaching coronavirus social distancing rules by repeatedly approaching people in a supermarket queue.
Steven Mackie, 53, was arrested after getting too close to shoppers outside Tesco in Stalybridge on Saturday.
He is thought to be the first person to be charged in the UK since the new restrictions came into force.
At Stockport Magistrates' Court, Mackie was fined £635 after he admitted failing to maintain public health.
Police said Mackie, of Stamford Street, Stalybridge, was "unnecessarily out of his home" and had "continued to approach people contrary to social distancing rules" despite advice from officers"
Crazy stuff going on out there. In a New Jersey supermarket a worker putting out groceries told a customer that he was too close to her. He told her he had Coronavirus and spit on her. He was arrested.
New Jersey schools are closed and the state (which has second highest infection rate after New York) is on lockdown. Still, police are breaking up parties! Idiots!
It's still early days, of course, but Susan and I and are son and daughter-in-law are hopeful that Canada will come through the cover-19 pandemic in reasonably good shape.
The latest statistics* indicate "only" 101 deaths (3 per million population), far, far less than our neighbour to the south, the U.S., with 3,788 deaths (11 per million population). Much of that success, if I dare call it that, lies with our provincial and federal governments, which have been proactive from the beginning, and with a united front of all political parties. Canadians from coast to coast are being urged to stay at home except for necessary trips for groceries, pharmaceuticals, and emergency medical visits, and "mental health" walks outdoors.
The great majority of people are paying close attention to social distancing, going so far as stepping off sidewalks and trails in Stanley Park to avoid close contact. Most businesses, including many restaurants, are closed, as well as churches, libraries, coffee shops, massage parlours, and pubs. I think the government liquor stores are still open. I hope! Grocery stores have instituted seniors-only shopping hours, and are maintaining quite strict social distancing policies.
Much of the credit for our relatively low death rate must go to our provincial health officer, Dr. Bonnie Henry, who presents a daily status update. She couldn't have a more calming, rational voice. She is also able to present bad news without resorting to sensationalism. During one of her early updates, she got quite emotional as she reported the deaths of two residents of an elder care home. Her tears certainly weren't faked.
Bob
* The worldometers.com web site provides constantly updated information about the pandemic.
"The latest statistics* indicate "only" 101 deaths (3 per million population), far, far less than our neighbour to the south, the U.S., with 3,788 deaths (11 per million population)."
'
Restrictions Are Slowing Coronavirus Infections, New Data Suggest
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/30/health/coronavirus-restrictions-fevers.html
https://healthweather.us/ ... the fever map and, at the bottom of the page, some excellent blog posts
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
The reporters' questions in the daily pandemic briefings indicate they don't have a clue when it comes to models and modeling. They and much of the public go bonkers when the best case modeling scenario for US deaths from the virus are 100,000 to 240,000. The reporters don't understand it is just a model. It is just a forecast; not a fact.
Think about our daily weather forecasts. They are based on models that are updated multiple times each day. How accurate are our weather forecasts, especially 5 to 8 days out? And these models have had years of refinements built into them!
Think about our US weather forecasters during hurricane season. Multiple models are now available for news stations to use during their broadcasts. It has become common practice to show on TV several different model results in a single graphic for a new hurricane that is still out over the Atlantic Ocean. Each model produces a line from the current hurricane location to a point several days into the future. Note the variations in those tracks for a single hurricane on a given day. They're usually literally all over the map. However, as the days pass and more and more data are gathered and entered into the models, the various models begin to produce similar tracks. Data matters. The variations in the designs of the models become less important than the data.
The modeling that is being used to predict the outcome of our virus is relatively new and has limitations. Those limitations will always affect the results that the model spits out. However, over time, more and more data will help minimize the effects of the model's limitations and provide improved results.
So don't put too much weight on modeling-generated numbers. In fact, Drs. Fauci and Birx said they expected to be able to "push down" the best case death numbers for the US that their model is producing. They didn't make that very clear, but what they're saying is that new data today and tomorrow and in the following days is expected to produce new modeling results that show the "best case" scenario to be much better than is the case being presented by the model today. They're optimistic, but the media generally didn't pick up on that.
Tom
I think many know what modeling means.
They run with information provided so somewhat nature of the beast. Trend speculation is popular by a lot of people. Like in a hurricane forecast, the news starts speculating on worst case scenarios even when days away as if it will come true.
But, those that expect the worst are more likely prepared for the worst. One can rationalize it away by claiming it is imperfect information.
I'll agree that reporters, like most everyone else in this world, have only the slightest grasp of modelling.
However, I'll quibble with your analogy.
Weather is, in its behavior, pretty much a chaotic system. Physical limitations on that chaotic behavior mean that short-term forecasts can be very good; The Weather Channel website offers hour-by-hour forecasts, for example, that are often spot-on. But the longer-term forecasts burn-off like the morning mist on a sunny day.
Sure, the earth's spin is steady, and its exposure to sunlight is rhythmic. But the atmosphere is a swirling soup - a very large swirling soup - so predicting what's gonna be at any single point is like guessing which grain of sand from the beach is gonna hit you in the eye when the wave crashes over your head.
Epidemics are, by comparison, almost deterministic. You can look back, and see how many infectees infect someone new and, if the population's behavior does not change, the math is easy & reliable.
The problem, of course, is that people react, and adapt ... so predicting the course of an epidemic is like predicting the local weather for Gotterdammerung, Mississippi, when that town is all over the map.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
I have been self isolating now for 17 days. Other than a trip to the mailbox, I haven't ventured outside my garden. I've used the time to tidy the garage, catch up with correspondence, finally complete my Machin collection and begin work on an American collection. If I get tired of those things I catch up on Game of Thrones, Homeland, and House of Cards. These last few days I've been phoned by old friends whom I hadn't spoken to since retiring over 2 years ago and I've followed their lead and phoned some others too.
It looks like we are about to be confined for at least another 12 weeks. While in the garden we've been chatting, strictly 2 metres apart, to our neighbours. Large shopping orders have been delivered by the store, and our local community is making deliveries from the village shop.
Having observed this thread from the beginning and those who have continually indulged in blaming media, politicians, medics, etc. I just want all of you to know that life in lockdown is not too bad. We are managing just fine, planning the next 3 months, and reconnecting with old friends. What scares me more than anything though is this. If either myself or my lovely wife catch coronavirus and are taken to hospital, the last time we may see each other would probably be as the ambulance takes us away from home. Not only that, if I, or any of my 4 brothers and 1 sister succumbed to it, no more than 2 family members can attend the graveside. You can forget about a wake.
Coronavirus is real and not going away for some time. I watch and listen to news reports throughout the day and by evening I have heard everything 10 or more times. I then switch on my computer and check Stamporama forums. I am amazed at the continual sniping by adults on a stamp website about a DEADLY serious subject. Instead of multiple contributions here, pick up your tweezers again. You might actually enjoy it.
Gudgie,
I just finished Black Sails tonight and Game of Thrones starts tomorrow!
I agreed with your post (especially the part about being separated - perhaps forever - in case of hospitalization - terrifying!) except the last paragraph. There are two points I would make:
1. I don't watch the news but once or twice a day. I never have. So I'm not burned out by the time I check in here.
2. I don't use social media or post to online news threads. I rarely look at the "Off Topic" threads here at all. But if I see factually wrong information, I'm going to call it out. Whether someone claims a stamp is authentic when it's obviously a fake, or someone says the corona virus is a hoax, I sometimes chose not to ignore it. Especially when skeptics are putting my life, and the lives of my loved ones, at risk through ignorant, irresponsible behavior and messaging. Exposing misinformation in a forum like this is more likely to have a positive effect than a random rant. Even if I don't agree with a post someone else makes here, if they are a philatelist, they are, by definition, an analytical thinker and I tend to give more consideration to what they say. Hopefully that's a two-way street.
Lars
ikeypikey,
I agree my analogy does not fit the virus projections but just noting how people (media and individuals) handle scientific information. The horoscopes published daily do not mention it!? There was a good meme on that.
Jings!...Crivvens!...Help Ma Boab!
I don't give a hoot about statistics, cos there are lies, damned lies and statistics.
Whether you are a half full or half empty person doesn't matter.
Numbers, trends, sets, projections etc etc can be juggled any way you like. (I've done this in the past)
My interpretation of the numbers is this:-
Stay away from everybody, stay at home, don't let any one into your house or within two metres of you and pray to your God that you and yours come out of this alive.
Lookin' for this one, Al ?
Yep.
And just now I receive a text from landlady. She is putting the place up for sale now. Video to be taken Tuesday. What a time to sell!
What a time to be looking for another place!
Why? That's all I can ask!
BrightonPete, that is horrible. So sorry to hear that. I hope you find a great place with as few hassles as possible.
Why sell now?????
No job so maybe she can't pay mortgage. Tenants in other apartment were a bother that she doesn't want to have to deal with again. They abandoned it on Monday. At least they cleaned up the place.
'
Trivia Question: What did they call it before they called it "social distancing" ?
Perhaps some of you doc-watching history-reading folks will know the answer.
My oldest suggests that perhaps it fell under "hygiene".
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
Jings!...Crivvens!...Help Ma Boab!
Social Distancing?
Naw!
GET TAE!!
(normally followed by an expletive)
"Whether you are a half full or half empty person doesn't matter."
Sorry to hear about that Brighton Pete!
So after another day confined to home, trying to buy paint for 2 bedrooms my wife wants to decorate. I spent another 2 hours phoning old friends and family, then began sorting French stamps. I turned on Stamporama and after checking auctions and approvals for 4 countries I came on to this forum.
I hadn't expected my contribution would stop those who argue about stuff which only they can find to argue about, but I was pleased 7 people took the time to read my letter and press the like button. I wasn't looking for endorsement, I was simply saying those people who sit on here looking for subjects to disagree with, or correct the writer actually bore the pants of the majority of the rest of us.
I must say I was surprised by the response from larsdog. First he says how much he agreed with most of what I had written, but he disagreed with the last paragraph. He goes on to talk about how he does not watch news,nor does he participate in social media. ?????
Where is the criticism? For his benefit I will restate what I said in my final paragraph. Since I'm typing this on a kindle I am unable to cut and paste, so I will simply repeat as I remembered it.
I said Coronavirus is real and will be with us for some time.
I said I watch news throughout the day, hearing each report around 10 times, before I switch on my computer and log on to the Stamporama website.
I said I am irritated by people who treat this subject as a forum for sniping at others when it is of major concern to myself and many others.
Finally I suggested those who profess to know all about Coronavirus should lay of the vitriol and indulge in the hobby we all joined this site to promote.
The first sentence is 100% factual. Sentences 2 and 3 express honestly how I feel and spend my day. Neither he nor anyone else can disagree with those sentences.
The last sentence expressed a wish for those who argue here to go easy and use this site more responsibly. Perhaps Larsdog could enlighten myself and others if he disagreed with that sentence, and if so, what does he disagree with? He may have a different opinion from me or others, but don't treat me or this site as a football. Respect others. If you do, you may get some more respect when you express an opinion.
vir·tue sig·nal·ing
noun
the action or practice of publicly expressing opinions or sentiments intended to demonstrate one's good character or the moral correctness of one's position on a particular issue.
"Perhaps Larsdog could enlighten myself"
"He goes on to talk about how he does not watch news"
"I don't watch the news but once or twice a day. I never have. So I'm not burned out by the time I check in here."
"I watch and listen to news reports throughout the day and by evening I have heard everything 10 or more times."
"I said I am irritated by people who treat this subject as a forum for sniping at others when it is of major concern to myself and many others."
"Finally I suggested those who profess to know all about Coronavirus should lay of the vitriol and indulge in the hobby we all joined this site to promote."
Color me confused.
If everyone is dying to get out of the house, and donating blood is an acceptable excuse, and elective surgeries are canx'd, why aren't the blood banks full?
After all, the 'permanent' donor centers are accustomed to sterile technique, so it is a lot safer faux-necessity errand than the grocery store.
Further, the NYBC has fiddled their online appointment system to half capacity or less (thus achieving social distancing within), and they are checking temperatures & symptoms outside the door, so what's the problem?
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
"Color me confused."
"If everyone is dying to get out of the house, and donating blood is an acceptable excuse, and elective surgeries are canx'd, why aren't the blood banks full?"
It is also possible that there is a desire to get a large number of donations to see if plasma from previously exposed patients (with antibodies in their blood) might help those most critical. As frantic as everything is right now, I can understand why they wouldn't want to explicitly say that since many donors would want to know what the tests said about their donation, and worse, some may misrepresent their past with AIDS or hepatitus in hopes of getting a back door diagnosis. Just a thought.
'
I've become accustomed to thinking cynically about the blood banks.
If I was selling the stuff for the prices they get, I'd also be begging for more.
In a large country like the USA, blood banks with a better, uh, flow can sell the stuff to any hospital or clinic that needs blood or blood products, whether it is in another state or, for that matter, another country.
So it was only when the US Surgeon General recently called for donations that I chose to believe that stocks might really be low, and to heed the call.
I only donated once in 2019, if memory serves, but donated at least 4x in 2018, so it was 'time' and, as I said above, a legit reason to bolt the house.
Back in the 1950s, my mother took me along when she donated blood each year - the American Red Cross would set up in the basement of our building - I was very little, perhaps three or four years old - and I began taking my kids along when I donated blood - from when they were perhaps three of four years old - and the latter tell me that watching their parent get stuck with a needle and blood flowing into a bag makes quite an impression - and I just nod knowingly & agree that, yes, it does.
It was a proud moment for me when the subject came-up one night, and I heard two grown daughters discussing the various places to donate around town, agreeing that the very old lady in the blood mobile right in front of the department store in the center of town had a magical (painless) touch. Next time, I sought her out - and they were right.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
Please correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the rate of deaths from Covid-19 serve as a reasonable measurement of the disease's impact on specific populations? Assuming the numbers we're getting are reasonably accurate?
My wife and I have noted that that as of April 3, six deaths per million have occurred in Canada, whereas a great many other countries have far higher death rates. The death rate in the U.S. was more than four times higher (25/million), Luxembourg more than eight times higher (50 per million), and Belgium the highest at 111 deaths per million, more than 18 times higher than Canada. (These numbers come from Worldometers.info.
It seems that we are benefitting from the timely and reasonable responses of both the federal and provincial governments, who all seem to be working from the same page. Of course, there is the disturbing news that Wuhan has been locked down again after people who had supposedly recovered from the disease are once again showing symptoms. It's also troubling that we really have no idea how many people are currently ill, how many "super spreaders" there are, and how significant aerosols are in spreading the disease are. If the aerosols are a problem, there are few ways that we can protect ourselves other than complete, airtight isolation. For now, we are staying as far away from people as possible, avoiding elevators, and washing hands constantly. We were able to have some items delivered by our pharmacy, but groceries and booze have been a challenge.
One of the best things: Every night at 7:00, people in our densely populated neighbourhood of mid- and high-rises come out on their balconies to bang drums, clap, blow horns, cheer, play musical instruments, and clap in support of health care workers. It's almost deafening, but in a good way. And I'd say about 98 percent of people are paying close attention to social distancing. Those who don't? Perhaps they are helping to clean the gene pool! Or they are immune to the disease, like Trump seems to be. If he doesn't want to wear a mask, perhaps he could send his to Canada rather than prohibiting the export of masks to Canada. Speaking of which, we learned today that much of the material that's used to make masks comes from Canada.
Bob
"Please correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the rate of deaths from Covid-19 serve as a reasonable measurement of the disease's impact on specific populations? Assuming the numbers we're getting are reasonably accurate? "
Testing Numbers.
How many per day?
UK is aiming for 100,000 per day.
Population of UK 60 million, Therefore No of days required = 600
These figures are rough, many factors need to be taken into account, as accuracy? what? where? when? who? why? how?
I do not have the solutions so I do not expect my Government to have the best solution as how long is a piece of string?
Once the lockdown is complete millions of people who have stayed safe and isolated themselves will be released on the streets. They will then be open to the virus and you will get another spike in cases and another lockdown.
I said before "Just pray to your God that you and yours are alive at the end of this"
"UK is aiming for 100,000 per day.
Population of UK 60 million, Therefore No of days required = 600"
"UK is aiming for 100,000 per day.
Population of UK 60 million, Therefore No of days required = 600"
'
Nice stories from people who are helping:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/04/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-america.html
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
News just in:-
The British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, admitted to hospital with covid-19.
He has been in quarantine for 10 days but his temperature is still high so his doctors have him in hospital for tests.
We went for a drive Sunday around 12pm (had to go to post office to pick up something from letter box) so took the opportunity to see what was open.
The most interesting discovery was the golf course (essential business?) was extremely busy with the greens full of golfers and the parking lot full. This was on Palm Sunday around noon. It was a near perfect day.
I feel sorry for other businesses that were not allowed to be open (unless carry out) such as arts and crafts and electronics stores given Walmart selling similar items. If Hobby Lobby had a grocery section they would be open except on Sundays! Many of those let go no longer have employer provided health insurance so having to pay extra for COBRA if they can afford it. This is the economic impact to be felt soon.
I'm amazed the golf course was open and packed. In my area of Nova Scotia there are fines of up to $1000 if you refuse to social distance. At first there were warnings, now several fines have been handed out and cars have been seized if you are parked in parks that are all officially closed. I admit I go for a drive occasionally to get out of the house but visiting friends is out. A friend I sometimes visit for supper delivered a roast beef meal last night and left it on the front seat of my car. We have to take this seriously or it may take a very long time, and many deaths, before it goes away!!!
'
Social Distancing Failure at the Bronx Zoo
Q/ Were we not always social distancing from tigers ?
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/rJqR11Uuv8
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/nyregion/bronx-zoo-tiger-coronavirus.html
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
The Scottish Chief Medical Officer had to resign last night.
She was caught travelling to her second home with her family, twice.
She was the one telling us to stay at home!!!
Our golf course is open to members only. We don't check in and members play free, so there is no human interaction. Only one person per cart, except family members can be in same cart. We are expected to maintain social distancing, and I'd say at least 90% do - like at the grocery. (I live on the course, so I see a lot of golfers go by daily). The one rule change is that you have to leave the flag in. They don't want anyone touching the flag pole. They put a pool noodle in the hole so your ball is only 1/2" lower than the green so it's easy to retrieve without touching anything else. It's probably less risky than pumping gas and a great way to get some fresh air and exercise!
I played 9 holes Friday. It was easier to maintain proper distance on the golf course than it is in the grocery store. I even have a set of rules for COVID-19 golf:
1. The flagstick counts as a person. Social distancing guidelines specify that if your ball is within 6 feet of the hole, it's a gimme, as long as you hold your breath retrieving it. No more putts of under 6 feet!
2. There is a 6 foot radius where you can relocate your ball, as long as it's no closer to the hole. That can help with bunkers and creeks.
3. One should never be "out of bounds" during the quarantine! That's like the kids on spring break in Florida. Since we can't BE out of bounds, we never WENT out of bounds, so any shot that goes OOB no longer exists. Automatic Mulligan.
I may break 90 yet!
In my humble opinion all parks, golf courses, beaches, etc. should be closed. But I'm not a golfer!
To all of our "friends across the pond", I just watched the Queen's speech. I have to admit, I was inspired. I'm a fan! She's tough. "Britons never, never shall be slaves."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJP95WKJQjg&t=192s
"In my humble opinion all parks, golf courses, beaches, etc. should be closed. But I'm not a golfer!"
I haven't read one single post anywhere asking this question: If we are fighting a WAR on Covid-19, doesn't that make all of us the soldiers on the front lines? So shouldn't we all be in bootcamp getting ready to fight? Why don't we do everything we can to make ourselves TOUGHER AND STRONGER to fight this.
First - Let's strive to eliminate lung irritants from our homes - smoke, strong chemical smells, vaping, fragrance defusers, anything that emits fumes, dust. Did you know that perfumes can trigger asthma attacks?
Second - Let's strengthen our lungs with some aerobic exercise appropriate to our age, health and level of fitness and practice abdominal breathing.
Third - Diabetes is a risk factor - let's try to eat healthier.
Fourth - High blood pressure is also a danger. Let's try to watch our sodium intake and work to improve our cardiovascular health.
Fifth - LET’S DO EVERYTHING WE CAN TO PREVENT THE SPREAD OF THIS DISEASE! STAY HOME! WASH YOUR HANDS!
LET’S KICK SOME VIRAL ASS!
A non-religious Amen, Philatelia! My wife and I are trying to stay healthy. She teaches fitness four times a week, or did before Covid-19. I'm more of a couch potato, partly because of rheumatoid arthritis and osteoarthritis, both of which can make exercise an ordeal. But I try to "eat right" because of high blood pressure. I do have a hard time avoiding alcohol, especially these days. Anyhow...
I have to say that one of the best "health" decisions my wife and I made together after we married was to emigrate to Canada. We are still American citizens — it's very expensive and time consuming to end U.S. citizenship, and frankly I don't trust the American government to continue my Vietnam Nam War disability pension if I were to drop my American citizenship. We moved first to Ontario, and then a couple of years later, in 1971, I asked for a transferred to British Columbia. In light of the Covid-19 pandemic, it seems we couldn't have made a better choice.
Yesterday, the Canadian Broadcasting Corp. published an article explaining why BC has done so much better than other provinces, notably Ontario and Quebec, and better than most countries, in dealing with the coronavirus. See Why B.C. is flattening the COVID-19 curve while numbers in central Canada surge. Dr. Bonnie Henry, our Provincial Health Officer, deserves our respect for her intelligent, humane response to the Covid-19 crisis. The video link in the story says much about her professionalism and personality.
This news just came in: Vancouver has closed Stanley Park, the southern border of which is just half a block from our apartment, to vehicular traffic. Why? Because, despite BC's relatively strong response to Covid-19, and despite the fact that parking lots have been closed for a week, some people have been parking illegally so they can walk on the Seawall Promenade that circles the park. Susan and I have avoided walking there because too many people — ignorant jerks! — were ignoring social-distancing guidelines. Maybe now we can start walking there again!
Bob
'
Staggering Surge Of NYers Dying In Their Homes Suggests City Is Undercounting Coronavirus Fatalities
Curve Watchers Beware: not everything is in the curve.
Perhaps the governor will order blood samples to be collected from every corpse, so's we can, at least, sort it out at our leisure.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
The singing mailman from Chicago, John Prine, has just passed away due to the Covid-19 virus. He was one of my favorite singer/songwriters for most of my adult life. I saw him in concert at the Des Moines Civic Center with Steve Goodman many years ago. His music will live on, may he rest in peace.
Linus
My roommate in college liked John Prine. He had an interesting style.
While out for our daily exercise, a walk in the park, allowed by Her Britannic Majesty's Government during this emergency we could hear a wood pecker rat-a-tat-tatting away in the distance.
A few moments later we managed to spot him on a tree hammering away. It was the first time we had been able to locate him.
Isn't nature wonderful.
This thread is really looooooooooooong. It takes forever to scroll down to new posts. Hardworking moderators - do you think it might be time to start another thread? Just a little suggestion. Thanks
The thread is long and takes a few seconds to load but for me it always seems to go to the last of what I have already read. I suppose if you were checking it out for the first time it would take a while to get to the end.
"... It takes forever to scroll down to new posts ..."
"Curve Watchers Beware: not everything is in the curve.
Perhaps the governor will order blood samples to be collected from every corpse, so's we can, at least, sort it out at our leisure."
From where I am sitting the thread is too long. I read it every day, but when I open this thread I now walk away and make a coffee. That way I am not sitting waiting for the thread to jump down to where I last read it. I thought I had a good internet connection, but obviously not good enough. There's a bottleneck somewhere between us. A new thread would help.
I got to the latest post in under two seconds with no scrolling required. I don't know if it's an ISP issue or a browser issue, but it isn't universal.
Lars
It's useful to keep the thread intact to revisit some of the earlier posts, such as:
Mar 26:
"The USA has the most reported cases IF you want to believe China. Additionally, while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases but ranks 6th in deaths. This speaks incredibly well for the US healthcare system and brave folks who work in it."
"True, but deaths are a trailing indicator. See where China, Italy, and the US are on April 15. And factor in population size as well. Italy should be played out by then because they have a smaller population. "
"The latest statistics* indicate "only" 101 deaths (3 per million population), far, far less than our neighbour to the south, the U.S., with 3,788 deaths (11 per million population). Much of that success, if I dare call it that, lies with our provincial and federal governments, which have been proactive from the beginning, and with a united front of all political parties. Canadians from coast to coast are being urged to stay at home except for necessary trips for groceries, pharmaceuticals, and emergency medical visits, and "mental health" walks outdoors. "
"... Would that not be a COVID-19 related death? ..."
"... If you subtract the expected number of deaths from the actual total for 2020, I think that may be the best measure you can get of the TRUE cost of SARS-Cov-2 (COVID-19) ..."
I must say, I enjoy snark, especially subtle snark, but this is BRILLIANT!
"/s/ ikeyPikey (whose cheap-as-dirt entry-level internet connection loads this thread in about 2 seconds while streaming Netflix)"
"Yes, computing net additional deaths in the time of the pandemic is likely to be the only useful number we'll ever have."
What browser are you using? Maybe the problem some of us are having with the long thread is specific to our device. I’m using an iPad Pro with safari and high speed Internet.
Does anyone else remember the golden days on Stamporama when someone would immediately be offered helpful suggestions if they were having site usage problems? Now the trend seems to be “Screw you, mine is FINE.” Sickening how the level of polite discourse has nosedived in the past few years. And, to answer your question, Ikey, that is why I have become hesitant to post. I’m too thin skinned and sick right now - I just don’t have the energy to bicker, nitpick and debate every issue. It’s too exhausting. I’d rather have fun doing something else more pleasant.
In any case, we have split numerous threads in the past, I didn’t think it would generate a debate. Just goes to show how difficult it is to reach a consensus on any subject with a large, diverse group. Anyways, the problem is easily solved for those of us with lag - skip the long threads. Toodles!
I will discuss with admins to see if this thread should be locked.
The Polynesian thread is the slowest loading to me and likely due to all image content.
I've started a Coronavirus 2 Thread.
That way we can leave the Coronavirus with its 360 posts!!
When Coronavirus 2 thread is too long we can start a Coronavirus 3 etc etc etc
My local news is starting to say things like, "light at the end of the tunnel", "possible easing of restrictions" etc. I predict people will start demanding that we go into "the next phase" (whatever that is) soon.
Per adding up collateral deaths due to the epidemic...
On Friday a fellow I knew in my model car hobby died. He fell off a ladder at home and landed head first on concrete. Circumstantially if we didn’t have this lockdown he would have safely been at work. But instead he was home and decided to get some house work done. Sad.
Tom,
Sad to hear of the loss.
Lars
Sadly, the U.S. surpassed the half million mark today for confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases.
Remember when I posted:
"So my prediction for the U.S. is:
March 31 - over 100,000 infected; over 1,000 dead
April 15 - 500,000 to 1 million infected; around 10,000 dead
April 30 - tbd based on government action or inaction, but I wouldn't be surprised to see over 25,000 dead by April 30.
This isn't politics. This is math. "
"Your trajectory outlines a worst case scenario"
"Additionally, while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases it ranks 6th in deaths."
Lars wrote:
"We desperately need a vaccine ASAP. My prediction is October and that is VERY optimistic, but that's what I'm hoping for. Definitely BEFORE the next flu season starts!!!"
Sincere wishes that both you and your wife avoid infection. Ditto for all the folks here. Stay safe everyone.
Am a little surprised to see no comment thus far on this. Maybe we all want to get way from news about it but i have some worries about handling mail from abroad. I'd be interested to hear opinions.
re: Coronavirus
Just don't lick the stamps from Wuhan. Seriously, the cold that mail is subject to in the hold of an aeroplane and the time delay is probably enough to destroy the virus.
Looks like in South Korea the problem was a church congregation. More concerning are the cases that are showing up on the West Coast of USA where no known link has been found (also one in UK).
re: Coronavirus
I hesitate to get on the bandwagon, but I wonder about mail leaving certain areas of China. Can someone out there with knowledge of the area tell us whether we should be concerned? Does a virus survive the postal system?
re: Coronavirus
This from BBC website.
"If someone infected with the virus coughs on to their hand and then touches something, that surface may become contaminated. Door handles are a good example of a surface that might pose a risk.
It's not yet known how long the new coronavirus might be able to live on such surfaces. Experts suspect it is hours rather than days but it is best to wash your hands regularly to help reduce the risk of infection and spread of the virus. "
re: Coronavirus
Touch of irony; we are going out this afternoon for my wife's birthday- to a Chinese place we like. NOT a buffet, so it's probably safe. I wonder if there are any eateries with 'Wuhan' in their name out there. That'd be tough.
re: Coronavirus
I just mailed a stamp to South Korea. I hope it isn't returned.
re: Coronavirus
This specific strain of virus, according to the Chinese authorities and other health officials, can linger on inanimate surfaces for more than other viral strains. A specific time frame varies.
You may check the official USA CDC website to get a definitive answer.
There are several websites that deal with this information, but going to the source--the official CDC notifications website--is a sure bet.
(This reminds me of the post-9-11 postal scare.)
Due diligence is best.
re: Coronavirus
Skip the rumors and stick to the basics, wash your hands. Time to get into the stock market, buy low. Looking forward to the rally after the masses figure out they were lied to again by the fake news.
There will probably be some postal history to collect in the future after postal administrations start taking measures to disinfect the mail.
Vince
re: Coronavirus
The first Australian death has been reported today. SARS was bad, but this is spreading five times as fast.
I've just come back from a trip to Thailand. Probably 90% of people on the plane and at every airport wore a mask. At one regional airport, we were greeted by soldiers and nurses, who took our temperature and disinfected our hands.
The virus has also just hit New Zealand. Considering how remote we are from the rest of the world, don't think this won't get a lot worse before it gets better.
re: Coronavirus
I'm kind of concerned about this one. I heard that there were 5 deaths from that one quarantined cruise ship alone. Sounds like this one is actually killing people.
re: Coronavirus
Of course we treat the flu lightly, many not even getting their flu shots
"So far, 14,000 people have died and 250,000 people have been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, according to preliminary estimates from the CDC."
re: Coronavirus
'
The 1918 influenza epidemic did not put Coney Island or Cunard Line out of business.
DIS (Disney) stock has taken a hit. Even if more of the theme parks go offline, they'll be back.
CCL (Carnival) stock has taken a hit. Short of liquidation, it is a safe bet that the customers who prefer cruises to air travel will be back.
My unsolicited, unqualified advice is to buy some now and, if they go down, buy some more.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (who also suggests a peek at Costco & Shopify)
re: Coronavirus
Well
Vinnie says it is just a hoax with made up stories about dead people.so why worry.?
re: Coronavirus
Sorry Charlie,
You made my point about fake news. If you don't agree with someone just tell lies and keep telling them until you and others believe your own BS.
Vinnie says it is just a hoax with made up stories about dead people.so why worry.?
Never said it, never implied it. please don't make up lies about what I said. It's OK to disagree with me but stop lying.
Vince
re: Coronavirus
Lots of misinformation out there. Some of it laughable and some of it dangerous/counterproductive.
The US got a good start on this back in January. Travel ban from China began January 31. On February 4, Congress was still up to their eyeballs in the impeachment trial process, but my wife and I were surprised when her pulmonologist's office screened us with prepared questions relating to coronavirus. I don't know if the screening protocol originated with CDC, NIH or the hospital system, but it's an encouraging sign of some level of awareness and early coordination. We hadn't been out of the state, much less the country in the past year, and were impressed the healthcare system (or at least part of it) was already taking such precautions.
Tom
re: Coronavirus
All - The discussion can stay civil if people avoid divisive political lingo. It does not help to the discussion.
re: Coronavirus
"... after the masses figure out they were lied to again by the fake news ..."
re: Coronavirus
"...Lots of misinformation out there..."
"...When were the masses lied to..."
re: Coronavirus
I just read this :-
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT - CORONAVIRUS
Last evening dining out with friends, one of their uncles, who's graduated with a master's degree and who worked in Shenzhen Hospital (Guangdong Province, China) sent him the following notes on Coronavirus for guidance:
1. If you have a runny nose and sputum, you have a common cold
2. Coronavirus pneumonia is a dry cough with no runny nose.
3. This new virus is not heat-resistant and will be killed by a temperature of just 26/27 degrees. It hates the Sun.
4. If someone sneezes with it, it takes about 10 feet before it drops to the ground and is no longer airborne.
5. If it drops on a metal surface it will live for at least 12 hours - so if you come into contact with any metal surface - wash your hands as soon as you can with a bacterial soap.
6. On fabric it can survive for 6-12 hours. normal laundry detergent will kill it.
7. Drinking warm water is effective for all viruses. Try not to drink liquids with ice.
8. Wash your hands frequently as the virus can only live on your hands for 5-10 minutes, but - a lot can happen during that time - you can rub your eyes, pick your nose unwittingly and so on.
9. You should also gargle as a prevention. A simple solution of salt in warm water will suffice.
10. Can't emphasise enough - drink plenty of water!
THE SYMPTOMS
1. It will first infect the throat, so you'll have a sore throat lasting 3/4 days
2. The virus then blends into a nasal fluid that enters the trachea and then the lungs, causing pneumonia. This takes about 5/6 days further.
3. With the pneumonia comes high fever and difficulty in breathing.
4. The nasal congestion is not like the normal kind. You feel like you're drowning. It's imperative you then seek immediate attention.
re: Coronavirus
Is it OK to pick your nose wittingly?
re: Coronavirus
d1stamper,
That is good information if true. I am not saying it is false but where did this information come from. I ask because you stated
I just read this :-
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT - CORONAVIRUS
This is all common sense procedures (what you should do normaly) that is not on Main Stream Media where many folks trust for correct information but can't find it there. Way too much false information out there and a lot of scare tactics. I stand by my original post"wash your hands."
Vince
re: Coronavirus
"Last evening dining out with friends, one of their uncles, who's graduated with a master's degree and who worked in Shenzhen Hospital (Guangdong Province, China) sent him the following notes on Coronavirus for guidance:"
"4. If someone sneezes with it, it takes about 10 feet before it drops to the ground and is no longer airborne.
5. If it drops on a metal surface it will live for at least 12 hours - so if you come into contact with any metal surface - wash your hands as soon as you can with a bacterial soap.
6. On fabric it can survive for 6-12 hours. normal laundry detergent will kill it"
re: Coronavirus
Here in Bangkok there isn't any real panic yet. About half of travelers on the mass transit lines are wearing facemasks, but I'm not sure that's up much more than when we have our yearly peak flu epidemic. A lot of malls and shops are putting hand cleaning gel dispensers at the doors. At the Makro cash and carry today as well as the hand gel a staff member was offering to take customer's temperature with an airport type digital thermometer. I'm OK for that anyway. If it does become a full on pandemic then we should be careful calling it a hoax as the mortality rates look fairly bad.
re: Coronavirus
I do not see a lot of misinformation and note there is a lot of official sources for information in the world. I would expect differences in medical conclusions based upon best information.
What I see more of is the usual politicization by various sides and the usual hyping (extensive coverage) by media for ratings in the absence of other news. Talking heads have to make a living.
re: Coronavirus
"I do not see a lot of misinformation..."
re: Coronavirus
Not linking to it but ran across a site today of some 'Psychic' claiming the virus was engineered by the 'deep state' and the Illuminati. They plan to wipe out 60 million of us so the remainder is easy to control. I'm strong on free speech but stuff like this is dangerous.
Washington state has declared an emergency. Shows like PIPEX might be in danger of cancellation.
re: Coronavirus
It's because it is unknown that creates the problem - the flu is known.
"It's fear of the unknown. The unknown is what it is. And to be frightened of it is what sends everybody scurrying around in circles chasing dreams, illusions, wars, peace, love, hate, all that - it's all illusion. Unknown is what it is. "
John Lennon
re: Coronavirus
Think we might be scaring the normal people just a bit. Cough, sneeze, ache wheeze. Keep boiling the hankies Ma.
re: Coronavirus
I stopped watching TV news years ago, as well as paying attention to most print and online Main-Stream-Media (MSM). Just too many agendas and misinformation on all sorts of topics. Came to this conclusion many years ago when I was in my teens, now I am in my 60s. Guess I might have been more analytical than most and ended up putting that trait to good use in my career as a chemist in the energy service industry.
I have found several good sites on YouTube about this topic. The videos that I have been watching have been authored by medical doctors or people with a good medical background. They have been referencing the information put out by the CDC, the WHO and the many papers that are being published in the medical journals with the most up-to-date information and have been posting links to that online information.
The links to these sites are as follows, the first being from the US and the second from Great Britain:
https://www.youtube.com/user/ChrisMartensondotcom/videos
https://www.youtube.com/user/Campbellteaching/videos
Both have been giving good tips on how to handle the situation and what to watch out for. Both have been very critical of how their national governments have been handling the situation, with their belief that most governments appear to be more worried about their economies than the health of their citizens. Two countries that they have praised for their responses are Singapore and South Korea.
I personally have ignored past plague scares, with those scares generally fizzling out (SARS, MERS, Swine Flu, etc.) although affecting some areas of the world rather severely. But when the information on this virus started coming out it looked much more similar to the Spanish Flu from 100 years ago (much more virulent). That was bad; my grandmother had a younger brother that perished from that flu.
Now that I am over 60 years of age I am starting to take the flu and similar viral infections much more seriously. I have had my yearly flu shot and have taken both available pneumonia vaccinations in the past several years. I got a case of bacterial pneumonia after getting the flu about 15 years ago, which then resulted in a case of shingles. I don't want to go through that again.
I have stocked up on the essentials that will tide me over for a couple of months if necessary. Just look at how this is being handled in China at the moment and ask yourself if the Chinese government would be taking such drastic measures if this isn't a big deal.
re: Coronavirus
Speaking of viruses, Kelleher has an article in this quarter's edition of "Kelleher's
Stamp Collectors Quarterly" by Thomas Lera titled "Mosquitoes Impact on Florida Mail in the 19th Century." It shows how misinformation and lack of information can cause people the make irrational decisions. The post office made a paddle with spikes to use on mail to puncture the envelopes so sulfur fumes could penetrate the envelope and keep Malaria from spreading.
I don't have any examples in my collection yet, but I do have some covers from the post 9/11 hysteria.
Here is a link to the magazine, if the link don't work you can see this issue and all back issues on their site.
https://www.kelleherauctions.com/magazine/kcc_021/index.htm
Vince
re: Coronavirus
I have to be careful going out. Just because I cough a bit & sneeze doesn't mean I have Covid-19!
re: Coronavirus
"... your hometown newspaper (NY Times), which suggested calling the virus the 'Trumpvirus' ..."
"So, our Coronavirus Czar is going to be … Mike Pence. Feeling more secure?"
re: Coronavirus
I am laid up with the flu right now, but that's all it is. I'm almost afraid to go out in case someone sees me coughing!
Joe
re: Coronavirus
@Brechinite, Ian thought we all still did that, saves filling up the landfill with all the tissues that we made from the trees we cut down to make them. I always found that using tissues made my nose itch, probably the fibres that come off the paper.
I also hate when I find that she who commands has left a tissue in her cardi pocket when I empty the washtub.
Now where is my Sunlight laundry soap and washboard.
re: Coronavirus
Some have said to buy low, since the market is in a panic.
I do not know if there is the availability to buy options on any DOW 100 funds?
Just think about it this way.
If you had an option for 5 blocks of the Dow 100, that would be worth 500 shares to trade up or down.
The market dropped 3,000 points in 3 days, that would be a gain of 3,000 times 500 or $1,500.000 in just 3 days!
re: Coronavirus
Ikey,
So in your opinion editorials do not influence people? Or that saying things like "So, our Coronavirus Czar is going to be … Mike Pence. Feeling more secure?" is not fear mongering?
Sorry, I do not buy into your 'its just an editorial' defense. This kind of crap has no place in any media publication right now, we do not need divisive stuff like this. We need to be pulling together and leave politics out of it.
If after all of this is over, people are not dying, and the public is more at ease she can play her political card. But this is exactly the kind of thing that has US public opinion on the media at such a low level. Ms. Collins should be ashamed of herself.
Don
re: Coronavirus
"... So in your opinion editorials do not influence people? ..."
re: Coronavirus
ikey,
I certainly did not say that op-ed should be suspended for the duration of the crisis. But having the right to speech does not mean it is always right to say something. What value is there is being divisive right now? (For the public, I assume the value for her the NY Times was more money in their pockets.)
And speaking of divisive you said in your post, “And you object to misinformation !”. You could have simply said ‘I do not agree with you’ without this kind of acrimonious personal attack.
Don
re: Coronavirus
the funny - and also beautiful - thing about opinions is that everyone seems to have one nowadays. In an ideal world it is normal that one does not have to agree with another person's opinion, but tolerates it because it is, or should be reciprocal.
Sometimes different opinions may even lead to new insights, but it seems that instead of bringing people together, it fuels polarization.
What is wrong with saying "that's an interesting thought, I haven't looked at it in that way" instead of feeling attacked or offended.
Jan-Simon
re: Coronavirus
"... We need to be pulling together and leave politics out of it ... What value is there is being divisive right now? ..."
re: Coronavirus
Meanwhile, in the rest of the world outside the US......
- New Zealand has blocked any travellers from mainland China, even if they were transiting
- Australia has initiated a pandemic plan
- 56 countries have now reported cases, every continent except Antarctica is affected
- People are panic buying across the world and "prepping"
- France has banned indoor events of more than 5,000 people
How serious does it need to be before people stop bickering about the politics??
re: Coronavirus
I just heard from my brother that a complete department in the office building next to where he works was shut down because a woman who works there may have the virus. First test was positive, now waiting for the second one to confirm it.
With that in mind, it is no longer something that happens far, far away.
re: Coronavirus
I work for a multi-national company and have operations in China so work with Chinese suppliers. We have seem impacts to supply chain (delays in materials and operations) and the company has banned business travel to multiple countries. One co-worker just took a long planned vacation to Egypt and Jordan! One vendor employee has parents in the original province but told they live out in the country so less risk. They had visited them during CNY. But, I engage with them daily so work continues and do what you can.
re: Coronavirus
Unfortunately, some infected & shedding virus carriers can be asymptomatic. So get used to elbow bumps and washing with soap for 1 round of “Happy Birthday”. This is going to be a difficult period ahead of us, what with the fear of death and losing everything.
And then there’s the Covid-19 virus…
re: Coronavirus
The following link from Johns Hopkins shows where infections from the virus have been reported around the world.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
It is a very interactive map that allows one to blow up or reduce the map image to get a better picture of where infections have been reported. Click on one of the red dots to get more detailed information for that location.
I have been watching updates of this map over several weeks. It has been amazing how quickly it has spread across the globe. Just today Argentina, Chile, Tunisia, and even Liechtenstein reported cases (Andorra, Monaco and San Marino have previously reported cases, with San Marino even reporting a death).
Where individual countries have been very good at testing for the virus and openly reporting cases, the numbers for that country have been exploding. South Korea is a good example. Almost everywhere where a case has been reported, several days later another case or two is reported, with the numbers then just starting to explode. From what I can see with the spread of cases across the United States and with number of cases starting to grow fast in a few locations in the United States, we are just starting to begin a very fast increase in total infection numbers.
For most (over 80%) an infection with this virus appears to be no worse than a cold or flu. But for about 15% of cases hospitalization may be required with up to 5% requiring intensive care. It does not appear to be a problem at all for the very young, but for those of us 60 years old and above it can be much more severe (death tolls of at least 3% increasing to over 15% for those above 80 years of age. The overall death rate appears to be in the 1-2% range, which is still 10 to 20 times that of the flu. And this is with the assumption that good medical care is available.
The big problem will be a potential shortage of available hospital care for those needing it. There is no immunity to this virus as it is a new virus. So everyone can potentially get it. There is no vaccine and none will be available for months, it at all. This virus is extremely contagious, able to survive for days on hard surfaces under the right conditions and being passed by both droplets (sneezing or coughing) and aerosol (much smaller droplets that stay suspended for long periods of time). It is much more infectious than the flu.
The high hospitalization rate and especially the very high intensive care rate will be the big problem. There will not be a sufficient number of hospital or intensive care beds to go around for all that will need them. This is where governments then clamp down with the quarantines in an effort to stop the spread. This is what happened in China with most of that country going into a complete stoppage.
And one does not get over this illness quickly. It can linger for weeks. For those more severely affected, it results in pneumonia, with one having the feeling of continuously drowning going on for many days in a row.
As I mentioned in my previous post, I have seen similar potential epidemics come and go over the decades, being hyped up by the press and then fizzling out without causing too much of a fuss. My gut feeling is that this one is going to be different, it is going to be similar to the Spanish Flu in its effects on the world. Some countries (China, Iran, South Korea, Italy, potentially Japan) have already been hit very hard. China's economy is being hit extremely hard, and with over 25% of all manufactured goods in the world being produced in China, the whole world is going to feel the effects. We no longer produce any vaccines and hardly any prescription medications in country, they are all produced in China. No medical masks are produced in the United States, they are all produced in China. When China decides that they need to retain these products in their own country because of their now great need for these products themselves, what are we going to do?
I am taking this very seriously. The daily pictures out of China with their great cities completely shut down with absolutely no traffic reminds me of some of the scenes from disaster movies. Would China being doing this if it was no big deal? I have seen video clips where a person is walking or standing and they then just collapse. In one case a person was standing on a sidewalk and then they just fell forward; they made no effort to cushion the fall with their arms, they just fell face-first into the pavement. Such images are common out of China, Korea and Iran.
The Spanish Flu circled the globe several times over a period of couple of years 100 years ago. In the process, it killed anywhere from 50 million to 100 million people. Many have been warning for the potential for a new illness to crop up and cause just as much damage. Is this it?
re: Coronavirus
"... I imagine or rather hope the flights will get a lot cheaper this year with people not willing to fly ..."
re: Coronavirus
"on a per-passenger, per-kilometer basis"
Well, that depends an awful lot on the plane....LOL. So many regionals flying around, all over the world, short hopping to the hubs where the big intercontinentals fly from....and these are the economical aircraft that are usually quoted in these kind of statements. And then there are the exec jets. Gee, I wonder if Al Gore is still flitting about in that mobile smoke-bomb Gulfstream G2?
re: Coronavirus
"... the virus helps reduce the greenhouse emissions ..."
re: Coronavirus
The Nova Scotia government just cancelled all school trips outside Canada for a few months. I must admit, if I were still a teacher, a trip to Italy (for example) with a group of kids would be a bit scary now. NS doesn't have a case yet (knock on wood), but it's only a matter of time. There seems to be a lot of needless (I hope) panic, but that's better than ignoring the problem. Strange things happening though - it's amazing that North Korea doesn't have "the virus" where South Korea has a problem. There is way too much POLITICS in this!!!
re: Coronavirus
On reflection, inflammatory comment deleted.
Charlie
re: Coronavirus
" ....Just look at how this is being handled in China at the moment and ask yourself if the Chinese government would be taking such drastic measures if this isn't a big deal. ...."
An excellent indicator, watch how governments act, and be suspicious of what they say, especially those that have a history of excessive secrecy or frequent mendacity.
" .... But when the information on this virus started coming out it looked much more similar to the Spanish Flu from 100 years ago (much more virulent). ..."
Just in case some have not checked this themselves.
"The 1918 Spanish flu — the worst pandemic of the 20th century — is estimated to have killed at least 50 million people worldwide over the course of three years. That includes 675,000 in the U.S. Among those who were infected, the death rate was estimated to be greater than 2.5% "
AND
" ....Estimates suggest that the world population in 1918 was 1.8 billion ...."
Today, nearly 7.8 billion so a similar death rate of 2.5% ought to dispatch about 215 million to an early grave.
Let's hope that the "fizzle out" theory is valid and not wishful thinking.
re: Coronavirus
" .... One co-worker just took a long planned vacation to Egypt and Jordan! ...."
Have you ever read "An Appointment in Samara" by W. Somerset Maugham ?
This fellow becomes fearful when he sees the hooded figure of Death roaming around in the local marketplace so he leaves Damascus to flee to a relative's home in Samara. That night when death visits the fellows employer, death comments about the missing servant and says that his absence is curious as It (death)has an appointment with him tomorrow in ....Samara.
It would be a classic good read, except I gave away the finish.
I wonder what would make someone consider Egypt or Jordan safer ?
re: Coronavirus
Here in Australia, people are panic-buying toilet paper. The shelves are empty.
If the virus is given a pandemic warning, are they all expecting serious bowel issues? If it's the end of the world as we know it, wouldn't it be more intelligent, if you want to be a prepper, to stockpile food?? Without food, toilet paper becomes somewhat redundant!!
Nowt as queer as folk!
re: Coronavirus
"... Here in Australia, people are panic-buying toilet paper. The shelves are empty ..."
re: Coronavirus
Our company send an email to all employees worldwide outlining measures taken "out of an abundance of caution in an effort to keep our team members safe and healthy." There are restrictions for business and personal travel. We were told to take work laptop home every day. If sick for any reason, stay at home.
re: Coronavirus
Al,
Count your blessings that you work for a good company.
Right now I am sitting in dialysis among 30 other patients all of whom are elderly, in frail health, majority are in wheelchairs and are living at extended care homes or hospices. Two of the healthcare providers who are currently on the floor are sick. One nurse is so sick she mostly has been sitting at a desk with her head down for the last 2 hours. It is standard procedure for dialysis healthcare worked to show up to work when they are ill.
To their credit, they are wearing masks and washing their hands often but it unnerving to have sick healthcare providers coming in physical contact with us when we represent one most vulnerable population of people.
And while there is a grievance procedure, no one dares to use it because the dialysis provider will punish you (i.e. move you to a facility 45 minutes away). And there are no alternative dialysis providers in the vast majority of locations across the USA.
In the US, ESRD (End-Stage Renal Disease) is socialized medicine, Medicare covers it no matter what your age. The two dialysis providers in the US, Fresenius Medical Care and DaVita, have incredibly strong political action groups and lobbyists. They have successfully paid off the politicians and gotten them to changes the laws and regulations for dialysis centers. So instead of the standard medical industry nurse to patient ratio of 1:2 through 1:4 at dialysis facilities they are allowed a 1:12 ratio. Additionally, they are allowed to have a dialysis tech, who has zero formal medical education and are paid minimum wage, to administer IV drugs to patients.
Mark my words, dialysis centers, extended care homes, and hospices will be decimated by this virus.
Don
re: Coronavirus
The other element in this calculus is that those dialysis patients who feel ill cannot easily choose to stay home for, well, any length of time.
Surely, we'll see an explosion of interest in peritoneal dialysis which, for the innocent, can be done at home after a minor surgical procedure (to implant a spigot).
Not every dialysis patient qualifies.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
Spigots...bad memories come flooding back. When my wife was in her final few months of cancer "treatment" she had three different hoses coming out of various parts of the body. I changed, and drained, everything every day. The joys of getting old, I just hope I never end up in that state!!!
re: Coronavirus
This feels like watching a Tsunami come at you in slow motion and you can’t do a damn thing about it other than pray. Time to turn off the news and stay home away from crowds of people and healthily, safely, happily, putter on stamps.
re: Coronavirus
"Time to turn off the news and stay home away from crowds of people and healthily, safely, happily, putter on stamps."
re: Coronavirus
True, Cougar. The luxury of retirement somewhat offsets all the creaky joints and memory lapses, eh? But, Folks may be forced to stay home whether they want to or not.
re: Coronavirus
Oh dear! They even canceled ComicCom in Seattle and the Boy Scouts of America local council has suspended winter camp and group meetings through the end of March. Not to mention a local church where my wife works is cancelling Sunday services after a vote by the elders! Plus Amazon, Microsoft, and Google are recommending employees work from home rather than come to the office and the University of Washington is going to attempt to do all classes online rather than in classroom settings through the end of March. Whitworth University in Spokane, WA is recommending that students from Western Washington not go home over spring break.
This is being taken VERY seriously locally.
re: Coronavirus
In 2009, the H1N1 (Swine flu) pandemic swept across the world. Within a year and here in the US, the H1N1 virus had affected 60 million people, hospitalized over 250,000 people, and killed over 12,000 people. Worldwide the number of deaths from H1N1 (in the years 2009-2010) was estimated at over 200,000.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html
I do not recall the US media fear-mongering with the H1N1 like they are doing now with the current COVID-19 virus. I do not recall stock markets being wildly volatile. I do not recall people freaking out stock piling supplies. I do not recall the level of politicization that we are seeing today with the COVID-19.
What has changed in 10 years?
Don
re: Coronavirus
I do not think it is all political. There are a lot of media outlets (political and non-political) that have to fill 24 hrs a day with something. The political ones retreat to their base audience corners and feed that itch. This happens no matter what - spin, counter spin. We see a lot of political hypocrisy these days.
When we have a snow event now unlike in years back, the local stations suspend network programming and just spend hours talking about traffic and road conditions, closings, local stories related to snow, how to drive in the snow, reminding people to not drive, etc. The technology allows remote reporting.
What supports this are stations secondary digital stations so the move network coverage to the sub channel to interrupt the main station. You have to manufacture something to keep those audience ratings which is more important than ever in this consolidated media company age. How many public service like stories on how to protect yourself from getting the flu do you need?
re: Coronavirus
Understood Al, but the H1N1 pandemic was only 10 years ago. In 2010 the internet was in full swing and streaming TV was also underway, so the demand for digital content was pretty high (although I would agree that the demand for content has probably increase since then).
I cannot find a single H1N1 Swine flu reference in any of the philatelic forums in that era yet they all have threads about the COVID-19 now.
Don
re: Coronavirus
If someone has already stated this, I apologize but I'm just wondering why it takes something like this to get folks to wash their hands!
re: Coronavirus
Jings!...Crivvens!...Help Ma Boab!
Whatever happened to the education system? It was hammered into us things like "Coughs and Sneezes Spreads Diseases!"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W728NGYhmmQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sR2X-6p_Y8U
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GWyzS9TJg9g
re: Coronavirus
At the risk of opening a can of worms here,
I think it is suffice to say
'common sense' is our new "contradiction in terms" phrase;
It isn't common any more.
re: Coronavirus
"
What has changed in 10 years?"
re: Coronavirus
"Apparently, not that many people keep, say, three weeks' worth of toilet paper at home."
re: Coronavirus
We are in the age of vox pops, where people who really know little about a subject espouse their views on worldly matters from the information they gleaned from social media outlets or down the pub. Usually after someone has had to read it to them.
Very few actually take the time to research the subject before passing along the usually false information.
re: Coronavirus
"... What has changed in 10 years? ..."
re: Coronavirus
This worth a read. A journal from a Brit in Wuhan who was an early victim.
First hand journal:
First-British-victim-25-describes-coronavirus
Roy
re: Coronavirus
I live in Omaha; the nearby city of Fremont Ne will close all schools starting Monday for at least a week. a 35 year old woman who later tested positive attended an event at the High School there last weekend. I am seeing reports of possible cases in the Omaha schools. We think we will need to hunker down starting any day now.
re: Coronavirus
I guess the media always needs a story, but we shouldn't play down the danger of this coronavirus until we are sure of our facts. So far the mainstream media and most governments have been pretty good at supplying facts. It seems the two things we should be looking at is how contagious it is and what is the morality rate. In the worse case it would be highly contagious with a high mortality rate. I will hold off making any decisions until I know these.
re: Coronavirus
"... how contagious it is and what is the mor(t)ality rate. In the worse case it would be highly contagious with a high mortality rate. I will hold off making any decisions until I know these ..."
re: Coronavirus
I was going to post " .... What has changed in 10 years?, ...." ,
but others have covered most of the obvious things. It just seems
fortuitous that Congress never got around to cutting the CDC funding
that was proposed. Score a goal for putting things off till later
or something.
It seems that they need every trained scientist they can keep standing.
Oh, and here is a cheery note, just for the record, in 1918 the
"Spanish Flu" started in the springtime and then did taper off in
the sunshine and heat of the summer, but as one source states;
"It came back with a vengeance in the Fall."
Just what I needed to know to cheer me up.
While I am not in as bad a shape as those on Dialysis, at my age
and with my existing complications, I have just gone over my Will,
my Living Will, and the Health Care Surrogate document just in case.
Others ought to consider doing the same.
I suppose I should be contrite about the gallows humor, but if this
sickness does spread as predicted, it is just being realistic.
Charlie
re: Coronavirus
This may apply to other people: now is not a good time to order anything that is to be shipped from outside the US. I've been tracking a shipment through DHL from Germany, it has been sitting in Germany since 2-28. I assume it'd be worse for Italy.
It's from Schaubek in Leipzig, Germany so far has not been highly affected but I suspect flights have been reduced so cargo space is more scarce.
re: Coronavirus
'
Please allow me to suggest that you will not be able to read this interview and claim that you did not learn three new things that are relevant to your own situation.
What the WHO learned about Covid-19 in China
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
ikey,
Great article,
I learned quite a bit of new information. I'm sticking with the basics,
Panic and hysteria are not appropriate.
Wash your hands.
If you are sick with cold or flu symptoms call your doctor and get tested if he/she advises.
Vince
re: Coronavirus
Vinman, fine to say get tested but what about all those who do not have the finance or health cover to be able to afford the testing.
This is where the government should step in and cover the cost without question. I'm sure that the brains in the health departments can calculate an overall cost per test, which would be paid to the testing centres on production of a patient listing with relevant security numbers. This would enable random checking to ensure honesty of the testing facilities ( would they tell untruths, not us guv).
ps Edit to add I find it strange that they still seem unable to tell us how long the virus can survive outside of the body.
re: Coronavirus
OK this from a site called Stackexchange,
I've checked the FactCheck.org article on the incident:
All COVID-19 tests in the US are conducted by two agencies: The New York State Department of Public Health, and the Center for Disease Control and Prevention.
Neither organization charges for the test.
You (and/or your insurance) will have to pay for emergency room services if you go to the ER, but you (or your insurance) won't be billed for the COVID-19 test itself.
EDIT, even this seems to be contradicted, here is a further response on the same site.
"All COVID-19 tests in the US are conducted by two agencies: The New York State Department of Public Health, and the Center for Disease Control and Prevention." — This is no longer the case. A number of state health department labs perform tests now (see, for instance Nebraska, which reports the number of tests they have performed) and commercial labs Quest and LabCorp are beginning testing as well. – Zach Lipton yesterday
re: Coronavirus
Does anyone know if US Customs is holding packages from Europe? An envelope of stamps arrived at Customs on February 21 and is just sitting at Customs. This envelope is from Estonia.
re: Coronavirus
The article covered a lot of aspects besides washing hands. It was a quick proactive response and not reactive approach. Like any event, some play it safe and others do not and often risk others.
re: Coronavirus
"Does anyone know if US Customs is holding packages from Europe? An envelope of stamps arrived at Customs on February 21 and is just sitting at Customs. This envelope is from Estonia."
re: Coronavirus
I do not know how the situation is today, but a few days ago, the US government announced that 1.5 million tests were available. That may sound a lot, but that means only 750,000 people can be tested, which is less than 1% of the population. Apart from that, most states do not have the capacity to do mass tests. They must scale up considerably in order to be able to deal with the challenges ahead.
Most countries have similar problems. Noone is really prepared.
re: Coronavirus
The situation is different today (in The U.S.). More kits are available. More are being manufactured as we post about the virus. Not every American needs to be tested. The test in intended for those who may have been exposed or those who are experiencing symptoms of cold or flu.
Vince
re: Coronavirus
'
This what transparency and an emphasis on public health looks like:
- the Israel Ministry of Health builds a timeline for each person who tests positive for exposure to the coronavirus, and
- the Israel Ministry of Health publishes that patient's timeline on their website, so that
- any person can quickly determine if they crossed paths with that infected person (oy!) or did not (phew!).
the Israel Ministry of Health timeline for Patient #29
Q/ Did you notice the granularity of that data ?
Yes, government is more 'distributed' in the USA - Texas has 254 counties, for example - but a motivated federal agency (or suitable NGO) could put together a template for this data so that agencies doing contract tracing could upload their data, enabling people to self-report their exposure to an infectee ... or self-relax.
{...}
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (who has removed an absolutely apolitical comparison of the relative efforts of the American v Israeli governments (available by PM) which - unlike some people - did not use words like "fake", "lies", or "hoax")
re: Coronavirus
Mods should remove the political posts.
Don
re: Coronavirus
51Studebaker...I agree wholehearterly... Any political posts should be deleted immediately. Regarding the virus, the two opposing political parties will attack each other regardless of the other sides actions or inactions. We signed off on over 8 billion to combat the virus and have been moving heaven and earth to do what ever can be done.
As I type this, I am in ground zero of the hot zone. I am in the subway tube headed out of downtown San Francisco jam packed against other people.
Your government is doing everything it possibly can. Follow the directions of the apolitical, nonpartisan scientific experts. Wash your hands and dont touch your face.
re: Coronavirus
“Your Government is doing everything it possibly can.”
Ummmm not to pick nits, but isn’t that a political opinion?
re: Coronavirus
No. I'm listening to Fauci not Trump.
re: Coronavirus
It is already too late.
The virus has spread too widely in the United States to now stop it. We had our chance about a month ago, but it would have required a complete shut-down of anyone entering the United States from outside the country, very rigorous testing and a complete tracking of any person testing positive to see who they may have contacted.
The choice was instead made to keep the economy running along without disruption. This is the same decision most countries made and are still making.
This virus spreads much more easily than the flu. A person with the flu spreads that virus on average to about 1.25 other people. Over 20 transmissions about 20 thousand or so people will be infected. One person with the Covid-19 virus on average will spread the virus to somewhere around 5 other people (the figures given vary but all are much higher than the flu). With 20 transmissions of the Covid-19 virus, about 330 billion people will be infected. Since there are only about 7 billion people on earth, good luck in evading this bugger.
The Covid-19 virus can remain infectious on hard surfaces for up to 9 days under the right conditions (the right temperature and humidity and lack of sunlight). It can spread by both droplet and by aerosol. And a person who is not showing symptoms can spread the virus without knowing they are. This is much different than most virus-caused diseases that only are infectious once symptoms being to present. It also has a fatality rate of about 3.4% (WHO figures) which compares to a fatality rate from the flu of about 0.1%. A very nasty little bugger that makes me wonder if this was cooked up in a lab somewhere.
With about 7 billion people on the planet and assuming about 60% infection of the population and a 3.4% death rate, you are looking at 140 million deaths worldwide. But this assumes that everyone will have access to good medical care.
Unlike other natural disasters (hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, etc.) that strike at the infrastructure and cause problems with water, electricity and food supplies, this one will strike at the medical infrastructure. The number of people infected is doubling about every four to five days where no quarantine has been imposed. Where some communities in the United States are presently starting to see a quick rise in cases, within about two weeks or less there will be more people presenting with severe pneumonia than what the hospitals can handle. Then hard decisions will need to be made who will be treated and who will be left untreated and to handle their illness on their own.
If you happened to see some of the videos that were coming out of Wuhan before China completely clamped down on any information coming out of that area, it was horrifying. The hospitals were completely overwhelmed. Crematoria workers said that two-thirds of the dead were being picked up at their homes rather than from hospitals; the hospitals sent them home because they couldn't handle them or people were afraid to go to the hospital because of fear of becoming infected with the Covid-19 virus. If you had a heart attack or other serious condition that would need immediate attention, forget about it as there was no one to help you. This is the condition that northern Italy is now facing. And a similar condition could be facing parts of the United States in about ten days.
The only way to stop this from happening is a complete and thorough quarantine. It has to happen now or else the conditions in Wuhan and northern Italy will be here before you know it. I don't think that a quarantine will occur until it is too late because all politicians don't want to make that choice; it interferes with the economy too much and disrupts everyone's lives too much. Don't want the voters made at me, don't you know. Only when the situation becomes dire will the quarantine occur and by then it will be too late for many people who will be needing medical care. It doesn't make any difference which political party is running the show, the results would have been the same.
I see most people in complete denial. What happened in Wuhan can and will happen here. It is the same virus and we are the same species. Wuhan apparently had a pretty good medical infrastructure and northern Italy certainly does. Wuhan broke under the strain and the medical infrastructure in northern Italy appears to be in very dire condition. But people in this country are more worried about not stopping the NCAA basketball tournament, other sporting events, and just making things inconvenient in their life.
So I do not see good things coming our way in the next few months. I am not worried about water, electricity or sewer service. I am stocked up on food (the first time I have ever done this). And toilet paper. Tomorrow I am going to check with my pharmacy to see if they can refill my prescriptions ahead of time; I presently have about two months left on my three-month prescriptions, but if I can get them refilled, I am going to do so.
There is a lot of good information (meaning correct) and useful information coming out on this. Unfortunately, our media and politicians are not the ones providing this information. Check out my previous post on this thread to links to a couple of YouTube posters, both medically trained professionals, that have been presenting very good information on this topic.
Boy, do I hope I am wrong about this. But my eyes don't lie and my scientific training tells me to accept what I see and to not ignore it. I wouldn't mind being sarcastically called a prepper a couple of months from now, but that is not what I see coming.
re: Coronavirus
People assessing a government's response is an opinion (political or otherwise) as they are not expert to judge the response and even "experts" disagree.
re: Coronavirus
Time to assign this thread to the Steam Room. It's depressing enough to read the click bait on news services. I don't like the way this issue is invading a good stamp forum.
re: Coronavirus
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nR0lOtdvqyg
re: Coronavirus
Once upon a time - like, say, three days ago - I had the same dire outlook as okstamps.
But the WHO interview reminds me that
- epidemics are not uniform,
- government reactions to local outbreaks matter,
- the behavior of individuals matter, and
- anything that slows the spread of the disease allows time for vaccines & treatments to come online, while it reduces the deadly overflow at hospitals, etc.
What the WHO learned about Covid-19 in China
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (who certifies, under penalty of perjury, that he has not forced anyone to click into this thread)
re: Coronavirus
Now we need one with Frazer as well
re: Coronavirus
I just got back from the doctor's office for a planned checkup at a fairly large practice.
What was different?
1. Asked questions related to flu like symptoms and travels overseas first
2. Purell everywhere, masks on requests
3. Admins logging in patients wore gloves. People who had to fill out forms were given gloves
4. A few people had masks, saw none on staff
5. Asked if I could get a corona virus test - answer: No, I would have to contact state health office. NC state has test kits on back order per State due to issue with the kits. LabCorp supposedly has kits.
6. Did not see/hear anyone coughing, etc.
re: Coronavirus
What a waste of time this thread has become. Long diatribes that highlight the most negative and questionable information that can be found and others presenting "information" regarding the U.S. test kits without understanding the distinctions between the public and private aspects of the situation. Elsewhere, others talk about the phase three (human) testing of new vaccine candidates as though they understand the process and why it can take 12-18 months. Spoiler alert: the drug companies are repeatedly sued when their approved products are blamed for causing alleged unexpected side effects, etc. The litigious nature of Americans has as much to do with the time it takes to approve new drugs as anything.
I'm probably as concerned as anyone here regarding the Wuhan virus. My wife has won the lottery when it comes to having ALL of the major pre-existing conditions that are likely to cause a severe reaction to the virus. Ironically, she has been involved in patient management in drug studies and has been responsible for setting up phase three studies for new cancer compounds. So we're aware of the importance of the studies and the extraordinary costs incurred in developing those compounds. Then there is the time it takes to get multiple sites set up with patient enrollment to do the studies and then navigate the FDA requirements and coordinate with the physicians and their administrators and legal staff as well as all the groups (including legal) within the pharmaceutical companies themselves that play a role in getting new drug compounds approved. No one in that process wants to take shortcuts or make mistakes. Lives depend on everyone doing their jobs to the best of their ability. Too many politicians and too many posters to this thread (and elsewhere online) don't understand the situation well enough to be commenting on it! As Fauci and Azar have pointed out, we're dealing with the equivalent of the "fog of war." Everyone needs to step back, take a deep breath and take personal responsibility by following the general precautions for avoiding infections. We've learned to live with the various strains of the flu that infect millions and kill thousands each and every year. We'll learn to live with this new virus if it too becomes yet another in the long list of health issues we all must deal with. Be responsible and be safe!
re: Coronavirus
as requested:-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sxqvwkmTNy8
re: Coronavirus
"negative aspects ?"
That sort of implies that there are countervailing reasonably positive aspects. About the only one I can imagine is the possibility the growing world population may pause a bit. Otherwise perhaps we should close our eyes, put a paper bag over our heads and hope for the best. Now that I think about it, noting that rubbing one's eyes appears to be a common entry point for the virus, using a paper bag might just help. preferably one with the name of some upscale store emblazoned in fashionably bright colors, of course.
Maybe having this house alone out on the Texas Tundra might not be such a bad idea either. If I do not run out of hinges, I have enough stamps to stay secluded and busy for a year or more.
re: Coronavirus
I think the main question here is if the corona virus is affecting our stamp collecting in any perceivable way. Are we buying less stamps in fear we might need money for hand sanitizer which went from $3/bottle to $184? Are we having less time for stamps for whatever virus-related reason?
I am not affected as of yet. Happy stamp collecting as usual.
re: Coronavirus
As the OP on this... Please don't pull this thread. It may be a tall order but we're all adults and ought to be able to discuss this without political jabs. I think there have been an equal number of them on here from both sides of the divide.
As Cougar said, the intent was to have a forum to discuss how this impacts collecting.
re: Coronavirus
This week’s edition of the Economist just arrived and they have, as per their usual high journalistic standards, a good article comparing how different countries are dealing with Covid19. They cited Singapore as being particularly well prepared. After the SARS scare, Singapore created a thorough plan for dealing with any future epidemics and it is paying off for them.
There is also a graph showing how the flow of tourism into certain areas does not align with the numbers of cases that you would expect to see. Raises many interesting questions about the accuracy of the reported numbers of cases.
Another point they mention is that most medical masks are manufactured in China. It might behoove the USA to encourage making some of these critical supplies domestically in the future.
re: Coronavirus
I live near Halifax in Nova Scotia and in the Summer and Fall our area depends on getting tourist money from the many cruise ships that stop here. They are discussing now about cancelling that for the Summer, or whether people will actually even take cruises. I imagine most coastal cities around the world are discussing the same things. It should make for a very interesting tourist season everywhere. They've already cancelled all international school trips. How about large sporting events around the world?
re: Coronavirus
" How about large sporting events around the world?"
re: Coronavirus
"... I just got back from the doctor's office for a planned checkup at a fairly large practice ..."
"... Spoiler alert: the drug companies are repeatedly sued when their approved products are blamed for causing alleged unexpected side effects, etc ..."
"... I think the main question here is if the corona virus is affecting our stamp collecting in any perceivable way ..."
"... I live near Halifax in Nova Scotia and in the Summer and Fall our area depends on getting tourist money from the many cruise ships that stop here ..."
"... most medical masks are manufactured in China ..."
re: Coronavirus
Due to the Coronavirus The Philatelic Gathering is cancelled this month. We meet in West Chester, Pa. Our average age is above 60.
So far this is not affecting me or my family. If necessary my wife can work from home.
I'm spending a few days at the new home, lots of cleaning to get to before the movers bring our furniture. I'll probably take a walk over to the APS tomorrow and check out their sales department and library.
I'll let you know what precautions they are planning.
re: Coronavirus
My husband and I spent a few hours in the emergency room at a large, well respected hospital here. A few observations
Maybe 5 to 10 percent of the nurses wore masks.I did not see even 1 doctor with a mask on. Our doctor introduced himself, shook hands and discussed what they were going to look for and the procedurec used.
Almost all doctors and nurses used scrub sinks rather than the wall mounted hand sanitizers. I asked why and was told that soap and water is MUCH better at getting rid of germs than hand sanitizer.
In other words, no real changes yet.
re: Coronavirus
Good News for stamp auction addicts.
Since DOCTOR WHO and CDC have indicated
that the virus does not survive on
inanimate objects for more than three
days, and one somewhat unsubstantiated
rumor suggest that nine days is safe
enough, our USPS, in an abundance of
caution had announced that no mail
delivery will be sped up faster than
one fortnight from the cancellation
date for any regular mail item. Since
Priority and Express customers already
pay a special fee such mail will be
held to the standard three week schedule.
This will surely kill any chance of
passing the infection between the often
apparently inanimate postal workers.
Also highway repair crews engaged in
moving small potholes from side lanes
to center lanes will not be able to
remain at home due to infection exposure
unless they can demonstrate a body
temperature of at least ninety-six
degrees. They will be issued new IDs
stamped "CIW" (Certified Inanimate Workers.)
re: Coronavirus
Well I guess anyone in the States waiting on letters/packages from Europe will, with the latest news, have another month before they arrive.
re: Coronavirus
Yes, see, a built in safety factor, unless the mail deliverer
wipes his, or her, nose just before putting the mail in the
mail slot. I suppose a short ride around in a circle in the
microwave on the reheat cycle would clean the still sealed
envelope and its contents.
I sure hope the Queen does not mind.
re: Coronavirus
"The 1918 Spanish Flu did not sink Cunard Lines."
re: Coronavirus
I feel sorry for middle income families who saved up to take the kids to Disney and Universal. They have purchased their tickets - do they cancel or risk it? The drop in attendance at the parks will probably taper off as many of these folks who committed will still go. I wonder at what point the parks will choose to close.
We are also entering Spring Break week - peak tourist time for the entire year. I wonder if the college students opt to stay away.
Tourism is Florida’s primary industry and a huge income source for taxes. We don’t have a state income tax, but we do have high taxes on hotels and restaurants to compensate.
re: Coronavirus
The biggest threat to everyone today is the mobility of the human race. 90+% of the world's population could hop on a plane tomorrow and go anywhere. Keeping track of who they meet and what they touch is impossible.
I watched Liverpool lose to Atletico Madrid today. No handshakes, but elbow bumps between players and officials.
Self-isolation (ie: becoming a hermit) is the most logical response at this time
re: Coronavirus
I'm a big NBA fan and turned on the computer a few minutes ago only to learn that the season was suspended - a player tested positive for corona virus. With all the players and fans in the arenas that could be really serious. I wonder what the MLB and NHL are going to do. If I remember right there was a Stanley Cup final between Seattle and Montreal cut short in 1919 due to the Spanish Flu. All us sports fans are going to have a tough year! By the way, I think the NBA is doing what they have to do and I would bet the next step is cancelling the Stanley cup and then the MLB season. I hope this ends soon!!!
re: Coronavirus
Harvey, you can remember 1919?!?
Wow, philately really is a hobby for old-timers!
re: Coronavirus
Over here in the Netherlands new mitigation measures have been announced. Work from home if you can, stay at home if you do not feel 100%, all meetings of more than 100 people are cancelled, which includes museums.
I suppose that means more time for the stamps...
re: Coronavirus
While lying low at home, I should start trading my extra rolls of toilet paper for the stamps of Basel, Geneva, and Zürich.
re: Coronavirus
Following all the developments in the past several hours we've decided the time has come to hunker down. I'm past 60, no underlying issues my wife is several years younger but we're just not going too chance this. We have a 24 year old son living with us he works at a Federal job and plans to tele commute starting next week. We ought to be able to buy groceries on line, I can still get out and go walking so long as I don't stop and talk to anyone. Our son came home last night with four packages of TP, so we are truly hunkered now.
I can get caught up now on stamp projects.
re: Coronavirus
I got an email from my Doctor's office that informed anyone with a cold or flu to call first. Do not go to the office.
The widespread impacts are unprecedented in recent history.
re: Coronavirus
"The 1918 Spanish Flu did not sink Cunard Lines."
"...While that is 100% true, the size of the tourism industry ..."
re: Coronavirus
A little idea of mine - replace your bathroom hand towel with a pile of washcloths. Everyone who washes their hands gets a clean mini towel. White is best as you can bleach the dirty towels.
Also - I am spraying and wiping down doorknobs and other frequently touched surfaces with diluted bleach water. Anything touched by multiple hands should be disinfected.
Anyone else have little tips to share?
re: Coronavirus
I know someone who just puts a roll of paper towels in the bathrooms for people to use.
re: Coronavirus
We took our own plastic gloves to the shops today only to find that every place had both gloves and hand sanitizer and wipes on a table at the entrance !! I thought that was pretty organized !
The Grandson was due to come over and stay tonight but developed a cough so didn't come. Now we may cancel the Shabat dinner for tomorrow.
On a more grand scale, I have had to cancel my visit to 'London 2020' International Stamp Exhibition (If it still goes ahead, nor certain) because of current restrictions here in Israel. Massive disappointment which may be tempered if they plan not to go ahead with it at this time.
The world is in an odd place is it not !!
Londonbus1
re: Coronavirus
"... I am spraying and wiping down doorknobs and other frequently touched surfaces ..."
re: Coronavirus
Just saw on CNN: The NCAA is cancelling March Madness this year. I will not be surprised to hear that the NHL cancels the rest of their season. I'd bet MLB will at the least postpone the season opening, with possibly playing a shortened season starting later.
Earlier there was a rumor making the rounds that a dealer at a major Midwest Stamp show had come own with it but that proved not to be. I fully expect to start seeing shows cancelled as local communities clamp down on this stuff.
re: Coronavirus
Good Advice from a video on the BBC ...
Behave like you already have the virus'
An infectious disease expert says people shouldn't just try to avoid getting coronavirus - instead, they should act as though they already have the virus and want to avoid passing it on.
Professor Graham Medley, from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), said this during an interview with BBC Newsnight last night when asked if there was a "simple message" he could give the public.
His response was: "Most people have a fear of acquiring the virus, but I think a good way of doing it is to imagine that you do have the virus, and change your behaviour so that you're not transmitting it.
"Don't think about changing your behaviour so you won't get it. Think about changing your behaviour so you don't give it to somebody else."
In the interview, Prof Medley also discussed how herd immunity can help protect the population, and how vulnerable people can be protected.
re: Coronavirus
Just watching the European Union President giving a speech on what member states should do. The EU will set up a committee of experts to advise them. They promise that that they will do everything required.
However every country must remain unified and stick to the European Rules that are current or what the EU decides during this crises.
The question remains "Are you telling me that the billions of Euro's that they have had over the years that NOTHING was done to prepare for any type of pandemic?"
Leaders? I wouldn't trust them to run a bath.
Keep Safe.
re: Coronavirus
Ian, hopefully they will video conference to help stop the spread of the virus.
re: Coronavirus
".... The world is in an odd place is it not !!...."
Just for you Mike.
Curious Planet
Hurricanes, Tornadoes, Earthquakes,
Floods, Fires and Drought,
Pestilence, Pogroms and Wars,
What a curious planet we dwell upon,
Providing the wonders of birth,
The cornucopia of health and wealth,
Yet, apparently hell bent,
On destroying it all,
In a constant series of disasters,
That never cease, their Conga line,
Endlessly arriving, suddenly,
And wreaking their horrors,
Departing in an unfathomable way,
Renewing the very life,
They set out to eliminate.
What a curious planet, indeed.
©Charlie Jensen 2018
re: Coronavirus
I am a bit astounded that it is news that we should have good hygiene and wash our hands. The fact that we are now seeing news stories about airlines actually cleaning the planes, which should be standard procedure on every day of the week, is a sad commentary.
As a person who has been immunocompromised for the last 6 years, I have had to take extraordinary precautions over this time. I have 5 sets of ‘medical clothes’ that I wear exclusively at all medical appointments. When I come home the 4 times a week that I have medical procedures, I strip off my clothes and shoes in the garage before entering the house. I carry a backpack full of masks, gloves, and sanitizer wipes everywhere I go.
Studies show that we touch our face an average of 23 times per hour. No matter how hard I tried I could not seem to change this behavior for myself. So instead I decided to approach this issue by keeping my hands as clean as I could. Over the last 6 year, my hands have been perpetually dried out due to the 30-40 times a day that I use hand sanitizers. (By the way if you ever need to start your fireplace or a bush pile, hand sanitizer makes a great fire starter. There is that much alcohol in it!) These behaviors might sound a bit extreme, but I managed to stay alive and not get any secondary infections that those around me succumbed to.
Don
re: Coronavirus
I think we should move this thread over to
"Off-Topic"
re: Coronavirus
" ....These behaviors might sound a bit extreme, but I managed to stay alive and not get any secondary infections that those around me succumbed to....."
No Don, in your situation the behavior is far from extreme. Keep it up as long as you can.
Normally, I believe that people wash their hands when they have done something that obviously involves them possibly having been soiled, and our bodies develop healthy defense mechanisms for the normal bacteria they live with.
I read a study years ago that seemed to indicate that those who are overly worried about such things (germs) and try to totally avoid contact, become more susceptible to harm from otherwise symbiotic bacteria that actually protects somewhat from strains foreign (to them) bacterial infestation. At least that was the theory.
An example was given of parents who are obsessive about protecting their children from every and any germ imaginable. As a child grows and fights off biological infections it often naturally develops immunities from further infections. The child who does not get the opportunity to do so naturally can be subject to further biological attacks as they never were allowed to develop those immunities.
Such immunities are exactly what is meant when someone with Don's health problems is said to have compromised immunity systems.
So right now when the nation is being attacked by a new and vicious viral bacteria, wash frequently and regularly. Yesterday when I went to the Amarillo VAMC to see the regular PCP for the annual check-up, I wore "rubber" gloves and interestingly was asked by more than one person why, or, if I had a cold or something. "No, (silly, I thought.) hospitals are full of sick people !" and for the duration I would do the same thing. No need to bring home any new strange exotic pets.
Sorry, but I just had to return and edit some of the typos and defeat the "Spellcheck app" which apparently insisted replacing "immunities" with "immensities."
re: Coronavirus
"Anyone else have little tips to share? "
re: Coronavirus
Moved to Off Topic since devoid of any philatelic content.
re: Coronavirus
It took a few days here, but yesterday the local grocery stores were cleaned out of toilet paper! There was even a fight at No Frills for some! I'd be more concerned getting a small stockpile of dry & canned goods.
I went to Ottawa on Thursday by train. Business class car only had ½ a dozen or so people in it. Everything seemed normal in the capital. Only a couple people wearing paper masks, and one guy with a monster blue, orange and green plastic thing covering cheek to cheek, nose to mouth. But his eyes were still unprotected.
Hopefully, like Trump says, it will go away once the weather warms up
re: Coronavirus
Local stamp show scheduled for today cancelled, as was another upcoming one
for the 28th and 29th of this month.
Very bummed to also report the cancellation of the Reba concert that was coming
to Grand Rapids in May! My awesome wife gifted me with tickets for the show
at Christmas. I just told her last night to apply for a refund today.
May seems quite a ways away from now....seems odd to me to cancel that far out,
but I'm no expert....I don't think ANYone is, really, in situations like this.
My daughter works for Meijer Corporate;
They have been sent home for the next 3 weeks to work from home.
Local schools have closed for 3 weeks and are discussing the possibility of remaining closed for the remaining school year!
Panic sure makes people do unusual things.......
re: Coronavirus
"... Amazon pulled his items and thousands of other listings for sanitizer, wipes and face masks. The company suspended some of the sellers behind the listings and warned many others that if they kept running up prices, they’d lose their accounts. EBay soon followed with even stricter measures, prohibiting any U.S. sales of masks or sanitizer ..."
re: Coronavirus
This may have been referenced earlier but the APS has a cancellation page for shows cancelled or postponed due to this:
https://stamps.org/news/c/news/cat/news/post/cancelled-shows-march-2020-update
I went to my local supermarket yesterday and it was bedlam. All the toilet tissue was sold out and it looks like there is a run on some canned goods as well. I wore gloves and no one else I saw was doing so and in fact I got a few odd looks from store staff.
(Modified by Moderator on 2020-03-14 16:10:13)
re: Coronavirus
Some smaller shows are not listed with the APS...just an FYI.
re: Coronavirus
About an hour ago our doorbell rang. It was a lady down our street asking us we are all OK and if anybody needed anything. Apparently our neighborhood association is going to be doing this on an ongoing basis awhile. she left a number with us to call if we needed anything. I'm sometimes a bit of a cynic -I'm sure no one on here disagrees but I was a bit moved by the effort. She had a clipboard and we're now in a chain of residents to be looked out for.
Maybe there's hope for society after all.
re: Coronavirus
Well, I just had a double Sonic Burger brought in
and thus have placed my future in the hands of some
anonymous high school kid who may not have any real
idea about the new stricter hand sanitation rules.
But the burger was really good.
Lets see how this works out.
re: Coronavirus
All schools, college, libraries, city facilities and activities, churches that I know of, amusement facilities are shut here. The markets are all devoid of meat, dairy, canned goods, rice, pasta, freezer meals, dry goods, flour, sugar, of course toilet paper, sanitizer, and water, household cleaning products, soap, rubbing alcohol, Tylenol / Advil / etc., water filters.
There are no active cases in our city yet. The nearest is 25 miles away.
I live in Southern California, “earthquake country”, so we are in the habit of keeping emergency stores of water, non-perishable foods, and first aid on hand. But now I’m concerned that we’re going to have to go into our emergency supplies just because we can’t get day-to-day groceries. I guess that situation in itself will constitute our emergency.
I think it’s good that all non-essential facilities are shut, because I think a tremendous amount of spread could have been prevented if other countries would have shut everything down sooner. If our situation is the worst we have to deal with, I’ll be thankful.
re: Coronavirus
I wish we could quarantine the media and slow down all this insane mass hysteria and panic. We need to replace it all with ONE message: KEEP CALM AND WASH YOUR HANDS!
re: Coronavirus
I assume “MSM” means “main stream media” and not something out of “50 shades of Gray”? If yes, why would referring to main stream media’s over hyping of this issue be banned here? There are a few reactionary groups that use that term in a derogatory way to mean only some sources but technically it means all large audience media.
In any case, my statement applies to ALL forms of media no matter where they tend to fall on the political spectrum.
re: Coronavirus
If I mention the fake news "hyping" the Wuhan Virus my post are deleted. You either believe MSM or you don't. They are the problem. It is like the tabloids at the super market check out. They are causing panic and that is what they are trying to do. It is all President Donald Trump's fault. They were losing their minds yesterday because he touched the microphone at a press conference. Do you really think that is news?
I said it before and I'll say it again.
Panic and hysteria are not appropriate.
Wash your hands.
Vince
re: Coronavirus
Oh my - read my edited post above. I DID NOT mention specific media sources, my statement referred to ALL sources no matter their political leanings. But by using the terms “fake news” and so on, you are making a statement that is fiercely political and those are banned from Stamporama.
Innocent statements being vilified as political and heated politically charged responses are why that Stamporama rule was created. These don’t bring anything positive to the site so please stop assuming that my apolitical statements are supporting any political position.
Now I remember WHY I left Stamporama during the last election. This type of attacking attitude STINKS. Knock it off!
re: Coronavirus
Please explain why "Fake News" is political? I didn't mention any news outlet. Please point out in my post where I did. Maybe you don't like my opinion and call it political when it is not. Trying to get my posts censored.
Vince
re: Coronavirus
It is tough to discuss this when you edit posts after I respond. You are now trying to change what I am responding to. That is not being truthful. Trying to change the narrative and make my response not make sense. Shame on you. I remember when you left in a huff because I called you on changing your posts and deleting them after I responded to them.
I never mentioned any specific news outlet.
Vince
re: Coronavirus
We are not having a discussion in real time - this is not a chatroom
re: Coronavirus
I deleted my posts in the past to get the trolls to quit beating up on me. The conversations had shifted from discussions to personal attacks as this one has done. Whatever happened to polite discourse? You frame your responses in terms of “You think this ... “ and then attack me for thinking that way. Simply phrase your opinion and eliminate the YOU aspect. Argue the IDEA not the person expressing it.
re: Coronavirus
Possibly some of you may have already seen this. Brought a smile to my face.
re: Coronavirus
Now for something Philatelic.
List of stamp shows that are cancelled.
https://stamps.org/news/c/news/cat/news/post/cancelled-shows-march-2020-update
Vince
re: Coronavirus
"Tiresome to Bloody Nuisance."
re: Coronavirus
Sheepshanks - enjoyed that bit very much. You planning your garden yet?
re: Coronavirus
Hi Sally, appreciate your comment. Not planned anything on paper yet for the garden, it is still under a foot or so of snow, and more in the forecast.
Guess will have to look out and throw away some of the old seed and work on the new but nothing will be planted until mid May at the earliest. Usually buy in things like tomatoes and brassicas as they need a longer growing period which the commercial garden centres can do best.
re: Coronavirus
I predict that approximately nine months from now there will be
a large influx of new babies born into this world;
I also predict that by 2041 or so they will be referred to as the
"Pandemic Generation".
Let's just hope that we don't start seeing names like "Corona' for girls
and 'Covid' for boys.....
re: Coronavirus
Glen Stephen's chat board has a 40 post thread concerning show cancellations:
https://www.stampboards.com/viewtopic.php?f=13&t=89825
That board is not known for genteel discussion, comments have been made about the usual unsanitary state of many shows. Personally I've seen table dealers eating carry out foo with their fingers then without even a wipe, going through their stock. Many shows are breeding grounds for this stuff.
Look for London 2020 to be cancelled or postponed.
re: Coronavirus
Hi Vince,
In my opinion the media, all the media, is nothing like it was 30-40 years ago. As someone who has been negatively affected by the mask/sanitizer/wipes panic that the media has caused with their agendas, I really wish folks would reject the media's behavior.
Last summer Matt Taibbi wrote an introspective article named "The Media’s 10 Rules of Hate" which outlined how the media primarily now sells division. In it he said, "To make money, we’ve had to train audiences to consume news in a certain way. We need you anxious, pre-pissed, addicted to conflict...We’ve discovered we can sell hate, and the more vituperative the rhetoric, the better. This also serves larger political purposes." He goes on to list the '10 Rules of Hate' that his industry uses to make money.
Full article is here if you are interested https://washingtonspectator.org/taibbi-10rulesofhate/
In my opinion the Hatred he outlines has already been assimilated by much of the public; people now consume news to be affirmed, not to be informed.
Don
re: Coronavirus
Hi Don. I think you put that quite well. I didn't know about that article by Matt Taibbi, but I have generally liked his articles in the past.
re: Coronavirus
The radio station I volunteer at is a community radio station. We list events going on in the community in between music. We had to pull most of them due to all the closures in the area. The music will go on.
WRDV.org
Tomorrow night I will continue with my Blues program 10-1.
Vince
re: Coronavirus
"So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is...fear itself" Franklin D. Roosevelt
It is times like this that I understand this quote more than ever.. We are seeing
people acting without reason and in what I think is an irrational manner. They are going
to the stores where there are crowds of people touching shopping carts with there
hands buying toilet paper?
Me and my wife are retired and therefore can just wait this insanity out at home.
The fact is that the trucks carrying these product are on the highway right now, and
the shelves will be full again.
re: Coronavirus
Over the last two months I purchased a large stock of canned and dried food online from Amazon and also Nuts.com. I did that because I assumed there would be a quarantine of some sort eventually but mainly to get items that my local WalMart just does not carry. I also found that some items were cheaper through Amazon or Nuts.com than what WalMart has them priced at, especially when purchased in bulk.
Also, since I don't own a motor vehicle and perform all my errands on bicycle, having groceries delivered to my door is very convenient. I never liked the 9.5 mile round-trip grocery runs.
A couple of days ago when I placed an order on Amazon pickings were getting slim with many items out of stock or with a long delay before being available again. I did get coffee, coffee creamer, garbage bags and dishwashing detergent. Some small food items that had a selling price of $1 or less had a limit of two where before one could order as many as you wanted.
I just checked on Amazon again a few minutes ago. Now everything is gone. Everything is either out of stock for weeks or more or just has a notice that it is no longer in stock and it is not known if it will ever be in stock again. Other items that I had previously purchased have now been marked up in price by 100-200%.
I am planning on making one last run to WalMart to pick up a few items and then sit back and watch things progress over the next month or two. I just need some butter, margarine, chorizo sausage (it goes in with the beans in the slow cooker to give them some flavor), some cans of chopped tomatoes (again with the beans) and perhaps some bagged salads. I will probably take this trip tomorrow and see what I can find. I have a shopping bag that I purchased when living in The Netherlands; it is a very large two-handled very tough plastic bag about 2-3 times larger than an ordinary grocery bag. I figured if I used this I wouldn't need to touch any grocery carts. The doors open automatically, so no doors to open manually. I can check myself out, so no clerks handling my groceries at check-out. So other than for the stockers touching the items, limited touching of any sort involved.
It is a whole new world out there that came out the blue very unexpectedly.
re: Coronavirus
Saw a video on YouTube yesterday posted by a YouTube regular that I follow. I believe it was of a store opening in Australia with the camera trained down the aisle where the toilet paper was stocked. As the front door opened, the crowd poured down the aisle containing the toilet paper, with everyone grabbing as much as they could.
The person that posted the video rightly commented that this was one of the most stupid things he as ever seen. Here we have a highly contagious virus that everyone is supposedly afraid of and what do they do, they rush elbow-to-elbow together in a packed crowd down an aisle to fight over something that they can't eat. He commented that if that was him, he would be looking for the canned beans.
re: Coronavirus
"... “You think this ... “ and then attack me for thinking that way ..."
"... List of stamp shows that are cancelled ..."
re: Coronavirus
I went out to pick up a few groceries today - the stores really are out of toilet paper! Can anyone out there explain why there is a run (s?) on toilet paper. It really doesn't make sense to me!
re: Coronavirus
"... Can anyone out there explain why there is a run (s?) on toilet paper ..."
re: Coronavirus
"...- the stores really are out of toilet paper!"
re: Coronavirus
Hey Theresa.. I see you talking about trolls and why you left SoR... I hated to see you go.. as we head into November, just one question. Wanna go double or nothing?
re: Coronavirus
Trolls is another popular word that is tossed around that covers a broad area depending on one's views.
re: Coronavirus
Q/ So how come there are no reports of panic-buying at Michael's, as parents stock-up on arts'n'crafts kits to keep their kids busy during the shutdown?
Meanwhile, up-bubbles a memory of Larry (Room 201) and I (Room 204) quickly tiring of dorm life and, together with Ken (I forget) renting that premier status symbol, an Off-Campus Apartment.
It being the Spring of 1971 - everyone was busy groping their way back to the land - about one day into this adventure I find that Larry and Meg (his girlfriend) have bought a pillow-sized (?ten ?twenty pound) sack of flour and a commensurately enormous sack of sugar so that they can "save money" by baking their own bread.
I (thoughtfully, as always) explained that bread was the last & dumbest place to try & save money, as the stuff cost next to nothing at the grocery store, and nobody eats much of it, anyway.
They put their hurt noses in the air and said, basically: "Well, then, no bread for you."
I don't remember how long it took but, one weekend, Larry gifted the baking supplies on his mother (he lived less than fifty miles away) and that was that.
I am only sorry that her reaction has been lost to history.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
ikeyPikey wrote:
"Larry (Room 201) and I (Room 204)"
re: Coronavirus
Moreland Hall at SUNY Oswego. It's the dorm closest to town...and the bars. That would be the fall of 1991.
re: Coronavirus
"I predict that approximately nine months from now there will be
a large influx of new babies born into this world;
"
re: Coronavirus
I just got a message from Norfrim that some may find of interest:
'
Dear customer,
We are monitoring the development of the Corona virus closely here at Nordfrim.
Our greatest priority in this situation is the health of our customers and co-workers and we are following the guidelines provided by Government and taking all necessary precautions.
We are doing our best to keep our business running as usual in this extraordinary situation and you can still visit and purchase from our web-site and contact us by phone, email and post.
As the situation is right now we are still able to deliver to customers worldwide with the exception of Italy and potentially with smaller delays in some countries.
We hope that by joint effort we will get through this challenging situation in a good way and we look forward to hearing from you again.
Best regards,'
This is the first admission I've seen from a philatelic dealer that things are messed up. FWIW, I did get the shipment from Schaubek I referred to, came today. DHL tracking was not working.
re: Coronavirus
Please remember that Millennials - indeed, all of the Sesame Street Generations - need encouraging.
Q/ Will there be a Participation Trophy ?
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
My sincere feelings about what is going on worldwide:
Thoughts about what's happening, from people I talk to: Not much, except for; whats going on?????
What I see in the news: Don't panic, just wash your hands and be sensible....BUT LOOK WHAT'S HAPPENING HERE!!!...AND HERE!!!!...AND HERE!!!!
What I see with my own eyes: Grandiose absurdities.
What I see in financial merkets: QUICK, PANIC NOW!!!! HE WHO PANICS FIRST, PANICS BEST!!! !!SELL,SELL,SELL!!!!!
And what will come of all the BS? Opportunity for those who instil and provoke panic. (Large banks are very, very good at this game...IMO)
Most of us here are old enough to remember all the panics of the past. How did our investments do during those panics? Were we worried about them when our very lives, our existence was at risk? Well, no, after all, what's a few bucks (our retirements!!!), when people are gonna die all around us???
My advice: Be sensible, and keep your powder dry. Opportunities will soon abound, if not there already.
re: Coronavirus
Someone exclaimed to me, yesterday, that there is NO MORE EATING OFF OF THE FLOOR. No five-second rule, no three-second rule, no eating anything that touches the floor, period.
The reason, they went on to explain, was that (they heard that) "this virus is especially heavy, much heavier than other viruses, so it ends-up on the floor".
I gasped (for air) and grasped (for my handy handle on reality), and the best I could come up with (hey, it was real-time) was that it was like dropping a goldfish bowl; what made the mess was not the size of the goldfish, but the size of the bowl.
Actually, that's not too bad. The nanoscopic virus is in a microscopic water droplet. Larger water droplets fall more quickly, and smaller water droplets fall more slowly ("aerosol") because air is, like, you know, made of stuff.
I have this non-memory of sucking on a joint and exhaling: "Whoa, man, heavy virus."
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
A few ramblings from me...
We need to make sure the hundreds of medical school students graduate on time. They have spent almost 8 years in college, and they are almost finished. Give them their white coats and assign them across the country without delay. Us older folk, and the country, are going to need these young people on the front lines of this virus.
Keep eating your bacon and eggs for breakfast. There will be no shortage. Iowa has millions of chickens and millions of pigs. Farmers are producing more food every single day across North America. The workers who collect the eggs dress like ER nurses, and you cannot enter turkey or hog production facilites without protective gear. It has been this way for years. No days off for the farmer, as spring planting is coming up soon.
Got my worm bedding ready, the rains will come.
The worms will come out and "the early bird catches the worm." That's me.
The fish will start biting, and I know where to catch the walleyes, crappies, blue gills, and catfish. My fillet knife is sharp.
The asparagus and rhubarb will come up, and I know where the morel mushrooms can be found in the woods. The potatoes and onions will be planted, the raspberries will come on.
And so it goes...a country boy can survive.
Linus
re: Coronavirus
Linus, i agree, i think folks will find out they can get along on the basic stuff oatmeal,tea, the weekly coupon sales. I grew up on a farm..i had to do my share..but we ate very well.
re: Coronavirus
Phil, I challenged my wife to see how long we could go before we had to go to the grocery store. She said "when the milk runs out." She drinks milk, I do not. I told her I would get her a gallon at the gas station when I fill up the gas containers for the lawn mower, as the grass is just starting to green up here.
We have the greatest food production and distribution system in the world. Fuel shortage is not a problem. Stores will have temporary shortages, but they will be restocked, just have a little patience.
And if you truly have a need, I quote Mr. Fred Rogers:
“When I was a boy and I would see scary things in the news, my mother would say to me, "Look for the helpers. You will always find people who are helping.”
You might have to ask for the help, but Mr. Rogers spoke the truth.
Linus
re: Coronavirus
When i was a kid i would never ask for help...it took a lifetime but i am better at it now. Our cars did not move today...but i better pick up a tonic water for my wifes happy hour tomorrow.
re: Coronavirus
Insurance...Man's Insurmountable Burden.
Just learned that ALL insurance companies will not pay out on their Business Interuption Disease clause. Why? Covid-19 is a new disease and not on their list!! So much for their "All Risks" policies.
I heap a plague of locusts upon them!!
re: Coronavirus
" .... I went out to pick up a few groceries today - the stores really are out of toilet paper! Can anyone out there explain why there is a run (s?) on toilet paper. It really doesn't make sense to me! ''''"
I think that some folks noticed that one of the potential side effects of Covid-19 is or can be, diarrhea, and perhaps those who are usually referred to as "Big Bottoms" just got the ball rolling and the news then spread to some who are actually just "small bottoms."
re: Coronavirus
I heard that if 1 person sneezes, 100 people will crap themselves.
I went shopping yesterday, to stock up on essentials, and saw piles of T-Paper on sale, with the regular shelves fully stocked, as usual. Actually, I didn't notice anything different in the supermarket, or on the streets. Traffic only slightly down from normal. Only 1 person wearing a mask.
I'm in Mexico, by the way. People don't seem to panic here, over every little thing. Let's see how it all develops, as time goes by.
re: Coronavirus
Since Iowa has now closed all restaurants and banned meetings of more than 10 people, we have had to cancel our stamp club meeting for next week. Half of our members don't have computers or cell phones so we can't even do a meeting in virtual space.
The economic fallout is already hitting our family - my niece (an accountant) lost her job yesterday as the restaurant chain she worked for closed all 33 locations. My oldest daughter is interviewing for architect positions and was told yesterday that one firm likely won't be able to hire anyone this year. She is still in the running for several other positions so she still has hope.
Very thankful to have a job in a hospital. All employees are being screened before entering the facility. My husband works in a different hospital in the emergency room - he said two different families were caught trying to steal boxes of face masks so now the masks are in a secure location under lock and key. Very strange times we are living in...
re: Coronavirus
"Can anyone out there explain why there is a run (s?) on toilet paper. "
re: Coronavirus
It’s getting wild out there.
Last evening some guy walked into the Supermarket near us with a .45 automatic and started shooting. Not at people, at windows and stuff on the shelves. Guess he was annoyed they’re still out of TP. He got tackled by security but the store closed until today.
Today, same store- I was checking out and the checker, an older guy I knew from when we worked together at my former job, commented ‘They don’t know where this virus came from’. I said they do, from Wuhan he said ‘well that’s what THEY want you to believe.’ He then went into detail about what should happen to the store owner in Wuhan where it started, something about taking him behind a building and putting a bullet in his head. I told him i think that already happened. Then I remembered why I avoided him when we worked together.
I'm stuck at home along with my wife and 23 year old son who is telecommuting. I figure I can still get out for walks so long as I don't stop to talk to anybody.
re: Coronavirus
Around here the toilet paper and paper towel shelves are empty but also the egg shelves. I don't have a clue what people are doing with all of the eggs. My brother works at Walmart. He said when the truck comes in they have to block the aisle so they can restock because people are trying to open the cases to get the toilet paper.
I guess some people dance to a different drummer.
re: Coronavirus
I went for a few (yes, just a few) groceries yesterday. Bread, Eggs & milk were pretty much cleaned out. Still a few, but not much. Of course TP disappeared last week!
They'll be re-stocked soon enough for people to go crazy again!
re: Coronavirus
I go to the supermarket in Forfar every Thursday at the same time of day. I normally buy the same things. Yes I am a creature of habit.
I spend around £35 every week there.
Today I spent £3.60!!
ie 1 loaf of bread and 2 Bottles of diluting juice.
No milk, no beans, no butter, no eggs, no Coke, etc etc etc.
I came back to Brechin, went to the supermarket there and couldn't get the car parked as the car park was full. Drove home then walked to the supermarket and only able to buy 1 pint of milk and a bottle of coke.
The "locusts" had cleaned out the store of everything I wanted.
re: Coronavirus
Thought you might appreciate this Ian.
A Wee Bit of Scottish Patter ???????????????????????????? ???????????? to keep us smiling ????
Tae a virus
Twa months ago, we didna ken,
yer name or ocht aboot ye
But lots of things have changed since then,
I really must salute ye
Yer spreading rate is quite intense,
yer feeding like a gannet
Disruption caused, is so immense,
ye’ve shaken oor wee planet.
Corona used tae be a beer,
they garnished it wae limes
But noo it’s filled us awe wae fear
These days, are scary times.
Nae shakin hawns, or peckin lips,
it’s whit they awe advise
But scrub them weel, richt tae the tips,
that’s how we’ll awe survive
Just stay inside , the hoose, ye bide
Nae sneakin oot for strolls
Just check the lavvy every hoor
And stock-take, your, loo rolls
Our holidays have been pit aff
Noo that’s the Jet2 patter
Pit oan yer thermals, have a laugh
And paddle ‘ doon the waater ‘
Canary isles, no for a while
Nae need for suntan cream
And awe because o this wee bug
We ken tae be..19
The boredom surely will set in,
But have a read, or doodle
Or plan yer menu for the month
Wi 95 pot noodles.
When these run oot, just look aboot
A change, it would be nice
We’ve beans and pasta By the ton
and twenty stane o rice.
So dinny think yell wipe us oot
Aye true, a few have died
Bubonic, bird flu, and Tb
They came, they left, they tried
Ye might be gallus noo ma freen
As ye jump fae cup tae cup
But when we get oor vaccine made
Yer number will be up.
Willie Sinclair.... March2020
re: Coronavirus
Coronavirus Poem ... Coronaverse ?
re: Coronavirus
My local WalMart had just opened a drive-up in February. When I had ordered some canned diced tomatoes through Amazon last week, the order was canceled the next day because they were out of stock (or so they said). So I figured I would try my local WalMart - by using drive-up, I wouldn't need to walk through the virus soup inside. So I ordered my canned diced tomatoes (limited to two cans) and a few other things on Tuesday for pick-up on Wednesday. When Wednesday came around, I got an email from WalMart informing me that some of the items on my list were no longer available, with one item being canned diced tomatoes.
What is it with the canned diced tomatoes!
So I tried Amazon again, but now what had been selling for less than $1 a can is priced for at least $2 a can if not more (some were offering one can for as much as $30!).
So I went back to the online WalMart option. They had about a dozen different options available, with different brands, different sizes, some with peppers included, etc. So I ordered one or two of each, whatever I was allowed to do. I will see tomorrow if I end up with a year's supply of canned diced tomatoes or nothing at all.
Guess the convenience of having whatever we want at our fingertips at a moments notice is no longer an option, at least for a short while.
By the way, I noticed that I am now at a greater risk from this virus for another reason on top of my four previous risk factors. (1) I am over 60 years of age, (2) I am overweight, (3) I have high blood pressure (controlled with medication), (4) I have Type II diabetes (again controlled with medication), and now (5) I have Type B blood. Apparently people with Type B blood have a higher risk of developing a severe illness from the virus and also to die from this illness. I figured the WalMart drive-up would give me the best chance to maintain social distancing.
I also ordered some eggs and a five pound bag of potatoes. It will be interesting to see what will still be available tomorrow.
re: Coronavirus
Being naturally suspicious of anything tied to blood types - that goofy match-your-diet-to-your-blood-type fad comes to mind - I googled and, relax okstamps, the elevated risk (in one study, not yet peer-reviewed) was for Type A, not (your )Type B.
The primary reason to be suspicious of any claim tied to blood types is that, had there been a strong survival advantage to one type over another, we probably would not have different types. Duh.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
The reason people are stockpiling canned tomatoes is to make sauces for the pasta they stockpiled earlier
re: Coronavirus
I suspect some will have enough hoarded items to last a very long time.
re: Coronavirus
Bad news. I'm furloughed for a minimum of 30 days. Couldnt have come at a worse time.
re: Coronavirus
'
Went to my local Stop'n'Shop for the 0600-0730 Senior Shopping Window.
At 0559, the parking lot was full.
I had expected that Take Your Child to Work Day would become Take Your Parent to the Grocery Day, but not one attendee appeared to be under 60.
The store had some TP, and some bleach, and a zillion flavors of bottled water.
The canned beans were gone, as were most of the canned veggies and all of the distilled water (saving an idiot friend, who drinks the stuff).
The "self serve" (eg self-grab & self-scoop) stuff will not be re-stocked for the duration, so no loose bagels (plenty in bags of 6) and no olives (etc).
All in all, a good time was had by all.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
I'm on lockdown so I work with my stamps and visit StampoRama to see what's happening and ...
Wait a minute, nothing has changed.
Some days it's GOOD to be an introvert!
re: Coronavirus
We're holed up here in south Bucks with the dog. In the past two days, two of our little grandchildren (they live about 12 miles away) have gone down with temperature and coughing, so it's likely their mum and dad will get it too. We were last with them last Thursday - so we're keeping fingers crossed till next Tuesday.
No eggs in the house now. But we have lots of food in the freezer, quite a lot of wine and some whisky and gin. And we've booked a grocery delivery for a week tomorrow, so we should be OK. No newspapers though. We take a brisk walk each day over fields and woods, keeping at least 2 metres away from anyone we meet.
But I have a heap of Latin American stamps to sort and get into the album, courtesy of SOR (thanks Bob!).
re: Coronavirus
If you're sheltering in place and want to do some stamping, don't plan on placing orders from Mystic; they've shut down, per this email:
'Due to the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, Mystic is unable to ship orders until further notice. You can still add items to your shopping cart and you can place orders. Mystic will charge your credit card when you place an order, and ship it as soon as possible. Thank you for your understanding in these difficult times. Stay safe and enjoy your collections.'
Apparently it's proven to be a real crisis and not hysteria by the media..
We're also on lock down. Local media keeps telling people to 'have essential goods delivered'. How?? The big food chains here no longer will do this. I tried shopping this week, I felt I risked my life to do so. The public seems not to be getting the message about social distancing.
re: Coronavirus
Same with the APS Stamp Store. Shut down. No orders taken for later.
It's getting worse day by day. Hopefully people will stay in place for a while while this thing blows over. Unfortunately, people where I am are going about it as any other day prior to this blowing up. All it takes is one person to mess things up!
I was out this morning for a walk at 6AM. Only saw one other person outside, and a few cars. I'll be out after dinner as well, as not many are out then either. Just need to get some steps in to help my back.
re: Coronavirus
Hope i am not complaining,we are two senior citizens with no pre existing conditions...we still have the stamps and the internet..but all of a sudden to not have my gym,my favorite Chinese buffet..what happens to 30 or so Chinese waiters and food staff in the Hudson Valley when the owner shuts the door ? We will not hoard.. a couple of trips to the grocery store a week will do for us...we not the ones with the huge rolls of paper towels and toliet paper. The kids are reluctant to come around and possibly infect us. Sorry to hear about Ernie being laid off.
re: Coronavirus
I'm an auto mechanic and we are still working, albeit slowing down with a few cancellations here and there.
But people still want their cars fixed - I assume as maybe their last bastion of freedom.
With gas prices down, people are taking to scenic drives just to get out.
It has been troublesome, though;
VERY difficult to avoid all germs when having to get in and out of other peoples' vehicles all day long. Impossible to sterilize an entire interior/exterior of a car. One sneeze and its everywhere. Weighs on all our minds here constantly.
What do you wipe down???
Steering wheels and columns
Inside and outside door handles
door frames
shift levers
wiper levers
arm rests
center consoles
glove box
keys
seat levers
hood release
fuel door release
And anything else we have to touch to work on....
Good grief.....
re: Coronavirus
I think this was discussed on here but I'm worried about incoming mail having this stuff. I read the virus can live on paper or cardboard for anywhere from 1-3 days, and that doesn't count infection from a sick mail carrier. I went on a buying spree last week to have stuff to work on now I have a pile of unopened orders sitting on my bookcase.
re: Coronavirus
"... I'm an auto mechanic and we are still working ..."
re: Coronavirus
Just in case anyone has not had their fill of statistics this site has plenty.
https://virusncov.com/
re: Coronavirus
I'm essential personnel so I am working as usual. I am work in social services with individuals with disabilities. It's been interesting to keep all of my houses stocked with paper products since we are used to shopping weekly for items. Most of the population is high risk so everyone is home. Thankful for great staff who continue to show up and thankful I have a job.
jackie
re: Coronavirus
Yesterday being the last day that 'non-essential' travel was permitted, I hit the MickeyD drive-thru for a large decaf, and headed on down to a little strip of beach to drink it ... parking my car one space away from the other cars, of course.
The drinking done, I went for a walk on the beach, and came across a long line of clothing, washed-up with last night's high(er) tide.
I was later able to work-out that some he-donkey(s) had entertained themselves by heaving large bags of clothing off of the nearby causeway into Jamaica Bay. Don't know why the clothes were bagged ... moving? donating? ... but it was clear that, left where they were, they'd be ruined.
Anyway, after consulting my Family's Counter-Vandalism Anti-Litter Policy - which states clearly that, if you pick it up and properly dispose of it, you won't have to see it again on your next visit - I gathered-up & bagged about a cubic meter of wet cloth (ouch), drove home, stood over a laundry sink and washed the sand out of each piece (lotsa wet denim, lotsa wet sand), downed an ibuprofen, ran it all thru my building's washers on the hot cycle (twice each for four loads), ran it all thru a hot dryer, folded it nicely, downed another ibuprofen, and only then learned that the NYC Dept of Sanitation textile/clothing recycling program is considered a non-essential service (ouch), so I've not only got this large pile of ready-to-donate clothing with nowhere to go, I've also got this week's compostable food scraps sitting in my freezer with nowhere to go (op cit NYC Dept of Sanitation non-essential services).
Rescuing clothing is a nice hobby, but I wish I could find a hobby focused on things that are smaller & lighter.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
Thanks for doing it anyway! I appreciate your efforts very much.
re: Coronavirus
"Rescuing clothing is a nice hobby, but I wish I could find a hobby focused on things that are smaller & lighter.
"
re: Coronavirus
He got ya there, Ikey....
re: Coronavirus
IkeyPikey - your story brought back memories - several years ago someone dumped a large laundry basket of clothing on our rural road. Rather than look at it forever, i loaded it into my car, washed it, and donated it. Nice to know others do that too! Thanks for cleaning up your beach
re: Coronavirus
Jings!...Crivvens!...Help Ma Boab!
The Scottish Government has shut down all shops other than food and medical.
The result is "she who must be obeyed" will now be at home.
There goes the wild parties, the drinking sessions and my stamp time will be reduced. No doubt she will find more chores for me to do.
I dread it when she says "I have been thinking" 'cos it means work for me.
Woe! Woe! and thrice Woe!
re: Coronavirus
Sally, someone could’ve lost their laundry out the back of a pickup or from where they had it sitting on their roof or trunk lid! When I travel the interstates im amused at the stuff people lose off vehicles. Lotsa clothing and I’m most intrigued by the occasional single couch cushion.
re: Coronavirus
Ian,
You're gonna get the full brunt of what's up. Take it like a man. I recieved word that I'll be working from home. I hit the trunk release, they toss a computer and soft phone in my car. Problem solved.
What saddens me more than anything else is that Florida State graduation had been cancelled. Not postponed, but cancelled. As in not gonna happen. That's sad. My daughter Grace kicked ass there in science and math. Oh well.
re: Coronavirus
Ernie, as an Englishman I could never understand this graduation thing, last thing I wanted to do was hang around school, left on Friday started work on Monday. Seems like an excuse for clothing shops and liquor stores to make money.
I had taken my GCE's (exams)and passed, no course work was counted, you either knew the subject and answered the written questions (no calculators, but trig tables supplied)or you were not able.
Guess life changes but not always for the better.
re: Coronavirus
In the meantime in the USA…
40,000 people die each year in auto accidents
88,000 people die each year in alcohol-related deaths
260,000 people die each year due to medical mistakes
480,000 people die each year due to cigarette smoking (includes 41,000+ deaths resulting from secondhand smoke exposure)
Not too many headlines or folks freaking out over these people dying around us every day.
I guess I am just used to living with the grim reaper looking over my shoulder. After living through 5 long years of doctor after doctor tell me that I had a 5% chance of living longer than 6 months I learned how to cope. I still live day-to-day and have many more gray sky days than blue sky days.
But…so what? Everything eventually falls apart. The computer you are using to read this right now will fall apart. The chair you are sitting in will fall apart. The house you are in will fall apart. The earth itself will eventually fall apart. And most certainly we will all fall apart. I see little value in focusing on falling apart. Turn off the news, they are sowing division and hatred. Live each day to the fullest; try to laugh, cry, and learn something new every day.
Don
re: Coronavirus
Regarding the auto accidents, more people have died on Canadian roads since 1950 than Canadian service folk who died in both world wars together.
Sad but true.
re: Coronavirus
"... Sally, someone could’ve lost their laundry out the back of a pickup or from where they had it sitting on their roof or trunk lid! ..."
re: Coronavirus
Ernie:- I can have sympathy for you and your daughter. To be able to have the hard work recognised by their peers and family is a once in a lifetime experience.
However at my sons graduation he did admit that he hadn't worked too hard. Why? Because he had a whale of a time!!
As for taking it like a man. I know my position in life:- Bottom rung of the ladder, beneath the cat and the dog!
re: Coronavirus
Ian,
I can commiserate with you on the Scotland closures as Washington state's governor, Jay Inslee, just announced a mandatory stay at home for non-essential workers as well starting in 46.5 hours from now. I can already see the wheels turning in my wife's head about all the cleaning and garage emptying that should be going on during this home based stay. Unfortunately for me, my company will probably decide that I can do all of my work remotely which is more difficult to do in many respects and MUCH more stressful to do.
For most clients my highest priority tasks for the last two and a half weeks has involved setting up remote access or expanding its capacity so their employees can work remotely or resolving issues with their remote connectivity. I have also been upgrading client home computers from Windows 7 to Windows 10 due to security concerns as well.
Jerrel
re: Coronavirus
"In the meantime in the USA…
40,000 people die each year in auto accidents
88,000 people die each year in alcohol-related deaths
260,000 people die each year due to medical mistakes
480,000 people die each year due to cigarette smoking (includes 41,000+ deaths resulting from secondhand smoke exposure)
Not too many headlines or folks freaking out over these people dying around us every day."
re: Coronavirus
Hi Lars,
Your post only appears to be considering the possible negative scenarios. Your trajectory outlines a worst case scenario, do you really feel that there is no possibility of anything good happening? That business will not figure out ways to address the shortages? That science and the healthcare system will not find ways to treat people? That longer term there will be no cures? I am pretty sure that the strategy of ‘social distancing’ and shutting down the economy is designed to buy a bit of time to allow solutions to be put into place.
I lived the last 6 years with a 95% chance of dying hanging over my head. One of the few things that was in my power was how I would think about the future and spend my time. If I only considered worst case scenarios, I would have just crawled into my bed and died. I have faith in several forms beyond spiritual; I have faith in science, I have faith in technology, I have faith in people, I have faith in myself. These faiths are bigger than my fears.
The current situation can be viewed as a glass half full, half empty, or a balance between the two. I know that the unknown can be fearful but when the outcome is unknown why not take a balanced perspective? Good things can and do happen.
Don
re: Coronavirus
Israeli Inventions That Lessen The Healthcare System’s Burden
https://tinyurl.com/v2vez19
Happy reading, and an example that, like the virus, we are also a moving target.
/s/ ikeyPikey (who apologizes for the re-direct, but the original URL contains multiple commas, which give our system fits)
re: Coronavirus
"do you really feel that there is no possibility of anything good happening? "
"That business will not figure out ways to address the shortages? "
"That science and the healthcare system will not find ways to treat people?"
"That longer term there will be no cures?"
"I am pretty sure that the strategy of ‘social distancing’ and shutting down the economy is designed to buy a bit of time to allow solutions to be put into place."
"I know that the unknown can be fearful but when the outcome is unknown why not take a balanced perspective?"
re: Coronavirus
I live in a rural area fairly close to Halifax, N.S. and our area is now covered by emergency measures which closes all parks, most trails and all beaches. The reason they had to do this is the severe lack of common sense. A few days ago we had a warm(ish) sunny day and I drove past a local beach - it was packed and most of the provincial parks were packed as well - so much for social distancing. I saw pictures of the Florida beaches last weekend, spring break, and the beaches were full of kids! We have younger people in the local area referring to this pandemic as "The Boomer Killer", running around the stores coughing and spitting at people screaming that they are "spreading the Covid". Things are getting very weird and strange! To all parents - Do you know where your kids are and what they are doing? If everyone would do their bit maybe this would dissipate quickly, but people really have to realize that this is a serious thing! This has nothing to do with stamps, just sayin'...
re: Coronavirus
Just wanted to say,well said Lars, I think as you do.
I have a great deal of faith in Humanity ability to adapt and overcome.
re: Coronavirus
""The Boomer Killer""
"I have a great deal of faith in Humanity ability to adapt and overcome."
re: Coronavirus
A comment from Emily Landon, the chief infectious disease epidemiologist at University of Chicago Medicine
“It’s really hard to feel like you’re saving the world when you’re watching Netflix from your couch. But if we do this right, nothing happens,” Landon said. “A successful shelter-in-place means you’re going to feel like it was all for nothing, and you’d be right: Because nothing means that nothing happened to your family. And that’s what we’re going for here.”
I am sure there will be it was all about nothing when it is over and not learn anything for the future. Like other initiatives, there may be a flurry of activity but over time people will fall back and get to relearn again.
re: Coronavirus
Maybe in places like USA, Canada, UK and parts of Europe, but here in Mexico I already see people beginning to disregard the self-quarantine, etc, and acting as if it is already over.
Frankly, I expect a big increase of cases here soon, as those already exposed begin to feel symptoms. Most of these will already have passed on their contagion before feeling ill.
We've all got to be careful until we KNOW that the risk is down near zero.
re: Coronavirus
On a lighter note:
rrr...
re: Coronavirus
Also on a lighter note, Jimmy Fallon invited people to describe their quarantine in 6 words with #MyQuarantineInSixWords. Some of the gems:
Have I had a shower today?
We can work in pajamas now?
We can drink at work now?
Day two: All snacks are gone!
This ends in divorce or murder!
re: Coronavirus
SPEAKING OF FAKE NEWS...THERE WAS NO TRAVEL BAN
A travel ban was NOT instituted in January. A travel restriction was put in place. A travel restriction allowed what can only be termed numerous loopholes so that people could travel FROM and TO China--and they did. They also traveled to and from South Korea, and other places in Asia that had virus problems--they were not restricted.
Additionally, 300,000 people had traveled from China to the US one month before the travel restrictions imposed on January 31 by the way NOT by one person but by a consensus in the government.
Regardless, the virus is here. And, as the old folks would have said: We've been caught with our pants down.
Bruce
re: Coronavirus
The best way to not get caught with your pants down is to not wear pants.
re: Coronavirus
We were told at work yesterday that we have to get rid of our overtime hours so that the company can apply for short time work. I only work 3 days a week for 4 hours until after Easter plus a 6 day long weekend. Also everyone at work received a travel-pass today just incase.
Stores are only letting in one person per shopping wagon to keep customers apart at the cashiers. They have also limited the number of people to 1 per 10 square meters in a store, security guards enforce this. Only 2 people are allowed to be together outside and must keep a distance of 1.5 meters. This law doesn´t apply to people who life together. If your caught with more than 3 people the police can fine each person 200 Euros. If you get caught a second time 25 000 Euros are possible. We are not yet restricted to stay inside (yet), but we have to keep our distance from others.
Here in Germany as of today, 181 dead. Most were over the age of 81.
I almost forgot, some stores are restricting their toilet paper to 1 pack a person. This is good because I´m running low.
So all I can say is be very careful and stay away from others.
re: Coronavirus
Senior Shopping Hours ... quite the list !
https://www.snopes.com/news/2020/03/20/grocery-stores-special-hours/
Q/ How long will MVS (Most Vulnerable Shopper) Hours persist once Covid-19 is past ?
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (whose local Trader Joe & Costco both instituted social distance protocols during regular business hours by limiting the number of people in the store at any one time)
re: Coronavirus
We went to the store after 10am on Monday. It wasn’t crowded and we were able to get everything we needed. Cashier said it was very crowded early during the senior time.
re: Coronavirus
"We went to the store after 10am on Monday. It wasn’t crowded and we were able to get everything we needed. Cashier said it was very crowded early during the senior tim"
re: Coronavirus
With 3M and Medtronic being based in Minnesota, we produce both masks and ventilators. 3M ramped up it's mask production to around 35 million per month. The state also has a Ventilator Reserve Program for emergencies.
Having spent just over a week in the hospital this year already (viral meningitis) I don't have any desire to go back there.
re: Coronavirus
"Having spent just over a week in the hospital this year already (viral meningitis) I don't have any desire to go back there."
re: Coronavirus
"Having spent just over a week in the hospital this year already (viral meningitis) I don't have any desire to go back there.
"
re: Coronavirus
I know people can have honest differences of opinion on the severity of this situation but for heaven's sake isn't it best to assume a distancing approach?
It will get worse until people are forced to comply with social distancing. This weekend two houses in my suburban neighborhood hosted what appeared to be large family gatherings. Cars parked up and down the street just like nothing had changed. Great way to kill Grandma.
Sequel, last night I went out for a walk and ran into a block party. No kidding people sitting in their chairs in the street, standing around drinking and visiting like noting was amiss. I tried passing by quickly and one of them called out 'we're having a social distancing party!' My wife wanted me to call the cops on them. I doubted they'd do anything. It's going to need to get very bad before people take this seriously.
re: Coronavirus
A number of towns in Mississippi enacted local orders; the usual stuff, closing non-essential businesses, limiting gatherings, etc.
The Governor of Mississippi then exercised his authority, and nullified all of those orders.
Pretty interesting choice for a state next to Louisiana, the home of New Orleans.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey (who appreciates Federalism no matter whether it cuts his way, or not)
re: Coronavirus
I was going to wait until 3-31 to post an update, but the U.S. just jumped to the top spot for total confirmed cases, leaping past China and Italy. We have already gone past 1,000 dead and will certainly surpass 100,000 confirmed cases tomorrow. That means my projections for March 31 were on the conservative side.
I said by April 15 we would have 500,000 to 1 million infected and around 10,000 dead. I don't know if we will be able to ramp up testing enough at this point to identify that many cases, but today's numbers say that is being conservative. For the past 10 days our death toll has more than doubled EVERY three days. If we stay on that trajectory, that's 119,827 dead by April 15. Doubling every 4 days is 37,691, every 5 days is 18,849. I'm afraid we are looking at 20,000 to 25,000 dead by April 15, and that is assuming we are able to bend this curve.
This isn't a "worse case scenario". (Worst case is over 100,000 dead by April 15 and 3.8 million dead and 268 million infected by April 30 - and if we have over 250 million infected that fast we are looking at a mortality rate of at least 5%, not 1.4%, and that's 12.5 million dead). Assuming we are able to make intelligent decisions based on ever increasing test data, we may keep the death toll under 100,000 by April 30, but if we start opening up remote areas to business as usual, all bets are off because that will create an inevitable draw from infected areas to less infected areas and actually SPEED UP the spread of the virus as people in large cities flee to stay with relatives in remote areas, thinking they are getting away from the threat, but inevitably bringing the virus with them.
You may not LIKE the math (I sure don't), but this is the reality we are facing. Like I said, "April is when the disaster really strikes!"
I hope I'm wrong, but right now it looks like I was too conservative in my prior estimates. I track all of the numbers daily and REALLY hope to be able to post good news next time, but the numbers don't lie.
You can't B.S. your way through a viral pandemic!
Lars
P.S. I wish we had an icon in the bottom right that said "I don't LIKE it, but I respect the data analysis", because I certainly don't LIKE these numbers!
re: Coronavirus
That's awful, Lars!
I heard on the news tonight that the military will be massing along the US-Canada border to prevent us Canadians from racing in to your country. I just hope that this guard will stop Americans trying to get into ours. I can't really see any of us wanting to go to your country with all those cases now!
Stay safe, hope this eventually passes. (I think a praying emoji is needed.)
re: Coronavirus
"I can't really see any of us wanting to go to your country with all those cases now!"
re: Coronavirus
The USA has the most reported cases IF you want to believe China. Additionally, while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases but ranks 6th in deaths. This speaks incredibly well for the US healthcare system and brave folks who work in it. Dr. Deborah Birx said today that the extreme predictions about the pandemic don't line up with the incoming data and also said that 19 of all 50 states with confirmed cases have low levels of the outbreak. And the rate of new cases has showed a slower rate in the last 3 days. So I guess it depends which data you are doing math upon. No doubt that the number of cases is going up as it was expected. But what is the asymptomatic math? No one knows in any country how many people are walking around with it and have no symptom or have had it and do not know it. When all countries final get antibody testing in place we will get the data needed to understand what is going on and be able to calculate accurate mortality rates. Until then the math is incomplete. NYC clearly has a significant issue as do a number of other hot spots in the country. But while the media is concentrated in certain hard hit areas of the country there is a massive amount of the country which is not seeing the same scope.
Of course any deaths are horrible, but the economic virus is also horrible and will also cause many deaths. Here is more math, 3.3 million new unemployment claims last week (three times greater than any other week in the history of the US). That is scary, I particularly fear the number of opioid deaths in the coming weeks as people who are out of work sit at home with nothing better to do than eat a handful of pills to make themselves feel better. They say it is easy to be a prophet, simply predict bad things will happen. So I guess I will be a prophet when opioid deaths start climbing in the coming weeks. ‘Doom and gloom’ is trending but I am not sure it serves a useful purpose; everyone already knows to stay home. I know reading the negativity in the philatelic forums certainly serves to depress folks.
Don
re: Coronavirus
"I particularly fear the number of opioid deaths in the coming weeks as people who are out of work sit at home with nothing better to do than eat a handful of pills to make themselves feel better."
"But what is the asymptomatic math? No one knows in any country how many people are walking around with it and have no symptom or have had it and do not know it."
"while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases (it) ranks 6th in deaths."
"Dr. Deborah Birx said today that the extreme predictions about the pandemic don't line up with the incoming data and also said that 19 of all 50 states with confirmed cases have low levels of the outbreak. And the rate of new cases has showed a slower rate in the last 3 days."
re: Coronavirus
There is no value in you and I regurgitating metrics, for every negative metric you post I can post a positive one. No one cares if you or I am ‘right’.
There are two reasons I care about folks posting endless streams of negative COVID information in a hobby forum; one is public and one is personal. My public concern is that the media (including social media like this forum) already have more than enough negativity. And frankly no one should be coming into a hobby community to get their COVID information, they should be listening to their own doctors, their own local authorities, and national disease control folks. Different locations should have different levels of concern, different populations have different risks.
In terms of a personal reason, our hobby is a welcome distraction for me. And as I sit here at 3AM I am getting ready to head off to dialysis in a medical facility with 30 other ultra-high risk old people like myself. Most of these folks are on oxygen, most have diabetes, most are not ambulatory, most come from rest homes where their care is questionable. Since I am able, I help out the overwhelmed healthcare providers each day including bringing back the patients who are not ambulatory, getting them weighed, getting masks on everyone, getting their hands sanitized. You cannot help but become a ‘family’ in these kinds of healthcare facilities, our common ground is we all go through the same medical torture each day.
But the common ground here is philately so having my ‘welcome distraction’ turn into a stream of negative information sucks. All of us in the Stamporama community are already living this, each of us has our own challenges and unique situations to overcome. In my case this also includes overcoming critical lifesaving infection control supply shortages which only exists due to the fear mongering and resulting panic buying.
So I understand SCF folks posting about cancelled stamp shows or how they are dealing with shipping and mailing challenges during this trying time. But I do not see value in posting running body counts.
Don
re: Coronavirus
If only we paid this attention to other causes of needless deaths and not let this just become another new norm.
re: Coronavirus
"for every negative metric you post I can post a positive one"
"Additionally, while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases but ranks 6th in deaths. This speaks incredibly well for the US healthcare system and brave folks who work in it."
re: Coronavirus
Just saw a bit of encouraging news (finally)!
NY Gov Cuomo showed a chart with hospitalizations rising, but they were doubling every 2.5 days at first, every 3 days in the middle, and every 4 days toward the end (current). That really is a huge change, and if they can continue to push that down to 5 or 6 days, it will be the difference between flattening the curve and an overwhelmed hospital system. I sure hope that trend continues. If you run the numbers, doubling every 3 days is 32 times the amount of doubling every 6 days over a period of 30 days.
The confirmed cases trend is less concerning right now because when you massively increase testing you are going to catch more people, but that's a good thing. We're getting a clearer picture of reality. After testing is completely rolled out then we can hopefully see a similar positive trend at the national level. It looks like numbers out of Western Europe are also trending in the right direction, for the most part.
If China can prevent a second wave, and India and Indonesia can head this off, we may start seeing the global numbers start trending better. That would be welcome news!
Keep up the social distancing and hand washing. It's worth it!
re: Coronavirus
'
Doubling - whether it is every 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 days - is DOUBLING.
"... NYC clearly has a significant issue as do a number of other hot spots ..."
"... having my ‘welcome distraction’ turn into a stream of negative information sucks ..."
re: Coronavirus
Minnesota has had four deaths so far and a mortality rate of 1% of confirmed cases. 54 are currently receiving hospital treatment. We recently converted one of our hospitals in the capital to a Covid19-only hospital with space for 50 (and 50 ventilators).
re: Coronavirus
IkeyPikey:
Just curious, why do you feel the need to insert the Palin quote about "...good parts of the country."? Does that advance the thread? We know that people on both sides of the political spectrum often view their political opponents and their constituents with disdain. Remember the "deplorables" comment?
Did you somehow not get the memo that we as a group have decided to leave politics off the site or are you just somehow special?
I hope a wise moderator deletes this gentleman's post.
Ernie
re: Coronavirus
"Doubling - whether it is every 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 days - is DOUBLING."
re: Coronavirus
I know I don't have to read this post, but I see it all the time. No reason to argue who is right or wrong. It is horrible and it is what it is. I hate seeing this in this group. It should be for fun and stamp stuff only. Sorry. Going stir crazy. Now I am on to the fun stuff and stamps.
Hope everyone is safe and staying home.
Hugs to all.
Suzanne
re: Coronavirus
"... Just curious, why do you feel the need to insert the Palin quote about "...good parts of the country."? Does that advance the thread? ..."
"We believe that the best of America is in these small towns that we get to visit, and in these wonderful little pockets of what I call the real America. Being here with all of you hard-working very patriotic, um, very, um, pro-America areas of this great nation. This is where we find the kindness and the goodness and the courage of everyday Americans."
re: Coronavirus
Our company extended the work from home directive until 4/30. When I had to go to office to pick up something, it felt like isolation there. Essential operations do require some to work onsite. It is end of quarter (and fiscal year) so important business time.
I doubt anything in this thread has changed any dynamic related to fear or response to the virus.
re: Coronavirus
The UPS guy delivered some household supplies, rang the door, and took off.
It being a railroad apartment, by the time I'd walked ten/+ meters to the front door, he'd walked ten/+ meters to the elevator.
But, NYC being a tipping culture, I called after him with my usual offer:
Q/ Would you like a bottle of water?
A/ No, thanks, I'm good.
Q/ How about a roll of toilet paper?
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
It's the same at our office. I think we're 85% remote now. We did a conversion last week that was 100% remote and we're doing a merge today that is 100% remote. (I'm waiting on a file to come in or I'd be working on it now). We had never tried that before. I'm pleased with how smoothly we've been able to pull it off! It's amazing what motivated people can accomplish.
re: Coronavirus
ikeyPikey, so is it really the norm to tip UPS workers?
re: Coronavirus
I haven't attempted to read this entire thread because of its length but I saw an interesting message on a sign outside a local church--- "6 feet apart today is better than 6 feet under tomorrow." Although we are still to have our first case of any residents in this county it is good advice and drives the point home effectively.
re: Coronavirus
We ventured out to the grocery store just after opening. It was not crowded and everyone was generally keeping their distance. The checkout had a shield between the checkout person and the shopper at the pin pad (payment device). As for stock, very little meat but there is a normal reason. The meat dept has never stocked the meat st store opening. As we shopped one person was slowly putting the meat out. There was bread and milk but no eggs and limited cheese products. Fresh veggies (green stuff) were gone too. Several of the store staff appeared to be filling pick up orders. No one seemed to be hoarding.
re: Coronavirus
"... ikeyPikey, so is it really the norm to tip UPS workers? ..."
re: Coronavirus
I went to the post office this this morning because of a registered letter I had to send to my heath care insurance and thought a good time to send some stamps that some SOR members had purchased. The lady at the counter finished the registered letter and then took the other letters. 5 went to the US and 1 to Australia. She looked at me and said I don´t think we are allowed to send anymore letters to the US. She then looked in her computer and told me letters are still going out but any packages to the US are no longer allowed, Australia is OK. So if you live in the US and are awaiting a package from Germany, I don´t know if this applies if they come from another county, there may be a long delay.
re: Coronavirus
'
A situation so stupid that only a smart person could work their way into it.
Astrophysicist gets magnets stuck up nose while inventing coronavirus device
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/mar/30/astrophysicist-gets-magnets-stuck-up-nose-while-inventing-coronavirus-device
A regular correspondent remarks:
"As an astrophysicist he should have been able to work remotely from home. All astrophysicists, by definition, work very remotely from the things they are studying."
re: Coronavirus
A short rant about 'distancing'; there are sill a lot of people who don't seem to be getting the message. My only outlet these days for exercise is walking. We live in an area near a large park with wooded trails. We have decided not to try to walk there, others are just not respecting distances. People walk sometimes in groups of three or even more, side by side. I find myself having to jump off the trial to avoid colliding with them. Clueless. I still try to walk in my neighborhood and that's better but just last night two women came right up in back of me speed walking. One brushed right against me, mumbling 'excuse me'. I said something like 'Thanks for the virus'. Also clueless.
With Easter coming, I fully expect to see big family events with cars parked up and down our streets. Where we live people are currently just being asked not to do this. I'm afraid it's going to take more than nice to accomplish compliance.
re: Coronavirus
I have decided that I might as well profit from the pandemic. Why should Amazon get all the bucks? So, I am now offering a made-in-Canada toilet paper kit for only US$20. Why not CAN$20? Because Canadian dollars are damn near worthless, compared to U.S. dollars. Anyway, here's the kit:
boB
re: Coronavirus
You do realise that money particularly "paper" money will carry the virus for a vast number of days.
To help and protect you from this possible source of the virus all you have to do is place your cash in a brown envelope.
Leave it out side your front door tonight,
and I shall endeavour to remove it from your premises as soon as possible thus protecting you and your family.
re: Coronavirus
"So, I am now offering a made-in-Canada toilet paper kit for only US$20."
re: Coronavirus
From the BBC website today. Expensive shopping trip!
"A man has pleaded guilty to breaching coronavirus social distancing rules by repeatedly approaching people in a supermarket queue.
Steven Mackie, 53, was arrested after getting too close to shoppers outside Tesco in Stalybridge on Saturday.
He is thought to be the first person to be charged in the UK since the new restrictions came into force.
At Stockport Magistrates' Court, Mackie was fined £635 after he admitted failing to maintain public health.
Police said Mackie, of Stamford Street, Stalybridge, was "unnecessarily out of his home" and had "continued to approach people contrary to social distancing rules" despite advice from officers"
re: Coronavirus
Crazy stuff going on out there. In a New Jersey supermarket a worker putting out groceries told a customer that he was too close to her. He told her he had Coronavirus and spit on her. He was arrested.
New Jersey schools are closed and the state (which has second highest infection rate after New York) is on lockdown. Still, police are breaking up parties! Idiots!
re: Coronavirus
It's still early days, of course, but Susan and I and are son and daughter-in-law are hopeful that Canada will come through the cover-19 pandemic in reasonably good shape.
The latest statistics* indicate "only" 101 deaths (3 per million population), far, far less than our neighbour to the south, the U.S., with 3,788 deaths (11 per million population). Much of that success, if I dare call it that, lies with our provincial and federal governments, which have been proactive from the beginning, and with a united front of all political parties. Canadians from coast to coast are being urged to stay at home except for necessary trips for groceries, pharmaceuticals, and emergency medical visits, and "mental health" walks outdoors.
The great majority of people are paying close attention to social distancing, going so far as stepping off sidewalks and trails in Stanley Park to avoid close contact. Most businesses, including many restaurants, are closed, as well as churches, libraries, coffee shops, massage parlours, and pubs. I think the government liquor stores are still open. I hope! Grocery stores have instituted seniors-only shopping hours, and are maintaining quite strict social distancing policies.
Much of the credit for our relatively low death rate must go to our provincial health officer, Dr. Bonnie Henry, who presents a daily status update. She couldn't have a more calming, rational voice. She is also able to present bad news without resorting to sensationalism. During one of her early updates, she got quite emotional as she reported the deaths of two residents of an elder care home. Her tears certainly weren't faked.
Bob
* The worldometers.com web site provides constantly updated information about the pandemic.
re: Coronavirus
"The latest statistics* indicate "only" 101 deaths (3 per million population), far, far less than our neighbour to the south, the U.S., with 3,788 deaths (11 per million population)."
re: Coronavirus
'
Restrictions Are Slowing Coronavirus Infections, New Data Suggest
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/30/health/coronavirus-restrictions-fevers.html
https://healthweather.us/ ... the fever map and, at the bottom of the page, some excellent blog posts
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
The reporters' questions in the daily pandemic briefings indicate they don't have a clue when it comes to models and modeling. They and much of the public go bonkers when the best case modeling scenario for US deaths from the virus are 100,000 to 240,000. The reporters don't understand it is just a model. It is just a forecast; not a fact.
Think about our daily weather forecasts. They are based on models that are updated multiple times each day. How accurate are our weather forecasts, especially 5 to 8 days out? And these models have had years of refinements built into them!
Think about our US weather forecasters during hurricane season. Multiple models are now available for news stations to use during their broadcasts. It has become common practice to show on TV several different model results in a single graphic for a new hurricane that is still out over the Atlantic Ocean. Each model produces a line from the current hurricane location to a point several days into the future. Note the variations in those tracks for a single hurricane on a given day. They're usually literally all over the map. However, as the days pass and more and more data are gathered and entered into the models, the various models begin to produce similar tracks. Data matters. The variations in the designs of the models become less important than the data.
The modeling that is being used to predict the outcome of our virus is relatively new and has limitations. Those limitations will always affect the results that the model spits out. However, over time, more and more data will help minimize the effects of the model's limitations and provide improved results.
So don't put too much weight on modeling-generated numbers. In fact, Drs. Fauci and Birx said they expected to be able to "push down" the best case death numbers for the US that their model is producing. They didn't make that very clear, but what they're saying is that new data today and tomorrow and in the following days is expected to produce new modeling results that show the "best case" scenario to be much better than is the case being presented by the model today. They're optimistic, but the media generally didn't pick up on that.
Tom
re: Coronavirus
I think many know what modeling means.
They run with information provided so somewhat nature of the beast. Trend speculation is popular by a lot of people. Like in a hurricane forecast, the news starts speculating on worst case scenarios even when days away as if it will come true.
But, those that expect the worst are more likely prepared for the worst. One can rationalize it away by claiming it is imperfect information.
re: Coronavirus
I'll agree that reporters, like most everyone else in this world, have only the slightest grasp of modelling.
However, I'll quibble with your analogy.
Weather is, in its behavior, pretty much a chaotic system. Physical limitations on that chaotic behavior mean that short-term forecasts can be very good; The Weather Channel website offers hour-by-hour forecasts, for example, that are often spot-on. But the longer-term forecasts burn-off like the morning mist on a sunny day.
Sure, the earth's spin is steady, and its exposure to sunlight is rhythmic. But the atmosphere is a swirling soup - a very large swirling soup - so predicting what's gonna be at any single point is like guessing which grain of sand from the beach is gonna hit you in the eye when the wave crashes over your head.
Epidemics are, by comparison, almost deterministic. You can look back, and see how many infectees infect someone new and, if the population's behavior does not change, the math is easy & reliable.
The problem, of course, is that people react, and adapt ... so predicting the course of an epidemic is like predicting the local weather for Gotterdammerung, Mississippi, when that town is all over the map.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
I have been self isolating now for 17 days. Other than a trip to the mailbox, I haven't ventured outside my garden. I've used the time to tidy the garage, catch up with correspondence, finally complete my Machin collection and begin work on an American collection. If I get tired of those things I catch up on Game of Thrones, Homeland, and House of Cards. These last few days I've been phoned by old friends whom I hadn't spoken to since retiring over 2 years ago and I've followed their lead and phoned some others too.
It looks like we are about to be confined for at least another 12 weeks. While in the garden we've been chatting, strictly 2 metres apart, to our neighbours. Large shopping orders have been delivered by the store, and our local community is making deliveries from the village shop.
Having observed this thread from the beginning and those who have continually indulged in blaming media, politicians, medics, etc. I just want all of you to know that life in lockdown is not too bad. We are managing just fine, planning the next 3 months, and reconnecting with old friends. What scares me more than anything though is this. If either myself or my lovely wife catch coronavirus and are taken to hospital, the last time we may see each other would probably be as the ambulance takes us away from home. Not only that, if I, or any of my 4 brothers and 1 sister succumbed to it, no more than 2 family members can attend the graveside. You can forget about a wake.
Coronavirus is real and not going away for some time. I watch and listen to news reports throughout the day and by evening I have heard everything 10 or more times. I then switch on my computer and check Stamporama forums. I am amazed at the continual sniping by adults on a stamp website about a DEADLY serious subject. Instead of multiple contributions here, pick up your tweezers again. You might actually enjoy it.
re: Coronavirus
Gudgie,
I just finished Black Sails tonight and Game of Thrones starts tomorrow!
I agreed with your post (especially the part about being separated - perhaps forever - in case of hospitalization - terrifying!) except the last paragraph. There are two points I would make:
1. I don't watch the news but once or twice a day. I never have. So I'm not burned out by the time I check in here.
2. I don't use social media or post to online news threads. I rarely look at the "Off Topic" threads here at all. But if I see factually wrong information, I'm going to call it out. Whether someone claims a stamp is authentic when it's obviously a fake, or someone says the corona virus is a hoax, I sometimes chose not to ignore it. Especially when skeptics are putting my life, and the lives of my loved ones, at risk through ignorant, irresponsible behavior and messaging. Exposing misinformation in a forum like this is more likely to have a positive effect than a random rant. Even if I don't agree with a post someone else makes here, if they are a philatelist, they are, by definition, an analytical thinker and I tend to give more consideration to what they say. Hopefully that's a two-way street.
Lars
re: Coronavirus
ikeypikey,
I agree my analogy does not fit the virus projections but just noting how people (media and individuals) handle scientific information. The horoscopes published daily do not mention it!? There was a good meme on that.
re: Coronavirus
Jings!...Crivvens!...Help Ma Boab!
I don't give a hoot about statistics, cos there are lies, damned lies and statistics.
Whether you are a half full or half empty person doesn't matter.
Numbers, trends, sets, projections etc etc can be juggled any way you like. (I've done this in the past)
My interpretation of the numbers is this:-
Stay away from everybody, stay at home, don't let any one into your house or within two metres of you and pray to your God that you and yours come out of this alive.
re: Coronavirus
Lookin' for this one, Al ?
re: Coronavirus
Yep.
re: Coronavirus
And just now I receive a text from landlady. She is putting the place up for sale now. Video to be taken Tuesday. What a time to sell!
What a time to be looking for another place!
Why? That's all I can ask!
re: Coronavirus
BrightonPete, that is horrible. So sorry to hear that. I hope you find a great place with as few hassles as possible.
re: Coronavirus
Why sell now?????
re: Coronavirus
No job so maybe she can't pay mortgage. Tenants in other apartment were a bother that she doesn't want to have to deal with again. They abandoned it on Monday. At least they cleaned up the place.
re: Coronavirus
'
Trivia Question: What did they call it before they called it "social distancing" ?
Perhaps some of you doc-watching history-reading folks will know the answer.
My oldest suggests that perhaps it fell under "hygiene".
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
"Whether you are a half full or half empty person doesn't matter."
re: Coronavirus
Sorry to hear about that Brighton Pete!
re: Coronavirus
So after another day confined to home, trying to buy paint for 2 bedrooms my wife wants to decorate. I spent another 2 hours phoning old friends and family, then began sorting French stamps. I turned on Stamporama and after checking auctions and approvals for 4 countries I came on to this forum.
I hadn't expected my contribution would stop those who argue about stuff which only they can find to argue about, but I was pleased 7 people took the time to read my letter and press the like button. I wasn't looking for endorsement, I was simply saying those people who sit on here looking for subjects to disagree with, or correct the writer actually bore the pants of the majority of the rest of us.
I must say I was surprised by the response from larsdog. First he says how much he agreed with most of what I had written, but he disagreed with the last paragraph. He goes on to talk about how he does not watch news,nor does he participate in social media. ?????
Where is the criticism? For his benefit I will restate what I said in my final paragraph. Since I'm typing this on a kindle I am unable to cut and paste, so I will simply repeat as I remembered it.
I said Coronavirus is real and will be with us for some time.
I said I watch news throughout the day, hearing each report around 10 times, before I switch on my computer and log on to the Stamporama website.
I said I am irritated by people who treat this subject as a forum for sniping at others when it is of major concern to myself and many others.
Finally I suggested those who profess to know all about Coronavirus should lay of the vitriol and indulge in the hobby we all joined this site to promote.
The first sentence is 100% factual. Sentences 2 and 3 express honestly how I feel and spend my day. Neither he nor anyone else can disagree with those sentences.
The last sentence expressed a wish for those who argue here to go easy and use this site more responsibly. Perhaps Larsdog could enlighten myself and others if he disagreed with that sentence, and if so, what does he disagree with? He may have a different opinion from me or others, but don't treat me or this site as a football. Respect others. If you do, you may get some more respect when you express an opinion.
re: Coronavirus
vir·tue sig·nal·ing
noun
the action or practice of publicly expressing opinions or sentiments intended to demonstrate one's good character or the moral correctness of one's position on a particular issue.
re: Coronavirus
"Perhaps Larsdog could enlighten myself"
"He goes on to talk about how he does not watch news"
"I don't watch the news but once or twice a day. I never have. So I'm not burned out by the time I check in here."
"I watch and listen to news reports throughout the day and by evening I have heard everything 10 or more times."
"I said I am irritated by people who treat this subject as a forum for sniping at others when it is of major concern to myself and many others."
"Finally I suggested those who profess to know all about Coronavirus should lay of the vitriol and indulge in the hobby we all joined this site to promote."
re: Coronavirus
Color me confused.
If everyone is dying to get out of the house, and donating blood is an acceptable excuse, and elective surgeries are canx'd, why aren't the blood banks full?
After all, the 'permanent' donor centers are accustomed to sterile technique, so it is a lot safer faux-necessity errand than the grocery store.
Further, the NYBC has fiddled their online appointment system to half capacity or less (thus achieving social distancing within), and they are checking temperatures & symptoms outside the door, so what's the problem?
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
"Color me confused."
re: Coronavirus
"If everyone is dying to get out of the house, and donating blood is an acceptable excuse, and elective surgeries are canx'd, why aren't the blood banks full?"
re: Coronavirus
It is also possible that there is a desire to get a large number of donations to see if plasma from previously exposed patients (with antibodies in their blood) might help those most critical. As frantic as everything is right now, I can understand why they wouldn't want to explicitly say that since many donors would want to know what the tests said about their donation, and worse, some may misrepresent their past with AIDS or hepatitus in hopes of getting a back door diagnosis. Just a thought.
re: Coronavirus
'
I've become accustomed to thinking cynically about the blood banks.
If I was selling the stuff for the prices they get, I'd also be begging for more.
In a large country like the USA, blood banks with a better, uh, flow can sell the stuff to any hospital or clinic that needs blood or blood products, whether it is in another state or, for that matter, another country.
So it was only when the US Surgeon General recently called for donations that I chose to believe that stocks might really be low, and to heed the call.
I only donated once in 2019, if memory serves, but donated at least 4x in 2018, so it was 'time' and, as I said above, a legit reason to bolt the house.
Back in the 1950s, my mother took me along when she donated blood each year - the American Red Cross would set up in the basement of our building - I was very little, perhaps three or four years old - and I began taking my kids along when I donated blood - from when they were perhaps three of four years old - and the latter tell me that watching their parent get stuck with a needle and blood flowing into a bag makes quite an impression - and I just nod knowingly & agree that, yes, it does.
It was a proud moment for me when the subject came-up one night, and I heard two grown daughters discussing the various places to donate around town, agreeing that the very old lady in the blood mobile right in front of the department store in the center of town had a magical (painless) touch. Next time, I sought her out - and they were right.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
Please correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the rate of deaths from Covid-19 serve as a reasonable measurement of the disease's impact on specific populations? Assuming the numbers we're getting are reasonably accurate?
My wife and I have noted that that as of April 3, six deaths per million have occurred in Canada, whereas a great many other countries have far higher death rates. The death rate in the U.S. was more than four times higher (25/million), Luxembourg more than eight times higher (50 per million), and Belgium the highest at 111 deaths per million, more than 18 times higher than Canada. (These numbers come from Worldometers.info.
It seems that we are benefitting from the timely and reasonable responses of both the federal and provincial governments, who all seem to be working from the same page. Of course, there is the disturbing news that Wuhan has been locked down again after people who had supposedly recovered from the disease are once again showing symptoms. It's also troubling that we really have no idea how many people are currently ill, how many "super spreaders" there are, and how significant aerosols are in spreading the disease are. If the aerosols are a problem, there are few ways that we can protect ourselves other than complete, airtight isolation. For now, we are staying as far away from people as possible, avoiding elevators, and washing hands constantly. We were able to have some items delivered by our pharmacy, but groceries and booze have been a challenge.
One of the best things: Every night at 7:00, people in our densely populated neighbourhood of mid- and high-rises come out on their balconies to bang drums, clap, blow horns, cheer, play musical instruments, and clap in support of health care workers. It's almost deafening, but in a good way. And I'd say about 98 percent of people are paying close attention to social distancing. Those who don't? Perhaps they are helping to clean the gene pool! Or they are immune to the disease, like Trump seems to be. If he doesn't want to wear a mask, perhaps he could send his to Canada rather than prohibiting the export of masks to Canada. Speaking of which, we learned today that much of the material that's used to make masks comes from Canada.
Bob
re: Coronavirus
"Please correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the rate of deaths from Covid-19 serve as a reasonable measurement of the disease's impact on specific populations? Assuming the numbers we're getting are reasonably accurate? "
re: Coronavirus
Testing Numbers.
How many per day?
UK is aiming for 100,000 per day.
Population of UK 60 million, Therefore No of days required = 600
These figures are rough, many factors need to be taken into account, as accuracy? what? where? when? who? why? how?
I do not have the solutions so I do not expect my Government to have the best solution as how long is a piece of string?
Once the lockdown is complete millions of people who have stayed safe and isolated themselves will be released on the streets. They will then be open to the virus and you will get another spike in cases and another lockdown.
I said before "Just pray to your God that you and yours are alive at the end of this"
re: Coronavirus
"UK is aiming for 100,000 per day.
Population of UK 60 million, Therefore No of days required = 600"
re: Coronavirus
"UK is aiming for 100,000 per day.
Population of UK 60 million, Therefore No of days required = 600"
re: Coronavirus
'
Nice stories from people who are helping:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/04/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-america.html
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
News just in:-
The British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, admitted to hospital with covid-19.
He has been in quarantine for 10 days but his temperature is still high so his doctors have him in hospital for tests.
re: Coronavirus
We went for a drive Sunday around 12pm (had to go to post office to pick up something from letter box) so took the opportunity to see what was open.
The most interesting discovery was the golf course (essential business?) was extremely busy with the greens full of golfers and the parking lot full. This was on Palm Sunday around noon. It was a near perfect day.
I feel sorry for other businesses that were not allowed to be open (unless carry out) such as arts and crafts and electronics stores given Walmart selling similar items. If Hobby Lobby had a grocery section they would be open except on Sundays! Many of those let go no longer have employer provided health insurance so having to pay extra for COBRA if they can afford it. This is the economic impact to be felt soon.
re: Coronavirus
I'm amazed the golf course was open and packed. In my area of Nova Scotia there are fines of up to $1000 if you refuse to social distance. At first there were warnings, now several fines have been handed out and cars have been seized if you are parked in parks that are all officially closed. I admit I go for a drive occasionally to get out of the house but visiting friends is out. A friend I sometimes visit for supper delivered a roast beef meal last night and left it on the front seat of my car. We have to take this seriously or it may take a very long time, and many deaths, before it goes away!!!
re: Coronavirus
'
Social Distancing Failure at the Bronx Zoo
Q/ Were we not always social distancing from tigers ?
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/rJqR11Uuv8
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/nyregion/bronx-zoo-tiger-coronavirus.html
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
Our golf course is open to members only. We don't check in and members play free, so there is no human interaction. Only one person per cart, except family members can be in same cart. We are expected to maintain social distancing, and I'd say at least 90% do - like at the grocery. (I live on the course, so I see a lot of golfers go by daily). The one rule change is that you have to leave the flag in. They don't want anyone touching the flag pole. They put a pool noodle in the hole so your ball is only 1/2" lower than the green so it's easy to retrieve without touching anything else. It's probably less risky than pumping gas and a great way to get some fresh air and exercise!
I played 9 holes Friday. It was easier to maintain proper distance on the golf course than it is in the grocery store. I even have a set of rules for COVID-19 golf:
1. The flagstick counts as a person. Social distancing guidelines specify that if your ball is within 6 feet of the hole, it's a gimme, as long as you hold your breath retrieving it. No more putts of under 6 feet!
2. There is a 6 foot radius where you can relocate your ball, as long as it's no closer to the hole. That can help with bunkers and creeks.
3. One should never be "out of bounds" during the quarantine! That's like the kids on spring break in Florida. Since we can't BE out of bounds, we never WENT out of bounds, so any shot that goes OOB no longer exists. Automatic Mulligan.
I may break 90 yet!
re: Coronavirus
In my humble opinion all parks, golf courses, beaches, etc. should be closed. But I'm not a golfer!
re: Coronavirus
To all of our "friends across the pond", I just watched the Queen's speech. I have to admit, I was inspired. I'm a fan! She's tough. "Britons never, never shall be slaves."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJP95WKJQjg&t=192s
re: Coronavirus
"In my humble opinion all parks, golf courses, beaches, etc. should be closed. But I'm not a golfer!"
re: Coronavirus
I haven't read one single post anywhere asking this question: If we are fighting a WAR on Covid-19, doesn't that make all of us the soldiers on the front lines? So shouldn't we all be in bootcamp getting ready to fight? Why don't we do everything we can to make ourselves TOUGHER AND STRONGER to fight this.
First - Let's strive to eliminate lung irritants from our homes - smoke, strong chemical smells, vaping, fragrance defusers, anything that emits fumes, dust. Did you know that perfumes can trigger asthma attacks?
Second - Let's strengthen our lungs with some aerobic exercise appropriate to our age, health and level of fitness and practice abdominal breathing.
Third - Diabetes is a risk factor - let's try to eat healthier.
Fourth - High blood pressure is also a danger. Let's try to watch our sodium intake and work to improve our cardiovascular health.
Fifth - LET’S DO EVERYTHING WE CAN TO PREVENT THE SPREAD OF THIS DISEASE! STAY HOME! WASH YOUR HANDS!
LET’S KICK SOME VIRAL ASS!
re: Coronavirus
A non-religious Amen, Philatelia! My wife and I are trying to stay healthy. She teaches fitness four times a week, or did before Covid-19. I'm more of a couch potato, partly because of rheumatoid arthritis and osteoarthritis, both of which can make exercise an ordeal. But I try to "eat right" because of high blood pressure. I do have a hard time avoiding alcohol, especially these days. Anyhow...
I have to say that one of the best "health" decisions my wife and I made together after we married was to emigrate to Canada. We are still American citizens — it's very expensive and time consuming to end U.S. citizenship, and frankly I don't trust the American government to continue my Vietnam Nam War disability pension if I were to drop my American citizenship. We moved first to Ontario, and then a couple of years later, in 1971, I asked for a transferred to British Columbia. In light of the Covid-19 pandemic, it seems we couldn't have made a better choice.
Yesterday, the Canadian Broadcasting Corp. published an article explaining why BC has done so much better than other provinces, notably Ontario and Quebec, and better than most countries, in dealing with the coronavirus. See Why B.C. is flattening the COVID-19 curve while numbers in central Canada surge. Dr. Bonnie Henry, our Provincial Health Officer, deserves our respect for her intelligent, humane response to the Covid-19 crisis. The video link in the story says much about her professionalism and personality.
This news just came in: Vancouver has closed Stanley Park, the southern border of which is just half a block from our apartment, to vehicular traffic. Why? Because, despite BC's relatively strong response to Covid-19, and despite the fact that parking lots have been closed for a week, some people have been parking illegally so they can walk on the Seawall Promenade that circles the park. Susan and I have avoided walking there because too many people — ignorant jerks! — were ignoring social-distancing guidelines. Maybe now we can start walking there again!
Bob
re: Coronavirus
'
Staggering Surge Of NYers Dying In Their Homes Suggests City Is Undercounting Coronavirus Fatalities
Curve Watchers Beware: not everything is in the curve.
Perhaps the governor will order blood samples to be collected from every corpse, so's we can, at least, sort it out at our leisure.
Cheers,
/s/ ikeyPikey
re: Coronavirus
The singing mailman from Chicago, John Prine, has just passed away due to the Covid-19 virus. He was one of my favorite singer/songwriters for most of my adult life. I saw him in concert at the Des Moines Civic Center with Steve Goodman many years ago. His music will live on, may he rest in peace.
Linus
re: Coronavirus
My roommate in college liked John Prine. He had an interesting style.
re: Coronavirus
While out for our daily exercise, a walk in the park, allowed by Her Britannic Majesty's Government during this emergency we could hear a wood pecker rat-a-tat-tatting away in the distance.
A few moments later we managed to spot him on a tree hammering away. It was the first time we had been able to locate him.
Isn't nature wonderful.
re: Coronavirus
This thread is really looooooooooooong. It takes forever to scroll down to new posts. Hardworking moderators - do you think it might be time to start another thread? Just a little suggestion. Thanks
re: Coronavirus
The thread is long and takes a few seconds to load but for me it always seems to go to the last of what I have already read. I suppose if you were checking it out for the first time it would take a while to get to the end.
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"... It takes forever to scroll down to new posts ..."
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"Curve Watchers Beware: not everything is in the curve.
Perhaps the governor will order blood samples to be collected from every corpse, so's we can, at least, sort it out at our leisure."
re: Coronavirus
From where I am sitting the thread is too long. I read it every day, but when I open this thread I now walk away and make a coffee. That way I am not sitting waiting for the thread to jump down to where I last read it. I thought I had a good internet connection, but obviously not good enough. There's a bottleneck somewhere between us. A new thread would help.
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I got to the latest post in under two seconds with no scrolling required. I don't know if it's an ISP issue or a browser issue, but it isn't universal.
Lars
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It's useful to keep the thread intact to revisit some of the earlier posts, such as:
Mar 26:
"The USA has the most reported cases IF you want to believe China. Additionally, while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases but ranks 6th in deaths. This speaks incredibly well for the US healthcare system and brave folks who work in it."
"True, but deaths are a trailing indicator. See where China, Italy, and the US are on April 15. And factor in population size as well. Italy should be played out by then because they have a smaller population. "
"The latest statistics* indicate "only" 101 deaths (3 per million population), far, far less than our neighbour to the south, the U.S., with 3,788 deaths (11 per million population). Much of that success, if I dare call it that, lies with our provincial and federal governments, which have been proactive from the beginning, and with a united front of all political parties. Canadians from coast to coast are being urged to stay at home except for necessary trips for groceries, pharmaceuticals, and emergency medical visits, and "mental health" walks outdoors. "
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"... Would that not be a COVID-19 related death? ..."
"... If you subtract the expected number of deaths from the actual total for 2020, I think that may be the best measure you can get of the TRUE cost of SARS-Cov-2 (COVID-19) ..."
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I must say, I enjoy snark, especially subtle snark, but this is BRILLIANT!
"/s/ ikeyPikey (whose cheap-as-dirt entry-level internet connection loads this thread in about 2 seconds while streaming Netflix)"
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"Yes, computing net additional deaths in the time of the pandemic is likely to be the only useful number we'll ever have."
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What browser are you using? Maybe the problem some of us are having with the long thread is specific to our device. I’m using an iPad Pro with safari and high speed Internet.
Does anyone else remember the golden days on Stamporama when someone would immediately be offered helpful suggestions if they were having site usage problems? Now the trend seems to be “Screw you, mine is FINE.” Sickening how the level of polite discourse has nosedived in the past few years. And, to answer your question, Ikey, that is why I have become hesitant to post. I’m too thin skinned and sick right now - I just don’t have the energy to bicker, nitpick and debate every issue. It’s too exhausting. I’d rather have fun doing something else more pleasant.
In any case, we have split numerous threads in the past, I didn’t think it would generate a debate. Just goes to show how difficult it is to reach a consensus on any subject with a large, diverse group. Anyways, the problem is easily solved for those of us with lag - skip the long threads. Toodles!
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I will discuss with admins to see if this thread should be locked.
The Polynesian thread is the slowest loading to me and likely due to all image content.
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My local news is starting to say things like, "light at the end of the tunnel", "possible easing of restrictions" etc. I predict people will start demanding that we go into "the next phase" (whatever that is) soon.
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Per adding up collateral deaths due to the epidemic...
On Friday a fellow I knew in my model car hobby died. He fell off a ladder at home and landed head first on concrete. Circumstantially if we didn’t have this lockdown he would have safely been at work. But instead he was home and decided to get some house work done. Sad.
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Tom,
Sad to hear of the loss.
Lars
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Sadly, the U.S. surpassed the half million mark today for confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases.
Remember when I posted:
"So my prediction for the U.S. is:
March 31 - over 100,000 infected; over 1,000 dead
April 15 - 500,000 to 1 million infected; around 10,000 dead
April 30 - tbd based on government action or inaction, but I wouldn't be surprised to see over 25,000 dead by April 30.
This isn't politics. This is math. "
"Your trajectory outlines a worst case scenario"
"Additionally, while the US is ranked 1st in reported cases it ranks 6th in deaths."
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Lars wrote:
"We desperately need a vaccine ASAP. My prediction is October and that is VERY optimistic, but that's what I'm hoping for. Definitely BEFORE the next flu season starts!!!"
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Sincere wishes that both you and your wife avoid infection. Ditto for all the folks here. Stay safe everyone.